国际经济学16Word下载.docx

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国际经济学16Word下载.docx

Introduction

1.Whatisinternationaleconomicsabout?

Seventhemesrecurthroughoutthestudyofinternationaleconomics:

Thegainsfromtrade

(Nationalwelfareandincomedistribution)

Thepatternoftrade

Protectionism

Thebalanceofpayments

Exchangeratedetermination

Internationalcapitalmarket

2.Internationaleconomics:

tradeandmoney

PartI(chapters2through7):

internationaltradetheory

PartII(chapters8through11):

internationaltradepolicy

PartIII(chapters12through17):

internationalmonetarytheory

PartIV(chapters18through22):

internationalmonetarypolicy

Chapter2

LaborProductivityandComparativeAdvantage:

TheRicardianModel

*Countriesengageininternationaltradefortwobasicreasons:

Comparativeadvantage:

countriesaredifferentintechnology(chapter2)orresource(chapter4).

Economicsofscale(chapter6).

*Allmotivesareatworkintherealworldbutonlyonemotiveispresentineachtrademodel.

1.Theconceptofcomparativeadvantage

1.Opportunitycost:

Theopportunitycostofrosesintermsofcomputersisthenumberofcomputersthatcouldhavebeenproducedwiththeresourcesusedtoproduceagivennumberofroses.

Table2-1HypotheticalChangesinProduction

MillionRosesThousandComputers

UnitedStates

-10

+100

SouthAmerica

+10

-30

Total

+70

2.Comparativeadvantage:

Acountryhasacomparativeadvantageinproducingagoodiftheopportunitycostofproducingthatgoodintermsofothergoodsislowerinthatcountrythanitisinothercountries.

Denotedbyopportunitycost.

Arelativeconcept:

relativelaborproductivityorrelativeabundance.

3.Thepatternoftrade:

Tradebetweentwocountriescanbenefitbothcountriesifeachcountryexportsthegoodsinwhichithasacomparativeadvantage.

2.Aone-factoreconomy

1.productionpossibilities:

aLCQC+aLWQLW≤L

Figure2-1Home’sProductionPossibilityFrontier

2.Relativepriceandsupply

Laborwillmovetothesectorwhichpayshigherwage.

IfPC/PW>

aLC/aLW(PC/aLC>

PW/aLW,wageinthecheesesectorishigher),theeconomywillspecializeintheproductionofcheese.

Inaclosedeconomy,PC/PW=aLC/aLW.

Ifeachcountryhasabsoluteadvantageinonegoodrespectively,willthereexistcomparativeadvantage?

3.Tradeinaone-factorworld

Model:

2

Assume:

aLC/aLW<

aLC*/aLW*

Homehasacomparativeadvantageincheese.

Home’srelativeproductivityincheeseishigher.

Home’spretraderelativepriceofcheeseislowerthanforeign.

Theconditionunderwhichhomehasthecomparativeadvantageinvolvesallfourunitlaborrequirement,notjusttwo.

1.Determiningtherelativepriceaftertrade

Relativepriceismoreimportantthanabsoluteprice,whenpeoplemakedecisionsonproductionandconsumption.

Generalequilibriumanalysis:

RSequalsRD.(Worldgeneralequilibrium)

RS:

a“step”withflatsectionslinkedbyaverticalsection.(L/aLC)/(L*/aLW*)

Figure2-3WorldRelativeSupplyandDemand

RD:

subsititutioneffects

Relativepriceaftertrade:

betweenthetwocountries’pretradeprice.

(Howwillthesizeofthetradingcountriesaffecttherelativepriceaftertrade?

Whichcountry’slivingconditionimprovesmore?

Isitpossiblethatacountryproducebothgoods?

2.Thegainsfromtrade

Themutualgaincanbedemonstratedintwoalternativeways.

Tothinkoftradeasanindirectmethodofproduction:

(1/aLC)(PC/PW)>

1/aLWorPC/PW>

aLC/aLW

Toexaminehowtradeaffectseachcountry’spossibilitiesofconsumption.

Figure2-4TradeExpandsConsumptionPossibilities

(Howwillthetermsoftradechangeinthelong-term?

Arethereincomedistributioneffectswithincountries?

3.Anumericalexample:

Twocrucialpoints:

Whentwocountriesspecializeinproducingthegoodsinwhichtheyhaveacomparativeadvantage,bothcountriesgainfromtrade.

Comparativeadvantagemustnotbeconfusedwithabsoluteadvantage;

itiscomparative,notabsolute,advantagethatdetermineswhowillandshouldproduceagood.

Table2-2UnitLaborRequirements

CheeseWine

Home

aLC=1hourperpound

aLW=2hourspergallon

Foreign

a*LC=6hoursperpound

a*LW=3hourspergallon

absoluteadvantage;

relativeprice;

specialization;

thegainsfromtrade.

4.Relativewages

Itispreciselybecausetherelativewageisbetweentherelativeproductivitiesthateachcountryendsupwithacostadvantageinonegood.

Relativewagesdependonrelativeproductivityandrelativedemandongoods.

Specialbox:

Dowagesreflectproductivity?

Table2-3ChangesinWagesandUnitLaborCosts

CompensationCompensationAnnualRateofIncrease

perHour,1975PerHour,2000inUnitLaborCosts,

(US=100)(US=100)1979-2000

UnitedStates

100

1.1

SouthKorea

5

41

0.7

Taiwan

6

30

3.6

HongKong

12

28

NA

Singapore

13

37

Source:

BureauofLaborStatistics(foreignlaborstatisticshomepage,www.bls.gov/fls/home.htm)

Debatesaboutrelativewagesandrelativelaborproductivity.

Long-runconvergenceinproductivityproduceslong-runconvergenceinwages.

4.Misconceptionsaboutcomparativeadvantage

Thepropositionthattradeisbeneficialisunqualified.Thatis,thereisnorequirementthatacountrybe“competitive”orthatthetradebe“fair”.

1.Productivityandcompetitiveness

myth1:

Freetradeisbeneficialonlyifyourcountryisstrongenoughtostanduptoforeigncompetition.

Thegainsfromtradedependoncomparativeadvantageratherthanabsoluteadvantage.

Thecompetitiveadvantageofanindustrydependonrelativelaborproductivityandrelativewage.

Absoluteadvantage:

neitheranecessarynorasufficientconditionforcomparativeadvantage(orforthegainsfromtrade).

2.Thepauperlaborargument

myth2:

Foreigncompetitionisunfairandhurtsothercountrieswhenitisbasedonlowwages.

Whetherthelowercostofforeignexportgoodsisduetohighproductivityorlowwagesdoesnotmatter.Allthatmattertohomeisthatitismoreefficientto“produce”thosegoodsindirectlythantoproducedirectly.

3.Exploitation

myth3:

Tradeexploitsacountryandmakesitworseoffifitsworkersreceivemuchlowerwagethanworkersinothernations.

Whethertheyandtheircountryareworseoff?

Whatisthealternative?

(Ifitrefusestotrade,realwageswouldbeevenlower).

5.Comparativeadvantagewithmanygoods

Model:

n

ForanygoodwecancalculateaLi/aLi*,labelthegoodssothatthelowerthenumber,thelowerthisratio.

aL1/aL1*<

aL2/aL2*<

…<

aLN/aLN*

(oraL1*/aL1>

aL2*/aL2>

…>

aLN*/aLN)

1.Relativewagesandspecialization

AnygoodforwhichaLi*/aLi>

w/w*willbeproducedinhome.Relativeproductivityishigherthanitsrelativewage,waLi<

w*aLi*,goodswillalwaysbeproducedwhereitischeapesttomakethem.

Allthegoodstotheleftofthecutendupbeingproducedinhome.

Table2-4HomeandForeignUnitLaborRequirements

RelativeHome

HomeUnitLaborForeignUnitLaborProductivety

Requirement(aLi)Requirement(a*Li)Advantage(a*Li/aLi)

Apples

1

10

Bananas

5

40

8

Caviar

3

12

4

Dates

6

Enchiladas

9

0.75

ifw/w*=3,A、B、CwillbeproducedinHomeandD、Einforeign.

Issuchapatternofspecializationbeneficialtobothcountries?

(Hint:

Comparingthelaborcostofproducinga(import)gooddirectlyandindirectly).

2.Determiningtherelativewageinthemultigoodmodel

w/w*:

RDoflaborequalsRSoflabor.

Therelativederiveddemandforhomelabor(L/L*)willfallwhentheratioofhometoforeignwages(w/w*)rises,because:

(1)Thegoodsproducedinhomebecamerelativemoreexpensive.

(2)Fewerfoodswillbeproducedinhomeandmoreinforeign.

Figure2-5Determinationofrelativeofwages.

derivedformrelativedemandforhomeandforeigngoods.

determinedbyrelativesizeofhomeandforeignlaborforce(Laborcan’tmovebetweencountries).

6.Addingtransportcostsandnontradedgoods

Therearethreemainreasonswhyspecializationintherealinternationaleconomyisnotsoextreme:

(1)theexistenceofmorethanonefactorofproduction

(2)protectionism

(3)theexistenceoftransportcost.

E.g.supposetransportcostisauniformfractionofproductioncost,say100percents.ForgoodsCandDintable2-4:

D:

Home6hours<

12hours×

1/3×

2foreign

C:

Home3hours×

2>

1/3foreign

Thus,CandDbecamenontradedgoods.

Inpracticethereisawiderangeoftransportationcosts.

Insomecasestransportationisvirtuallyimpossible:

servicessuchashaircutandautorepair;

goodswithhighweight-to-valueratio,likecement.

Nontradedgoods:

becauseofabsenceofstrongnationalcostadvantageorbecauseofhightransportationcost.

Nationsspendalargeshareoftheirincomeonnontradedgoods.

7.EmpiricalevidenceontheRicardianmodel

Misleadingpredictions:

(1)Anextremedegreeofspecialization;

(2)Neglecttheeffectsonincome

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