投资学第10版习题答案09.docx
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投资学第10版习题答案09
CHAPTER9:
THECAPITALASSETPRICINGMODEL
PROBLEMSETS
1.
2.Ifthesecurity’scorrelationcoefficientwiththemarketportfoliodoubles(withallothervariablessuchasvariancesunchanged),thenbeta,andthereforetheriskpremium,willalsodouble.Thecurrentriskpremiumis:
14%–6%=8%
Thenewriskpremiumwouldbe16%,andthenewdiscountrateforthesecuritywouldbe:
16%+6%=22%
Ifthestockpaysaconstantperpetualdividend,thenweknowfromtheoriginaldatathatthedividend(D)mustsatisfytheequationforthepresentvalueofaperpetuity:
Price=Dividend/Discountrate
50=D/0.14⇒D=50⨯0.14=$7.00
Atthenewdiscountrateof22%,thestockwouldbeworth:
$7/0.22=$31.82
Theincreaseinstockriskhaslowereditsvalueby36.36%.
3.a.False.β=0impliesE(r)=rf,notzero.
b.False.Investorsrequireariskpremiumonlyforbearingsystematic(undiversifiableormarket)risk.Totalvolatility,asmeasuredbythestandarddeviation,includesdiversifiablerisk.
c.False.Yourportfolioshouldbeinvested75%inthemarketportfolioand25%inT-bills.Then:
4.TheexpectedreturnisthereturnpredictedbytheCAPMforagivenlevelofsystematicrisk.
5.AccordingtotheCAPM,$1DiscountStoresrequiresareturnof13%basedonitssystematicrisklevelofβ=1.5.However,theforecastedreturnisonly12%.Therefore,thesecurityiscurrentlyovervalued.
Everything$5requiresareturnof10%basedonitssystematicrisklevelofβ=1.0.However,theforecastedreturnis11%.Therefore,thesecurityiscurrentlyundervalued.
6.Correctanswerischoicea.Theexpectedreturnofastockwithaβ=1.0must,onaverage,bethesameastheexpectedreturnofthemarketwhichalsohasaβ=1.0.
7.Correctanswerischoicea.Betaisameasureofsystematicrisk.Sinceonlysystematicriskisrewarded,itissafetoconcludethattheexpectedreturnwillbehigherforKaskin’sstockthanforQuinn’sstock.
8.Theappropriatediscountratefortheprojectis:
rf+β×[E(rM)–rf]=.08+[1.8⨯(.16–.08)]=.224,or22.4%
Usingthisdiscountrate:
Annuityfactor(22.4%,10years)]=$18.09
Theinternalrateofreturn(IRR)fortheprojectis35.73%.RecallfromyourintroductoryfinanceclassthatNPVispositiveifIRR>discountrate(or,equivalently,hurdlerate).ThehighestvaluethatbetacantakebeforethehurdlerateexceedstheIRRisdeterminedby:
.3573=.08+β×(.16–.08)⇒β=.2773/.08=3.47
9.a.CalltheaggressivestockAandthedefensivestockD.Betaisthesensitivityofthestock’sreturntothemarketreturn,i.e.,thechangeinthestockreturnperunitchangeinthemarketreturn.Therefore,wecomputeeachstock’sbetabycalculatingthedifferenceinitsreturnacrossthetwoscenariosdividedbythedifferenceinthemarketreturn:
b.Withthetwoscenariosequallylikely,theexpectedreturnisanaverageofthetwopossibleoutcomes:
E(rA)=0.5⨯(–.02+.38)=.18=18%
E(rD)=0.5⨯(.06+.12)=.09=9%
c.TheSMLisdeterminedbythemarketexpectedreturnof[0.5×(.25+.05)]=15%,withβM=1,andrf=6%(whichhasβf=0).Seethefollowinggraph:
Theequationforthesecuritymarketlineis:
E(r)=.06+β×(.15–.06)
d.Basedonitsrisk,theaggressivestockhasarequiredexpectedreturnof:
E(rA)=.06+2.0×(.15–.06)=.24=24%
Theanalyst’sforecastofexpectedreturnisonly18%.Thusthestock’salphais:
αA=actuallyexpectedreturn–requiredreturn(givenrisk)
=18%–24%=–6%
Similarly,therequiredreturnforthedefensivestockis:
E(rD)=.06+0.3×(.15–.06)=8.7%
Theanalyst’sforecastofexpectedreturnforDis9%,andhence,thestockhasapositivealpha:
αD=Actuallyexpectedreturn–Requiredreturn(givenrisk)
=.09–.087=+0.003=+0.3%
Thepointsforeachstockplotonthegraphasindicatedabove.
e.Thehurdlerateisdeterminedbytheprojectbeta(0.3),notthefirm’sbeta.Thecorrectdiscountrateis8.7%,thefairrateofreturnforstockD.
10.Notpossible.PortfolioAhasahigherbetathanPortfolioB,buttheexpectedreturnforPortfolioAislowerthantheexpectedreturnforPortfolioB.Thus,thesetwoportfolioscannotexistinequilibrium.
11.Possible.IftheCAPMisvalid,theexpectedrateofreturncompensatesonlyforsystematic(market)risk,representedbybeta,ratherthanforthestandarddeviation,whichincludesnonsystematicrisk.Thus,PortfolioA’slowerrateofreturncanbepairedwithahigherstandarddeviation,aslongasA’sbetaislessthanB’s.
12.Notpossible.Thereward-to-variabilityratioforPortfolioAisbetterthanthatofthemarket.ThisscenarioisimpossibleaccordingtotheCAPMbecausetheCAPMpredictsthatthemarketisthemostefficientportfolio.Usingthenumberssupplied:
PortfolioAprovidesabetterrisk-rewardtrade-offthanthemarketportfolio.
13.Notpossible.PortfolioAclearlydominatesthemarketportfolio.PortfolioAhasbothalowerstandarddeviationandahigherexpectedreturn.
14.Notpossible.TheSMLforthisscenariois:
E(r)=10+β×(18–10)
Portfolioswithbetaequalto1.5haveanexpectedreturnequalto:
E(r)=10+[1.5×(18–10)]=22%
TheexpectedreturnforPortfolioAis16%;thatis,PortfolioAplotsbelowtheSML(αA=–6%)and,hence,isanoverpricedportfolio.ThisisinconsistentwiththeCAPM.
15.Notpossible.TheSMListhesameasinProblem14.Here,PortfolioA’srequiredreturnis:
.10+(.9×.08)=17.2%
Thisisgreaterthan16%.PortfolioAisoverpricedwithanegativealpha:
αA=–1.2%
16.Possible.TheCMListhesameasinProblem12.PortfolioAplotsbelowtheCML,asanyassetisexpectedto.ThisscenarioisnotinconsistentwiththeCAPM.
17.Sincethestock’sbetaisequalto1.2,itsexpectedrateofreturnis:
.06+[1.2⨯(.16–.06)]=18%
18.Theseriesof$1,000paymentsisaperpetuity.Ifbetais0.5,thecashflowshouldbediscountedattherate:
.06+[0.5×(.16–.06)]=.11=11%
PV=$1,000/0.11=$9,090.91
If,however,betaisequalto1,thentheinvestmentshouldyield16%,andthepricepaidforthefirmshouldbe:
PV=$1,000/0.16=$6,250
Thedifference,$2,840.91,istheamountyouwilloverpayifyouerroneouslyassumethatbetais0.5ratherthan1.
19.UsingtheSML:
.04=.06+β×(.16–.06)⇒β=–.02/.10=–0.2
20.r1=19%;r2=16%;β1=1.5;β2=1
a.Todeterminewhichinvestorwasabetterselectorofindividualstockswelookatabnormalreturn,whichistheex-postalpha;thatis,theabnormalreturnisthedifferencebetweentheactualreturnandthatpredictedbytheSML.Withoutinformationabouttheparametersofthisequation(risk-freerateandmarketrateofreturn)wecannotdeterminewhichinvestorwasmoreaccurate.
b.Ifrf=6%andrM=14%,then(usingthenotationalphafortheabnormalreturn):
α1=.19–[.06+1.5×(.14–.06)]=.19–.18=1%
α2=.16–[.06+1×(.14–.06)]=.16–.14=2%
Here,thesecondinvestorhasthelargerabnormalreturnandthusappearstobethesuperiorstockselector.Bymakingbetterpredictions,thesecond
investorappearstohavetiltedhisportfoliotowardunderpricedstocks.
c.Ifrf=3%andrM=15%,then:
α1=.19–[.03+1.5×(.15–.03)]=.19–.21=–2%
α2=.16–[.03+1×(.15–.03)]=.16–.15=1%
Here,notonlydoesthesecondinvestorappeartobethesuperiorstockselector,butthefirstinvestor’spredictionsappearvalueless(orworse).
21.a.Sincethemarketportfolio,bydefinition,hasabetaof1,itsexpectedrateofreturnis12%.
b.β=0meansnosystematicrisk.Hence,thestock’sexpectedrateofreturninmarketequilibriumistherisk-freerate,5%.
c.UsingtheSML,thefairexpectedrateofreturnforastockwithβ=–0.5is:
Theactuallyexpectedrateofreturn,usingtheexpectedpriceanddividendfornextyearis:
Becausetheactuallyexpectedreturnexceedsthefairreturn,thestockisunderpriced.
22.Inthezero-betaCAPMthezero-betaportfolioreplacestherisk-freerate,andthus:
E(r)=8+0.6(17–8)=13.4%
23.a.E(rP)=rf+βP×[E(rM)–rf]=5%+0.8(15%−5%)=13%
α=14%-13%=1%
Youshouldinvestinthisfundbecausealphaispositive.
b.Thepassiveportfoliowiththesamebetaasthefundshouldbeinvested80%inthemarket-indexportfolioand20%inthemoneymarketaccount.Forthisportfolio:
E(rP)=(0.8×15%)+(0.2×5%)=13%
14%−13%=1%=α
24.a.WewouldincorporateliquidityintotheCCAPMinamanneranalogoustothewayinwhichliquidityisincorporatedintotheconventionalCAPM.Inthelattercase,inadditiontothemarketriskpremium,expectedreturnisalsodependentontheexpectedcostofilliquidityandthreeliquidity-relatedbetaswhichmeasurethesensitivityof:
(1)thesecurity’silliquiditytomarketilliquidity;
(2)thesecurity’sreturntomarketilliquidity;and,(3)thesecurity’silliquiditytothemarketreturn.AsimilarapproachcanbeusedfortheCCAPM,exceptthattheliquiditybetaswouldbemeasuredrelativetoconsumptiongrowthratherthantheusualmarketindex.
b.Asinpart(a),nontradedassetswouldbeincorporatedintotheCCAPMinafashionsimilartopart(a).Replacethemarketportfoliowithconsumptiongrowth.Theissueofliquidityismoreacutewithnontradedassetssuchasprivatelyheldbusinessesandlaborincome.
Whileownershipofaprivatelyheldbusinessisanalogoustoownershipofanilliquidstock,expectagreaterdegreeofilliquidityforthetypicalprivatebusiness.Iftheownerofaprivatelyheldbusinessissatisfiedwiththedividendspaidoutfromthebusiness,thenthelackofliquidityisn