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阅读二

TableofContents:

November16,2009

EDITION:

U.S.Vol.174No.19

COVER

TheStateofHillary:

AMixedRecordontheJob(TheWell/Cover)SheisthestaroftheObamaCabinetandaninternationalcelebrity--andafterninemonthsofstayingoutofthelimelight,HillaryClintonhasarrivedontheglobalstage.AnintimateportraitofthediplomatandherworldBehindtheSceneswithHillaryClintonTIMEphotographerCallieShelltravelswiththeSecretaryofStateonherdiplomaticmissiontoRussiaNATION

ATaleofTwoPriests(TheWell/Religion)Apairofprelatesfaceoffoverpro-choicepoliticiansinanunusuallypublicdisputethatthreatenstosplitAmericanCatholics

ESSAY

ModerationinExcess(TunedIn)Rightandleftwinggetalltheattention.Butcentristmediabiasisjustasreal,andmorecommonRebirthoftheMiddle(Commentary)ConservativesgetthemostattentionastheGOPrevives.ButmoderatesarerisingtooLet'sBailOutthePotDealers!

(TheAwesomeColumn)California'smedicaldispensariesaresowellrunthatdimebaggersdon'tstandachance

WORLD

PostcardfromNorthParsonsfield(Postcard:

NorthParsonsfield)IntheMainewoods,activistsfromleftandrightventtheiraggressiononanovelist'sfakeTVs.HowTheBeansofEgypt,MainehelpedsproutamilitiaTuna:

TheHiddenCostoftheWorld'sPriciestFish(TheWell/World)Theworldwideappetitefortunaisgettingoutofcontrol,threateningthesurvivalofoneoftheoceans'mostmagnificentcreaturesPhotos:

ScenesfromtheTunaTradeTunapopulationsaroundtheworldarebeingfishedmoreaggressively.EvenGeneralSantos,theso-calledTunaCapitalofthePhilippines,sashimiexportandcannerieshavebeenhitbyadownturninthenumberoffishcomingtoport.TheMeaningandMythosofMannyPacquiao(TheWell/Sports)HispowerandsmartshavehelpedreviveasportandmadehimaherointhePhilippines.Butashethinksaboutpolitics,canMannyPacquiaobemorethanthebestboxerintheworld?

Photos:

TheRiseofMannyPacquiaoAlookattheFilipinoboxer'scareerinandoutofthering

LETTERS

Inbox(Inbox)ARTS&ENTERTAINMENT

PreciousReview:

TooPowerfulforTears(Movies)Thankstoanarrayofoutstandingperformances,Preciousisoneoftheyear'smostpowerfulfilmsAgassiUnstrung(Books)Inanewmemoir,thetennislegendexplainshistorturedrelationshipwiththesport.HeacesitAndItWasBought(Books)TheWordaccordingtoR.CrumbprovesacrossoverhitSpiritedAway(Movies)JimCarreyisScroogeinatimelyversionofAChristmasCarolAChristmasCarolthroughChristmasesPastThenewanimatedfeatureisthelatestadaptationofthebelovedDickensclassic—alookatEbenezerScroogethroughtheagesShortListTIME'SPICKSFORTHEWEEK

BUSINESS

TheDollarinDangerMuchoftheworriedtalkaboutourcurrencysoundslikehyperbole.Butwhatifitisn't?

SOCIETY

ParentAcademies(Life/Education)HowschoolsarehelpingmomsanddadsdomorefortheirkidsRoomServiceandaShovel:

TheRiseofVoluntourism(Life/Travel)LuxuryhotelsofferdaytripstohelpvacationersconnectwithcommunitiesCallItNasalSway(Life/SocialNorms)NewstudiesonhowcleansmellscanimprovemoralbehaviorTheOddPopularityofMafiaWars(Life/NerdWorld)MorepeopleplayMafiaWarsthanliveinAustralia.Ormaybeit'splayingthem

PEOPLE

10QuestionsforEwanMcGregor(10Questions)TheactorstarsinthenewfilmTheMenWhoStareatGoats.EwanMcGregorwillnowtakeyourquestions

NOTEBOOK

ClaudeLévi-Strauss(Briefing/Milestones)TheWorld(Briefing)10ESSENTIALSTORIESBriefHistory:

Children'sTelevision(Briefing)Spotlight:

ElectionDay(Briefing)Verbatim(Briefing)TheSkimmer(Briefing)BookReview:

OurChoice:

APlantoSolvetheClimateCrisisbyAlGoreTheMoment(Briefing)11|4|09:

TehranQianXuesen(Briefing/Milestones)

COVER

TheStateofHillary:

AMixedRecordontheJob

ByJOEKLEINThursday,Nov.05,2009

SecretaryofStateHillaryClintontalkswithaidesbeforeajointpressconferencewithRussianForeignMinisterSergeyLavrovinMoscow

CallieShell/AuroraforTIME

ItwasHalloweennightinJerusalem,andBenjaminNetanyahucamedressedasapeacemaker."We'repreparedtostartpeacetalksimmediately,"thenotoriouslyreluctantIsraeliPrimeMinisterproclaimed,withU.S.SecretaryofStateHillaryClintonstandingathisside,poker-faced."Ithinkweshould...getonitandgetwithit."

Itwasaploy,ofcourse.ThePalestiniansweretangledupinthemselves,yetagain.Theyhadelectionslooming,andtheirleader,MahmoudAbbas,hadtohangtough:

hewasdemandingatotalfreezetoIsraelisettlement-buildingontheWestBank—whichwaspreciselywhattheObamaAdministrationhadpreviouslysaiditfavored.Netanyahuwasofferingapartialfreeze,notincludingnewsettlementsinEastJerusalem,thedesiredcapitalofafuturePalestinianstate.ThiswasanonstarterforthePalestinians,butithadtheholographicglowofastepforward.Itwasan"unprecedented"offer,Netanyahutrumpeted,withthejoyofachessmasterspringingatrap.

ItwasatoughmomentforClinton,playingsecondfiddleattheBibi-does-Gandhishow.PresidentBarackObamahadsoftenedhislanguageonthesettlementsafewweeksearlier:

insteadofatotalfreeze,hehadtalkedaboutIsraeli"restraint"insettlement-building.AndnowClintonseemedtocementtheAdministration'sretreat,agreeingthatNetanyahu'sproposalwas,indeed,"unprecedented,"eventhoughtheU.S.stillfavoredatotalfreeze.Themostimportantthing,sheadded,wasforthepartiestogettothetableasquicklyaspossible.TheonuswasbackonthePalestinians—andthePalestiniansquicklyexpressedoutrageattheObamaAdministration'sretreat.TheirArabneighborssoonjoinedin,causingClintontobacktracktwodayslater,tellingreporterstheIsraeliplan"fallsfarshort"ofU.S.expectations,althoughshestillinsistedoncallingit"unprecedented,"whichwasneitherdiplomaticnorwise.

SuddenlytheObamaAdministrationseemedwobblyontheMiddleEast;clearly,ClintonhadbeentoobullishonNetanyahu'sproposal(whichhadbeennegotiatedovermonthswithMiddleEastenvoyGeorgeMitchellandwasseen,privately,bytheAmericansasrealprogress).ButtheAdministration'smissionwastogetthepartiesintopeacetalkswithoutpreconditions.TheIsraeliswerenowinfavoroftalks.ThePalestiniansweresettingpreconditions.AndClintonhadviolatedanessentialruleofherjob:

boringisalmostalwaysbetter.

Clinton'sThreeQualitiesForthepast40years,theawkwardMiddleEastpressconferencehashelpeddefinethejobofSecretaryofState.YougotoJerusalemorRamallah;youstandthere"guardedlyoptimistic"inpublic;inprivate,youtrytomoveacomma,buttheIsraelisorPalestiniansmoveasemicolontoblockyourcomma.Theresultisalmostalwaysthesame:

gridlock.Thebreakthroughs,whentheycome,emanatefromothers.WalterCronkiteasksAnwarSadatifhe'dbewillingtogotoJerusalem...andSadat,toeveryone'ssurprise,saysyes.TheIsraelisandPalestiniansholdsecretmeetingsinOsloandreachwhatappearstobeabreakthrough—they'retalking!

—whichthenbecomesanotherdeadend.

ThejobofSecretaryofStateismorethanklessthanglamorous;insomeways,theDepartmentofState,anobleantique,isstilltryingtocometotermswiththeinventionofthetelephone.InanerawhenTwitterhaiku-messagingrules,diplomacymovesatthespeed,andrequiresthenuancedcomplexity,ofliterature.PowerhasdriftedfromStatetotheNationalSecurityCouncilandthePentagon,especiallyinwartime.OnlyafewofClinton'srecentpredecessorshavedistinguishedthemselves.HenryKissinger,aNationalSecurityAdviserwhobelatedlybecameSecretaryofState,wasRichardNixon'sschizophrenicalterego;GeorgeShultzwasastrongpolicyvoiceintheReaganAdministration;JamesBakerhadcloutbecausehewasGeorgeH.W.Bush'sbestfriendandaworld-classdealmaker.Mostoftheothershavebeenfrustratedorforgettable.AndyetthisisHillaryClintonwe'retalkingabout—thesecondmostpopularAmericanintheworld,aneternallycompellingandsupremelytalentedcharacter,thesubjectofconstantspeculation,awalkingheadline.Herverypresenceinthejobmakesitcrucialoncemore.

ItisaclichétosaythatbynamingClinton,Obamabroughthismostpopularpotentialopponentintothetent.Theconventionalwisdom,toocynicalbyhalf,isthathetherebysucceededinneuteringher,atheorybolsteredbyClinton'sreticenceduringherfirstninemonthsonthejob,withspecialenvoyslikeMitchellandRichardHolbrookedoingtheheavyliftingofdiplomacy.ButbynamingClinton,Obamaalsogavehergreatpower,whichcutsbothways:

ifshebecomesdissatisfiedwithherroleortheAdministration'spolicies,shecanbecomeatorpedoaimedattheOvalOffice.ColinPowellhadsimilarpowerandarealgripe—theIraqwar—butneverusedit.Clintonhasnosuchgripe,butastheObamaAdministrationsettlesinandpolicydifferencesbegintoemergeamongthekeyplayers,thePowellconundrumlooms:

HowwillClintonchoosetouseherpower?

HowwillObamareactifandwhenshedoes?

Traditionally,theSecretaryofStateisjudgedonhisorherabilitytoformulatepolicy,negotiatedealsandmanagethestriped-pantsbureaucracy.Clintonhasnohistoryasaglobalstrategist,althoughherperformanceinthe2008campaignindicatesthatsheisabitmoreconservativethanthePresident,moretheforeignpolicyrealistthantheWilsonianidealist.Itisalsotooearlytojudgeherskillasamanagerornegotiator—althoughherperformanceinJerusalemindicatesthatsheneedsafewlessonsinMiddleE

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