投资学第10版习题答案09.docx

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投资学第10版习题答案09

CHAPTER9:

THECAPITALASSETPRICINGMODEL

 

PROBLEMSETS

 

1.

 

2.Ifthesecurity’scorrelationcoefficientwiththemarketportfoliodoubles(withallothervariablessuchasvariancesunchanged),thenbeta,andthereforetheriskpremium,willalsodouble.Thecurrentriskpremiumis:

14%–6%=8%

Thenewriskpremiumwouldbe16%,andthenewdiscountrateforthesecuritywouldbe:

16%+6%=22%

Ifthestockpaysaconstantperpetualdividend,thenweknowfromtheoriginaldatathatthedividend(D)mustsatisfytheequationforthepresentvalueofaperpetuity:

Price=Dividend/Discountrate

50=D/0.14⇒D=50⨯0.14=$7.00

Atthenewdiscountrateof22%,thestockwouldbeworth:

$7/0.22=$31.82

Theincreaseinstockriskhaslowereditsvalueby36.36%.

 

3.a.False.β=0impliesE(r)=rf,notzero.

b.False.Investorsrequireariskpremiumonlyforbearingsystematic(undiversifiableormarket)risk.Totalvolatility,asmeasuredbythestandarddeviation,includesdiversifiablerisk.

c.False.Yourportfolioshouldbeinvested75%inthemarketportfolioand25%inT-bills.Then:

 

4.TheexpectedreturnisthereturnpredictedbytheCAPMforagivenlevelofsystematicrisk.

 

5.AccordingtotheCAPM,$1DiscountStoresrequiresareturnof13%basedonitssystematicrisklevelofβ=1.5.However,theforecastedreturnisonly12%.Therefore,thesecurityiscurrentlyovervalued.

Everything$5requiresareturnof10%basedonitssystematicrisklevelofβ=1.0.However,theforecastedreturnis11%.Therefore,thesecurityiscurrentlyundervalued.

6.Correctanswerischoicea.Theexpectedreturnofastockwithaβ=1.0must,onaverage,bethesameastheexpectedreturnofthemarketwhichalsohasaβ=1.0.

7.Correctanswerischoicea.Betaisameasureofsystematicrisk.Sinceonlysystematicriskisrewarded,itissafetoconcludethattheexpectedreturnwillbehigherforKaskin’sstockthanforQuinn’sstock.

8.Theappropriatediscountratefortheprojectis:

rf+β×[E(rM)–rf]=.08+[1.8⨯(.16–.08)]=.224,or22.4%

Usingthisdiscountrate:

Annuityfactor(22.4%,10years)]=$18.09

Theinternalrateofreturn(IRR)fortheprojectis35.73%.RecallfromyourintroductoryfinanceclassthatNPVispositiveifIRR>discountrate(or,equivalently,hurdlerate).ThehighestvaluethatbetacantakebeforethehurdlerateexceedstheIRRisdeterminedby:

.3573=.08+β×(.16–.08)⇒β=.2773/.08=3.47

 

9.a.CalltheaggressivestockAandthedefensivestockD.Betaisthesensitivityofthestock’sreturntothemarketreturn,i.e.,thechangeinthestockreturnperunitchangeinthemarketreturn.Therefore,wecomputeeachstock’sbetabycalculatingthedifferenceinitsreturnacrossthetwoscenariosdividedbythedifferenceinthemarketreturn:

b.Withthetwoscenariosequallylikely,theexpectedreturnisanaverageofthetwopossibleoutcomes:

E(rA)=0.5⨯(–.02+.38)=.18=18%

E(rD)=0.5⨯(.06+.12)=.09=9%

c.TheSMLisdeterminedbythemarketexpectedreturnof[0.5×(.25+.05)]=15%,withβM=1,andrf=6%(whichhasβf=0).Seethefollowinggraph:

Theequationforthesecuritymarketlineis:

E(r)=.06+β×(.15–.06)

d.Basedonitsrisk,theaggressivestockhasarequiredexpectedreturnof:

E(rA)=.06+2.0×(.15–.06)=.24=24%

Theanalyst’sforecastofexpectedreturnisonly18%.Thusthestock’salphais:

αA=actuallyexpectedreturn–requiredreturn(givenrisk)

=18%–24%=–6%

Similarly,therequiredreturnforthedefensivestockis:

E(rD)=.06+0.3×(.15–.06)=8.7%

Theanalyst’sforecastofexpectedreturnforDis9%,andhence,thestockhasapositivealpha:

αD=Actuallyexpectedreturn–Requiredreturn(givenrisk)

=.09–.087=+0.003=+0.3%

Thepointsforeachstockplotonthegraphasindicatedabove.

e.Thehurdlerateisdeterminedbytheprojectbeta(0.3),notthefirm’sbeta.Thecorrectdiscountrateis8.7%,thefairrateofreturnforstockD.

 

10.Notpossible.PortfolioAhasahigherbetathanPortfolioB,buttheexpectedreturnforPortfolioAislowerthantheexpectedreturnforPortfolioB.Thus,thesetwoportfolioscannotexistinequilibrium.

 

11.Possible.IftheCAPMisvalid,theexpectedrateofreturncompensatesonlyforsystematic(market)risk,representedbybeta,ratherthanforthestandarddeviation,whichincludesnonsystematicrisk.Thus,PortfolioA’slowerrateofreturncanbepairedwithahigherstandarddeviation,aslongasA’sbetaislessthanB’s.

 

12.Notpossible.Thereward-to-variabilityratioforPortfolioAisbetterthanthatofthemarket.ThisscenarioisimpossibleaccordingtotheCAPMbecausetheCAPMpredictsthatthemarketisthemostefficientportfolio.Usingthenumberssupplied:

PortfolioAprovidesabetterrisk-rewardtrade-offthanthemarketportfolio.

 

13.Notpossible.PortfolioAclearlydominatesthemarketportfolio.PortfolioAhasbothalowerstandarddeviationandahigherexpectedreturn.

 

14.Notpossible.TheSMLforthisscenariois:

E(r)=10+β×(18–10)

Portfolioswithbetaequalto1.5haveanexpectedreturnequalto:

E(r)=10+[1.5×(18–10)]=22%

TheexpectedreturnforPortfolioAis16%;thatis,PortfolioAplotsbelowtheSML(αA=–6%)and,hence,isanoverpricedportfolio.ThisisinconsistentwiththeCAPM.

 

15.Notpossible.TheSMListhesameasinProblem14.Here,PortfolioA’srequiredreturnis:

.10+(.9×.08)=17.2%

Thisisgreaterthan16%.PortfolioAisoverpricedwithanegativealpha:

αA=–1.2%

 

16.Possible.TheCMListhesameasinProblem12.PortfolioAplotsbelowtheCML,asanyassetisexpectedto.ThisscenarioisnotinconsistentwiththeCAPM.

17.Sincethestock’sbetaisequalto1.2,itsexpectedrateofreturnis:

.06+[1.2⨯(.16–.06)]=18%

 

18.Theseriesof$1,000paymentsisaperpetuity.Ifbetais0.5,thecashflowshouldbediscountedattherate:

.06+[0.5×(.16–.06)]=.11=11%

PV=$1,000/0.11=$9,090.91

If,however,betaisequalto1,thentheinvestmentshouldyield16%,andthepricepaidforthefirmshouldbe:

PV=$1,000/0.16=$6,250

Thedifference,$2,840.91,istheamountyouwilloverpayifyouerroneouslyassumethatbetais0.5ratherthan1.

 

19.UsingtheSML:

.04=.06+β×(.16–.06)⇒β=–.02/.10=–0.2

 

20.r1=19%;r2=16%;β1=1.5;β2=1

a.Todeterminewhichinvestorwasabetterselectorofindividualstockswelookatabnormalreturn,whichistheex-postalpha;thatis,theabnormalreturnisthedifferencebetweentheactualreturnandthatpredictedbytheSML.Withoutinformationabouttheparametersofthisequation(risk-freerateandmarketrateofreturn)wecannotdeterminewhichinvestorwasmoreaccurate.

b.Ifrf=6%andrM=14%,then(usingthenotationalphafortheabnormalreturn):

α1=.19–[.06+1.5×(.14–.06)]=.19–.18=1%

α2=.16–[.06+1×(.14–.06)]=.16–.14=2%

Here,thesecondinvestorhasthelargerabnormalreturnandthusappearstobethesuperiorstockselector.Bymakingbetterpredictions,thesecond

investorappearstohavetiltedhisportfoliotowardunderpricedstocks.

c.Ifrf=3%andrM=15%,then:

α1=.19–[.03+1.5×(.15–.03)]=.19–.21=–2%

α2=.16–[.03+1×(.15–.03)]=.16–.15=1%

Here,notonlydoesthesecondinvestorappeartobethesuperiorstockselector,butthefirstinvestor’spredictionsappearvalueless(orworse).

21.a.Sincethemarketportfolio,bydefinition,hasabetaof1,itsexpectedrateofreturnis12%.

b.β=0meansnosystematicrisk.Hence,thestock’sexpectedrateofreturninmarketequilibriumistherisk-freerate,5%.

c.UsingtheSML,thefairexpectedrateofreturnforastockwithβ=–0.5is:

Theactuallyexpectedrateofreturn,usingtheexpectedpriceanddividendfornextyearis:

Becausetheactuallyexpectedreturnexceedsthefairreturn,thestockisunderpriced.

 

22.Inthezero-betaCAPMthezero-betaportfolioreplacestherisk-freerate,andthus:

E(r)=8+0.6(17–8)=13.4%

 

23.a.E(rP)=rf+βP×[E(rM)–rf]=5%+0.8(15%−5%)=13%

α=14%-13%=1%

Youshouldinvestinthisfundbecausealphaispositive.

b.Thepassiveportfoliowiththesamebetaasthefundshouldbeinvested80%inthemarket-indexportfolioand20%inthemoneymarketaccount.Forthisportfolio:

E(rP)=(0.8×15%)+(0.2×5%)=13%

14%−13%=1%=α

24.a.WewouldincorporateliquidityintotheCCAPMinamanneranalogoustothewayinwhichliquidityisincorporatedintotheconventionalCAPM.Inthelattercase,inadditiontothemarketriskpremium,expectedreturnisalsodependentontheexpectedcostofilliquidityandthreeliquidity-relatedbetaswhichmeasurethesensitivityof:

(1)thesecurity’silliquiditytomarketilliquidity;

(2)thesecurity’sreturntomarketilliquidity;and,(3)thesecurity’silliquiditytothemarketreturn.AsimilarapproachcanbeusedfortheCCAPM,exceptthattheliquiditybetaswouldbemeasuredrelativetoconsumptiongrowthratherthantheusualmarketindex.

 

b.Asinpart(a),nontradedassetswouldbeincorporatedintotheCCAPMinafashionsimilartopart(a).Replacethemarketportfoliowithconsumptiongrowth.Theissueofliquidityismoreacutewithnontradedassetssuchasprivatelyheldbusinessesandlaborincome.

Whileownershipofaprivatelyheldbusinessisanalogoustoownershipofanilliquidstock,expectagreaterdegreeofilliquidityforthetypicalprivatebusiness.Iftheownerofaprivatelyheldbusinessissatisfiedwiththedividendspaidoutfromthebusiness,thenthelackofliquidityisn

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