关于MBS市场的基本知识.docx
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关于MBS市场的基本知识
MBS=Mortgage-BackedSecurities,andtheuniverseofMBSisvast,itishoweverreservedbymarketparticipantstodenotethepass-throughmortgagebonds(agencypass-throughandnonagencypass-through).
CMBS=CommercialMortgage-BackedSecurities,whicharetrustcertificates(bonds)backedbyapoolofcommercialmortgageloans.Thecertificatesaretranchedonthebasisofprepaymentandcredit.
CMO=CollateralizedMortgage-backedObligations,whicharepoolofpass-throughmortgagebondstranchedtoreflectthedegreeofsensitivitytoprepayment(particularly,agencyCMO).
ABS=AssetBackedSecurities,forexamplehomeequityloans(HEL),creditcards,etc.Thesearesecuritiesbackedbyreceivables[payments]thatareeithersecured(HEL)orunsecured(creditcard),tranchedonthebasisofprepaymentanddefaultrisks.
CDO=CollateralizedDebtObligation,forexample,ABSCDOwhichconsistofaportfolioofdifferentABSbonds,andthepaymentstotheholdersofthesetrustcertificatesarederivedfromthecashflowsoftheABSbonds.
CBO=CollateralizedBondObligation,forexamplehighyield[emergingmarket]CBOwhichconsistofaportfolioofdifferenthighyield[emergingmarket]bonds.
CLO=Collateralized[leveraged]LoanObligationwhichconsistofaportfolioofdifferentleveragedloans.
CDOsconsistoftwotypesofstructures:
CashCDO-Madeupofthestandarddebtobligations
SyntheticCDO-AsynthesizedportfolioofCDO/Bonds/ABSusingTotalReturnsSwapsandCDS
StructuredProductsarealsooriginatedinoneoftwoways:
BalanceSheetCDO/CLO/CBO...-thereferenceassetsfortheSDOportfolioaretakenfromacompany/firm'sbalancesheet
ArbitrageCDO/CLO/CBO...-thereferenceassetsareboughtbyafirmorconduitorSPV(SpecialPurposeVehicle)withaviewtorepackagethemandsellthemonasthestructuredproduct
CDOsalsocomeintwomanagementstyles:
StaticCDO-Thereferenceassetsareboughtandthenarekeptuntouchedforthetermoftheproduct
ManagedCDO-Thereferenceassetsarebought(theportfolioisrampedup)andthentheCDOmanagerwouldaltertheportfolioastheyseefit
CFO=CollateralizedFundObligation,muchlikeaCDO,buttheunderlyingpoolarehedgefundsharesoroneormorefundsofhedgefunds.
CEO=CollateralizedEquityObligation,theunderlyingpoolconsistsofaportfolioofindividualstocks,preferredstock,stockETFs,indexes,orequityderivatives.
LiketheotherCxOstructures,thesebasicallycreatea"holdingcompany"balancesheettoprovidealeveraged/OTMcalloptiontotheequitytranche,ahigh-rateddebtclaimtotheAAAtranche,andmezzanine"callspread"liketranchesforthebondsinbetweenwithniceportfoliocharacteristics.
AssetBackedSecurities(ABS)aresecuritiesforwhichtheinterestandprincipalarepaidusingcashflowsderivedfromaportfolioofunderlyingassets.Portrayedinadiagram,ontheonesideareassetsgeneratingcashflows(generallyreceivables)anddisplayingacertaindegreeofhomogeneityandontheothersidearethesecurities:
Sellingofassetsinterest+principal
undelyingasstes<======================>issuer<=======================>ABS
PaymentsABSissueproceeds
Toputitanotherway,theunderlyingassetsaresaidtobesecuritized,i.e.convertedintosecurities.Securitizationenablesassetsthatarenotveryliquidtobeconvertedintonegotiablesecurities.Besidesmakingilliquidassetsliquid,wewilldealfurtheronwiththemainmotivatingfactorsbehindthistypeofoperation.Bywayofillustration,themostcommonsecuritizedassetsaremortgageloans(MortgageBackedSecuritiesorMBS),commercialmortgagedebt(CMBS),aircraftleases,corporatebonds&loans(CBO,CLO,CDO),commercialdebt(tradereceivables),receivablesensuingfromtheuseofcreditcards(creditcardreceivables),Americangovernmentloanstostudents(studentloans)andfuturerevenues(suchas,forinstance,thefuturerevenuesofagroupofpubs,atelecomoperator,petrolextractionorinvestmentfundmanagementfees).
MBS=MortgageBackedSecurities,inwhichCMOCollateralMortgageObligationisoneoftheproducttypeundertheMBSumbrella.
Asfarasthecashflowpatternsareconcern,MBScanbedividedintotwomajorcategories:
Pass-thruandstructureproduct;
Pass-thruproductspasstheprincipalandinterestpaymenttotheinvestorsaftersubtractingasmallservicingfee;
StructureproductsincludeCMO,IO/PO,....inwhichcashflowsarereallocatedintotranchessothecollaterals'prepaymentriskarenotdirectlypassedtotheinvestors.Sometranchesmighthavemoreprepaymentriskexposurewhilesomehaveless.
MortgageBackedSecuritiesBasics
[Part1] [Part2] [Part3] [Part4] [Returntotheblog]
DecipheringtheGreek
NowthattherearegraphsandMBSpricespostedperiodically,we'vereceivednumerousquestionsaboutthesignificanceofthedata.Thisisintendedtobeabriefcompaniontothe dailymortgagerateanalysis thatwill"getyouby"untilwereleasemorecomprehensiveliteratureonthetopic.Tosomeofyouthiswillbeoldhat,butI'llstartcompletelyatthebeginningsoitisaccessibleeventothefirsttimer.Keepinmindthiswillbebrutallyoversimplifiedduetothefactthatamoredetailedversionwillbereleasedatalaterdate.
WhatisMBS?
AnytimeyouseemewriteMBSinthisblog,oranywhereelseforthatmatter,Iamalwaysgoingtobereferringto MortgageBackedSecurities.ThesearebondsthathaveaPRICEandaYIELDjustliketreasuries.ThePRICEalwaysreferstothecostofbuying$100ofthatparticularbond.Forinstance,ifthepriceofabondis101.00,thenaninvestorwouldpay$101.00,andinexchange,wouldthenownonly$100.00worthofthatbond.Sowhypaymoreorless?
Inaword:
YIELD.Yieldistherateofreturnpaidonthatbondovertime.Therearemultipledifferenttypesofbonds,andeachbondhasacertainyieldthatitpays.Youwillsometimeshearmerefertoyieldas"coupon"or"issue."Asyoumightguess,thehighertheyield,themorethebuyerwillmakeovertime,sothemorethebuyeriswillingtopay.Forinstance,attheverymomentthistutorialisbeingtyped,acertainclassofMBS(abond)witha5%yieldcosts$97.25.Soforevery$97.25youspend,youget$100dollarsofbond,payingyoubackata5%rateofreturn.Anotherbondinthesameclasswithayieldof6.5%iscurrentlycosting$103.10.Soyou'dhavetopayoverthefacevaluetogetthe$100dollarstopayyoubackat6.5%.Sohopefullythisillustratesaswemovefromcoupontocoupon(i.e.5%to5.5%to6.0%to6.5%)thatthecostofownershipwillgethigher,butsowilltheyield.
NowitgetsconfusingbecauseallthistimeI'vebeentellingyouthat"asPRICEgoesup,YIELDgoesdown."Well,itdoes,butonlywhenwe'retalkingaboutonecouponatatime.Talkingaboutthefullspectrumof couponrates meansthatnaturallythepricewillbehigherwhenwe'retalkingabouthigheryields.Butthatconceptisnotcentraltobondanalysis.WeareonlyeverinterestinPriceVS.Yieldasitrelatestosupplyanddemand,andevenifweareconsideringseveralcouponrates,wewillonlyanalyzeoneatatime.
Inthisway,whenpricegoesup,yieldgoesdown.Why!
?
Becauseifthebond'scouponrateis6.5%andthepricedropsfrom103.10to102.10,nowtheinvestorthatisbuyingitgetsmoreforhismoney,plainandsimple.Sobecausehis1milliondollarsnowbuysalmost1%MOREthanitdidatthehigherprice,theyieldonthatinvestmentwillbehigheraswell!
Ifthisdoesn'tclickforyou,pleasespendsometimegooglesearchingbondsortryPIMCO's BondBasics.I'mnotsayingthistobepedanticorderogatory,butratherbecausetheconceptrequiresimmersionforsome,andthereisadefinitelearningcurvethatcannotbeachievedsimplybytryingtodigestmydefinitions.Movingon...
MortgageBackedBondsandSecuritization
[Part1] [Part2] [Part3] [Part4] [Returntotheblog]
SoMBS'sarebonds!
Wheredotheycomefrom?
Grosslyoversimplifiedandleavingoutnumerousitemsthatarenotgermanetorateanalysis,MBSarethebondsthatmortgageloans areturnedintowhentheyareboughtorsold.That'satoughonetograspyourfirsttimearound.Iknowitwasforme.
Basically,BigBankwillwriteacheckforyourmortgage,sayit's$100,000. BigBankA thenhasapromissorynotesayingthatyouwillpaythemacertaininterestrateovertime(soundfamiliar?
).ButBigBankAneedssomemoremoneytolendotherpeople...Wheretogetit?
Iknow!
Theycansellyourmortgagenotetosomeoneelseintheformofabond!
Hopefully,thatinvestoriswillingtopaysomethinglike$102,000fortherighttocollectinterestonyour$100,000loan.BigBankAjustmade$2000,andtheinvestorhassomethingthatwillhopefullypaytheminterestovertime.Rememberpricevs.yield?
Thehigheryourinterestrate,themoretheinvestorwouldbewillingtopayBigBankA.That'sYSPBaby!
Andiftheinvestorisonlygoingtopay$97,000fortheloan,thatmeansBigBankhastopaythemadiscounttobuyit,whichwasprobablypassedontoyouonline802oftheGFE!
NowYSPstartstobecomeclearIhope!
Butthere'sabigproblem!
Theinvestordoesn'twantalloftheirriskridingononeloan,sowehavetofindawayto spreadouttherisk.Becauseevenifyouonlyhavea3%chanceofdefaulting,intheeventthatyoudo,theinvestorwouldlosehishat.Sotospreadouttherisk,BigBankAcombinesyourloanwith10'stohundredsofothersimilarloanswithsimilarratesandsimilarcreditquality.
TheneitherbysellingthemdirectlytoFannieMaeandFreddieMacorbyutilizingFanniean