迈向低碳经济市政融资和能源效率外文翻译.docx
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迈向低碳经济市政融资和能源效率外文翻译
外文题目:
TowardaLow-CarbonEconomy---MunicipalFinancing
ForEnergyEfficiencyandSolarPower
出处:
EnvironmentMagazine
作者:
MerrianC.Fuller,StephenCompagniPortis,and
DanielM.Kammen
Theeconomicandenvironmentalneedtotransitiontoalow-carboneconomyisnowattheforefrontofenergyscience,engineering,andpolicydiscussionsintheUnitedStatesandinternationally.FormerVicePresidentAlGorehascalledforacarbon-freeelectricitysupplyintheUnitedStatesby2018,1andinCalifornia,Japan,andtheUnitedKingdom,agrowinglistofmunicipalitieshavelegislated70–80percentorhigherreductionsintheirgreenhousegasemissionsoverthenextfourtofivedecades.ThesecutsareconsistentwiththerecommendationsoftheIntergovernmentalPanelonClimateChange(IPCC).Thusfarmuchoftheefforthasbeenfocusedontechnologyandpolicysolutions,withverylittleattentiongiventohowthischangecanbeenabledthroughcreativefinancing.
Acriticalarenaforthistransformationisinbuildings,whichaccountformorethan70percentoftheelectricityuse2andalmost40percentofgreenhousegasemissions3intheUnitedStates.Manyofthemorestringentlawstoreduceenergyuseinbuildings,suchasTitle24inCalifornia,4targetnewbuildings.However,becausebuildingshavemany-decadelifetimes,itmaybevirtuallyimpossibletoreducegreenhousegasemissionstothelevelsdescribedbythelower-riskscenariosoftheIPCC5andadoptedbylocalmunicipalities,6states,7andnations8withoutatargetedefforttoreduceenergydemandinexistinghomesandcommercialspaces.Thismeansthatretrofitefforts,suchasimprovingenergyefficiencyandaddingsolarphotovoltaics(PV)andsolarthermalsystemstobuildings,needtoexpanddramatically.
Manybarriersexisttoreducingenergyconsumptionandincreasingtheuseofrenewableenergy.Oneishighfirstcost(“up-frontcost”),whichisbothapsychologicalandfinancialbarrierformanypeople.OurresearchgroupfromtheUniversityofCalifornia,Berkeley,hasworkedwithanumberofcities,initiallyBerkeleytoaddressthisbarrierbymakingfinancingforsolarpowerinstallationsandenergy-efficiencyretrofitsmoreappealingandaccessibletopropertyowners.Urgencyaroundtheneedtocutemissionshasinspiredcitiestoapplyoldtools,suchasmunicipalfinancing,tothenewproblemofreducingtheamountofcarbonintheenergysupply.
CleanenergymunicipalfinancingmechanismsliketheCityofBerkeley’sprogramBerkeleyFIRST(FinancingInitiativeforRenewableandSolarTechnology)havethepotentialtohelpcatalyzethetransitiontoamoresustainableuseofenergyandalsodeliverbenefitsbeyondemissionsreductions,includinganewsourceofjobgrowth,reducedstrainontheelectricpowersystem,andmorecomfortableandwell-maintainedbuildings.Howdotheseinitiativeswork,andwhatmightthefinancialimpactbeonparticipantsatthestateandnationallevels.
BarrierstoReducingEnergyDemand
Overthelast30years,acontentiousdebatehascontinuedoverwhyconsumersandbusinesseschooseorforegoenergyefficientproductsandpractices,andwhatrolepublicandenablingprograms(financingandother)shouldplayininfluencingthesedecisions.Researchershaveoftentriedtoexplainconsumerefficiencyrelateddecisionsusingalife-cyclecostanalysis,whichlooksattheup-frontcostsofadoptionversustheenergysavingsovertime.Manypublicpolicyeffortsstartwiththepremisethatregulationsshouldonlypromoteoptionsthatgiveconsumersapositivenetpresentvalueforthelife-cyclecost,usingadiscountrateforfuturesavingsof5–8percent.Thenetpresentvalueisthefuturediscountedbenefitsminustheinitialinvestment.Appliancestandardswerecreatedusingthisframeworkwiththeintentionofremovingtheleast-efficientappliancesfromthemarketwhilekeepingthefinancialburdentoaminimum.Thedifferencebetweenamarketrateofreturnandtheimplicitdiscountratesobservedinconsumerchoicewaslabeledthe“energy-efficiencygap,”andmuchefforthasbeendevotedtoclosingthisgapthroughincentivesandpoliciestoaddressperceivedbarriers.thesesamebarriersalsoaffectthedecisiontoinstallsolarpowersystems.
CleanEnergyMunicipalFinancing
BerkeleyFIRSTisanexampleofcleanenergymunicipalfinancingindevelopmentbytheCityofBerkeleythatwillprovidetheup-frontfundsforresidentialandcommercialpropertyownerstoinstallelectricandthermalsolarsystemsandmakeenergy-efficiencyimprovementstotheirbuildings.Berkeleyhascommittedtoprovidefundingfortheprogramthroughtheissuanceofaspecialtaxbondthatisrepaidsemi-annuallyover20yearsthroughspecialtaxescollectedononlythepropertytaxbillsofparticipatingpropertyowners.ThefinancingmechanismisbasedonCalifornia’sMello-Roosfinancinglawanddoesnotrequireacitysubsidyorexposuretothecity’sgeneralfund.14Asofsummer2008,thecityhadreceivedmorethan1,300inquiriesfrommunicipalitiesaroundtheworldaskinghowthisprogramwillbeimplemented.
Toparticipateinacleanenergymunicipalfinancingprogram,aresidentialorcommercialpropertyownerselectsacontractorandidentifiestheirchoiceofsolarandenergy-efficiencyupgradesthatfitwithinthescopeoftheprogram,asdefinedbythemunicipality.AprojectmightincludeasolarPVarrayorasolarthermalsystemandimprovementstotheenergyefficiencyofabuilding,suchasaddinginsulationandnewducts,sealingbuildingshellleaks,andreplacingafurnaceorairconditioningunit.Improvementstoaresidentialpropertycouldcost$4,000–$20,000ormore.Thepropertyownersubmitsanapplicationtothemunicipality,whosestaffreviewsthescopeofworkandchecksthattheyhaveaclearpropertytitle.Afterthemunicipalityapprovestheapplication,theworkiscompleted,alienisplacedontheproperty,andacheckisissuedtothepropertyowner.Aspecialtaxisaddedtofuturepropertybills.Ifthepropertyissoldbeforetheendofthe20-yearrepaymentperiod,thenewownerpaystheremainingspecialtaxesaspartoftheirproperty’sannualtaxbill.Theinterestcomponentofthespecialtaxpaymentswillbetaxdeductible,similartoahomeequitylineorhomemortgage.Thespecialtaxbondisbackedbytheliensonparticipatingpropertyowners’homes.
Thisprogramhasthepotentialtobeimplementedinmunicipalitiesacrossthecountry.Lawsinmanystatesalreadyenableasimilarfinancingmechanism,andotherstatesarepursuinglegislationtoenabletheuseofcleanenergymunicipalfinancing.Forexample,StateHouseBill08-1350,passedbytheColoradolegislatureandsignedintolawin2008,allowslocalgovernmentstofinanceimprovementswitharepaymentover20yearsthroughspecialassessmentscollectedthroughthepropertytaxsystem.Thislawallowslocalgovernmentstoproactivelyprovideamechanismforpropertyownerstodecreasetheiruseoffossilfuelsforheatingandelectricity,providingapublicbenefit.InNovember2008,BoulderusedthisauthoritytopassMeasure1A,whichallowsthecountytoissueupto$40millioninspecialassessmentbondstofinancecleanenergyimprovements.SimilarlegislationhasbeenenactedinCaliforniaandisproposedinotherstates.Theseearlyprogramshavebeenimplementedthroughcity,county,andstate-levelinitiatives;thefederalgovernmentcouldsupportsuchprogramsbyprovidingcapitalorbyassistingmunicipalitiesinaggregatingbondssothatlargerbondscanbeissuedatalowercost.
FinancialModelingAnalysis
Toassesstheimpactofcleanenergymunicipalfinancingonresidentialcustomers,ourresearchteamattheUniversityofCalifornia,Berkeley,createdamodeltocomparethenetpresentvalueofannualcashflowsover25yearsforasystemlikeBerkeleyFIRSTusingan“average”CaliforniahomeandthreeU.S.caseswithhigh,low,andaverageenergyprices.SeeTable1formodelassumptions.
Table1Modelassumptions
Financing
terms
Interestrateof7percentwithatermof20years.
Energy
consumption
FortheCaliforniacase,consumptionnumbersarebasedon2006EnergyInformationAdministration(EIA)figures,anannualconsumptionof7,080kilowatthours(kWh),and476thermsofnaturalgasperhome.The2kWsystemusedinthismodelcoversapproximately40percentofthehome’selectricityuse.FortheU.S.cases,consumptionnumbersarebasedon2006EIAfigures,anannualconsumptionof11,035kWhand678thermsofnaturalgasperhome.The2kWsystemusedinthismodelcoversapproximately25percentofthehome’selectricityuse.AlthoughsomeU.S.homesuseheatingoil,wood,orelectricityforheating,naturalgasuseisassumedbecausethemajorityofU.S.homesuseit.
Futureenergy
prices
ThebasecaseusestheEIAAnnualEnergyOutlook2008forecast,whichpredictsflatrealpricesforelectricityandgasthrough2030andanaveragerateofinflationof2percent.Inaddition,casesaremodeledwithannual2percentand4percentrealincreasesinenergyprices.
Electricity
prices
TheCaliforniacaseelectricitypricesarebasedonthePacificGas&Electric(PG&E)residentialE1tariffschedule,withratesfrom11centsperkWhintier1to36centsintier5withincreasingusage.FortheU.S.cases,flatratesof16centsperkWhforthehighpricecasearebasedon2006EIAdatafortheNewEnglandregion,10.4centsfortheaveragecasearebasedon2006EIAaveragedata,and8.1centsforthelowpricecasearebasedon2006EIAdatafortheWestNorthCentralRegion.
Gasprices
TheCaliforniacasegaspricesarebasedonthePG&Eresidentialratesof$1.34to$1.57perthermwithincreasingus