计量经济学 庞浩第三版部分习题图片.docx

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计量经济学 庞浩第三版部分习题图片.docx

计量经济学庞浩第三版部分习题图片

第二章

2.1

(1)

(2)

2.2

(1)

 

(2)

X

Y

 Mean

 6000.441

 902.5148

 Median

 2689.280

 209.3900

 Maximum

 27722.31

 4895.410

 Minimum

 123.7200

 25.87000

 Std.Dev.

 7608.021

 1351.009

 Skewness

 1.432519

 1.663108

 Kurtosis

 4.010515

 4.590432

 Jarque-Bera

 12.69068

 18.69063

 Probability

 0.001755

 0.000087

 Sum

 198014.5

 29782.99

 SumSq.Dev.

 1.85E+09

 58407195

 Observations

 33

 33

(3)

 

2.4

(1)

(3)

第三章

3.1

(1)

 

(3)

3.2

(1)

DependentVariable:

Y

Method:

LeastSquares

Date:

12/28/15Time:

14:

42

Sample:

19942011

Includedobservations:

18

Variable

Coefficient

Std.Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

X2

0.135474

0.012799

10.58454

0.0000

X3

18.85348

9.776181

1.928512

0.0729

C

-18231.58

8638.216

-2.110573

0.0520

R-squared

0.985838

    Meandependentvar

6619.191

AdjustedR-squared

0.983950

    S.D.dependentvar

5767.152

S.E.ofregression

730.6306

    Akaikeinfocriterion

16.17670

Sumsquaredresid

8007316.

    Schwarzcriterion

16.32510

Loglikelihood

-142.5903

    Hannan-Quinncriter.

16.19717

F-statistic

522.0976

    Durbin-Watsonstat

1.173432

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

 

(3)

DependentVariable:

LNY

Method:

LeastSquares

Date:

12/28/15Time:

14:

46

Sample:

19942011

Includedobservations:

18

Variable

Coefficient

Std.Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

LNX2

1.564221

0.088988

17.57789

0.0000

LNX3

1.760695

0.682115

2.581229

0.0209

C

-20.52048

5.432487

-3.777363

0.0018

R-squared

0.986295

    Meandependentvar

8.400112

AdjustedR-squared

0.984467

    S.D.dependentvar

0.941530

S.E.ofregression

0.117343

    Akaikeinfocriterion

-1.296424

Sumsquaredresid

0.206540

    Schwarzcriterion

-1.148029

Loglikelihood

14.66782

    Hannan-Quinncriter.

-1.275962

F-statistic

539.7364

    Durbin-Watsonstat

0.686656

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

 

3.3

(1)

 

(2)

DependentVariable:

X

Method:

LeastSquares

Date:

12/28/15Time:

15:

01

Sample:

118

Includedobservations:

18

Variable

Coefficient

Std.Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

C

444.5888

406.1786

1.094565

0.2899

T

123.1516

31.84150

3.867644

0.0014

R-squared

0.483182

    Meandependentvar

1942.933

AdjustedR-squared

0.450881

    S.D.dependentvar

698.8325

S.E.ofregression

517.8529

    Akaikeinfocriterion

15.44170

Sumsquaredresid

4290746.

    Schwarzcriterion

15.54063

Loglikelihood

-136.9753

    Hannan-Quinncriter.

15.45534

F-statistic

14.95867

    Durbin-Watsonstat

1.052251

Prob(F-statistic)

0.001364

(3)

DependentVariable:

E1

Method:

LeastSquares

Date:

12/28/15Time:

15:

07

Sample:

118

Includedobservations:

18

Variable

Coefficient

Std.Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

E2

0.086450

0.028431

3.040742

0.0078

C

3.96E-14

13.88083

2.85E-15

1.0000

R-squared

0.366239

    Meandependentvar

2.30E-14

AdjustedR-squared

0.326629

    S.D.dependentvar

71.76693

S.E.ofregression

58.89136

    Akaikeinfocriterion

11.09370

Sumsquaredresid

55491.07

    Schwarzcriterion

11.19264

Loglikelihood

-97.84334

    Hannan-Quinncriter.

11.10735

F-statistic

9.246111

    Durbin-Watsonstat

2.605783

Prob(F-statistic)

0.007788

 

3.6

(1)

DependentVariable:

Y

Method:

LeastSquares

Date:

12/28/15Time:

15:

14

Sample:

19942011

Includedobservations:

18

Variable

Coefficient

Std.Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

X2

0.001382

0.001102

1.254330

0.2336

X3

0.001942

0.003960

0.490501

0.6326

X4

-3.579090

3.559949

-1.005377

0.3346

X5

0.004791

0.005034

0.951671

0.3600

X6

0.045542

0.095552

0.476621

0.6422

C

-13.77732

15.73366

-0.875659

0.3984

R-squared

0.994869

    Meandependentvar

12.76667

AdjustedR-squared

0.992731

    S.D.dependentvar

9.746631

S.E.ofregression

0.830963

    Akaikeinfocriterion

2.728738

Sumsquaredresid

8.285993

    Schwarzcriterion

3.025529

Loglikelihood

-18.55865

    Hannan-Quinncriter.

2.769662

F-statistic

465.3617

    Durbin-Watsonstat

1.553294

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

 

(3)

DependentVariable:

Y

Method:

LeastSquares

Date:

12/28/15Time:

15:

18

Sample:

19942011

Includedobservations:

18

Variable

Coefficient

Std.Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

X5

0.001032

2.20E-05

46.79946

0.0000

X6

-0.054965

0.031184

-1.762581

0.0983

C

4.205481

3.335602

1.260786

0.2266

R-squared

0.993601

    Meandependentvar

12.76667

AdjustedR-squared

0.992748

    S.D.dependentvar

9.746631

S.E.ofregression

0.830018

    Akaikeinfocriterion

2.616274

Sumsquaredresid

10.33396

    Schwarzcriterion

2.764669

Loglikelihood

-20.54646

    Hannan-Quinncriter.

2.636736

F-statistic

1164.567

    Durbin-Watsonstat

1.341880

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

 

第四章

4.3

(1)

 

(2)

 

(3)

a)

DependentVariable:

LNY

Method:

LeastSquares

Date:

12/28/15Time:

15:

34

Sample:

19852011

Includedobservations:

27

Variable

Coefficient

Std.Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

LNGDP

1.185739

0.027822

42.61933

0.0000

C

-3.750670

0.312255

-12.01156

0.0000

R-squared

0.986423

    Meandependentvar

9.484710

AdjustedR-squared

0.985880

    S.D.dependentvar

1.425517

S.E.ofregression

0.169389

    Akaikeinfocriterion

-0.642056

Sumsquaredresid

0.717312

    Schwarzcriterion

-0.546068

Loglikelihood

10.66776

    Hannan-Quinncriter.

-0.613514

F-statistic

1816.407

    Durbin-Watsonstat

0.471111

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

b)

DependentVariable:

LNY

Method:

LeastSquares

Date:

12/28/15Time:

15:

36

Sample:

19852011

Includedobservations:

27

Variable

Coefficient

Std.Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

LNCPI

2.939295

0.222756

13.19511

0.0000

C

-6.854535

1.242243

-5.517871

0.0000

R-squared

0.874442

    Meandependentvar

9.484710

AdjustedR-squared

0.869419

    S.D.dependentvar

1.425517

S.E.ofregression

0.515124

    Akaikeinfocriterion

1.582368

Sumsquaredresid

6.633810

    Schwarzcriterion

1.678356

Loglikelihood

-19.36196

    Hannan-Quinncriter.

1.610910

F-statistic

174.1108

    Durbin-Watsonstat

0.137042

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

c)

DependentVariable:

LNGDP

Method:

LeastSquares

Date:

12/28/15Time:

15:

38

Sample:

19852011

Includedobservations:

27

Variable

Coefficient

Std.Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

LNCPI

2.511022

0.158302

15.86227

0.0000

C

-2.796381

0.882798

-3.167634

0.0040

R-squared

0.909621

    Meandependentvar

11.16214

AdjustedR-squared

0.906005

    S.D.dependentvar

1.194029

S.E.ofregression

0.366072

    Akaikeinfocriterion

0.899213

Sumsquaredresid

3.350216

    Schwarzcriterion

0.995201

Loglikelihood

-10.13938

    Hannan-Quinncriter.

0.927755

F-statistic

251.6117

    Durbin-Watsonstat

0.099623

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

 

4.4

(1)

DependentVariable:

CZSR

Method:

LeastSquares

Date:

12/28/15Time:

15:

43

Sample:

19852011

Includedobservations:

27

Variable

Coefficient

Std.Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

CZZC

0.090114

0.044367

2.031129

0.0540

GDP

-0.025334

0.005069

-4.998036

0.0000

SSZE

1.176894

0.062162

18.93271

0.0000

C

-221.8540

130.6532

-1.698038

0.1030

R-squared

0.999857

    Meandependentvar

22572.56

AdjustedR-squared

0.999838

    S.D.dependentvar

27739.49

S.E.ofregression

353.0540

    Akaikeinfocriterion

14.70707

Sumsquaredresid

2866884.

    Schwarzcriterion

14.89905

Loglikelihood

-194.5455

    Hannan-Quinncriter.

14.76416

F-statistic

53493.93

    Durbin-Watsonstat

1.458128

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

 

(2)

CZSR

CZZC

GDP

SSZE

CZSR

 1.000000

 0.998729

 0.992838

 0.999832

CZZC

 0.998729

 1.000000

 0.992536

 0.998575

GDP

 0.992838

 0.992536

 1.000000

 0.994370

SSZE

 0.999832

 0.998575

 0.994370

 1.000000

(3)

被解释变量

可决系数

方差扩大因子

CZZC

0.997168

353

GDP

0.988833

90

SSZE

0.997862

468

 

第五章

5.2

(1)

 

DependentVariable:

Y

Method:

LeastSquares

Date:

12/28/15Time:

15:

50

Sample:

17

Includedobservations:

7

Variable

Coefficient

Std.Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

T

35.20664

4.901492

7.182843

0.0020

X

0.109949

0.061965

1.774380

0.1507

C

77.12588

82.32844

0.936807

0.4019

R-squared

0.943099

    Meandependentvar

565.6857

AdjustedR-squared

0.914649

    S.D.dependentvar

108.2755

S.E.ofregression

31.63265

    Akaikeinfocriterion

10.04378

Sumsquaredresid

4002.499

    Schwarzcriterion

10.02060

Loglikelihood

-32.15324

    Hannan-Quinncriter.

9.757267

F-statistic

33.14880

    Durbin-Watsonstat

1.426262

Prob(F-statistic)

0.003238

 

DependentVari

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