《管理经济学讲稿教案资料.docx
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《管理经济学讲稿教案资料
ManagerialEconomics
《管理经济学》
讲稿
专业班级:
信息管理与信息系统大类
任课教师:
吴 如 雪
教材:
《ManagerialEconomics》7thEdition
S.CharlesMaurice
ChristopherR.Tomas
机械工业出版社
CHAP14.StrategicDecisionMakinginOligopolyMarkets
14.1Characteristicsofoligopoly
●Oligopolyisamarketstructureinwhichonlyafewsellersoffersimilaroridenticalproducts.Itconsistsofafewrelativelylargefirms,eachwithasubstantialshareofthemarketandallrecognizetheirmutualinterdependence.Mutualinterdependencemeansthattheactionsofanyonefirminthemarketwillhaveaneffectonthesalesandrevenuesofotherfirms.Eachfirmknowsthatitsactionsorchangeswillhavesuchaneffectandthattheotherfirmswill,inresponse,takeactionsormakechangesthatwillaffectitssales.Butnofirmisreallysurehowtheotherfirmswillreact—thereisanuncertaintyaboutthereactionofrivalstoapricechange.
ØCommoncharacteristics:
(1)Thenumberoffirmsinanoljgopolymarketissmallenoughthateachfirmrecognizesitsmutualinterdependencewiththeotherfirms.
(2)Alloligopolieshaveacertainamountofmarketpower.Ifanoligopolistraisesitsprice,itgenerallywon’tloseallitssales;ifitlowersitsprice,itwon’tgaintheentiremarket.(3)Oligopolymarketsarecharacterizedbysomebarrierstoentry,rangingfrommoderatetohigh.
ØDifferingcharacteristics:
(1)Oligopoliescanbeclassifiedbythetypeofproductproduced.Insomeoligopolymarketstheproductsarehomogeneous.Otheroligopolymarketsarecharacterizedbydifferentiatedproducts.
(2)OligopoliescanbeCooperativeornoncooperative:
Cooperativeoligopoliststendtofollowchangesmadebyrivalfirms.Noncooperativeoligopolists,ontheotherhand,donotaccommodatesuchchanges.(3)Someoligopolisticmarketarecharacterizedbyagreatdealofpricecompetition.Inothers,firmsdon’tcompeteextensivelybypricechangesbutinsteadcompetewiththeiradvertising,productquality,andmarketingstrategies.
ØFourgeneraloligopolisticmarketstructures:
(1)Afewnoncooperativefirmsproducingahomogeneousproduct,
(2)Afewnoncooperativefirmsproducingrelatedbutdifferentiatedproducts,(3)Afewcooperativefirmsproducingahomogeneousproduct,(4)Afewcooperativefirmsproducingrelatedbutdifferentiatedproducts.Becauseoligopolymarketsdiffersogreatlyintheirbehaviorpatternsandintheiroverallcharacteristic,economistshavenotbeenabletodevelopasinglegeneraltheoryofoligopoly,unlikethecasefortheotherthreemarketstructureswehaveanalyzed.
●Theproblemwitholigopolydemand:
Inspiteoftheuncertaintyofrivalstoapricechange,managersofoligopoliesshouldusethemarginalrevenue—marginalcostrulewhenmakingdecisions.Thisisoneofthemostimportantrulesofdecisionmaking,evenwhenthemarketischaracterizedbyuncertaintyaboutthereactionofrivals.Theproblemforanoligopolistisaccuratelyforecastingitsdemandandmarginalrevenueifitchangesitsprice.Anychangeinpriceandoutputhasanoticeableeffectonthesalesofotherfirms.Theserivalsmayreactbychangingtheirpricesandoutput,ortheymaynotreactatall.Inourdiscussionofoligopolymarkets,wewillemphasizethatthepriceandoutputdecisionsdependcriticallyupontheassumptionsmadeaboutthebehavioralreactionsofrivalmanagers.Sincemanydifferentassumptionscanandhavebeenmade,manydifferentsolutionscanandhavebeenreached.
14.2Decisionmakingwhenrivalsmakesimultaneousdecisions
Oligopolistsaremutualinterdependence.Mutualinterdependencerequiresstrategicbehavior.Wecan’tgiveasetofrulestofollow.Theartofmakingstrategicdecisionsislearnedfromexperience.Wecan,however,introduceatoolforthinkingaboutstrategicdecisionmaking.
●Gametheoryprovidesausefulguidelineonhowtobehaveinstrategicsituationsinvolvinginterdependence.Thistheorywasdevelopedapproximately50yearsagoinordertoprovideasystematicapproachtostrategicdecisionmaking.
ØAgameisanydecision-makingsituationwherepeoplecompetewitheachotherforthepurposeofgainingthegreatestindividualpayoff,ratherthangrouppayoff,fromplayingthegame.Inthegameofoligopoly,thepeopleinthegame,oftencalled“players”,aremanagersoftheoligopolyfirm.Payoffsintheoligopolygamearetheindividualprofitsearnedbyeachfirm.
ØSimultaneousdecisiongamesoccurinoligopolymarketswhenmanagersmustmaketheirindividualdecisionswithoutknowingthedecisionsoftheirrivals.Decisionsdon’thavetotakeplaceatthesametimeinordertobe“simultaneous”.
●Theprisoner’sdilemma—awidelyknowngameofsimultaneousdecisionmaking
ØThestory(page533)
ØPayofftableisatableshowing,foreverypossiblecombinationofdecisionsplayerscanmake,theoutcomesor“payoffs”foreachofthepl