债券市场分析与策略第7版答案4Word文件下载.docx
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PRICEVOLATILITYCHARACTERISTICSOFOPTION-FREEBONDS
Therearefourpropertiesconcerningthepricevolatilityofanoption-freebond.(i)Althoughthepricesofalloption-freebondsmoveintheoppositedirectionfromthechangeinyieldrequired,thepercentagepricechangeisnotthesameforallbonds.(ii)Forverysmallchangesintheyieldrequired,thepercentagepricechangeforagivenbondisroughlythesame,whethertheyieldrequiredincreasesordecreases.(iii)Forlargechangesintherequiredyield,thepercentagepricechangeisnotthesameforanincreaseintherequiredyieldasitisforadecreaseintherequiredyield.(iv)Foragivenlargechangeinbasispoints,thepercentagepriceincreaseisgreaterthanthepercentagepricedecrease.
Anexplanationforthesefourpropertiesofbondpricevolatilityliesintheconvexshapeoftheprice-yieldrelationship.
CharacteristicsofaBondthatAffectitsPriceVolatility
Therearetwocharacteristicsofanoption-freebondthatdetermineitspricevolatility:
couponandtermtomaturity.
First,foragiventermtomaturityandinitialyield,thepricevolatilityofabondisgreater,thelowerthecouponrate.Thischaracteristiccanbeseenbycomparingthe9%,6%,andzero-couponbondswiththesamematurity.Second,foragivencouponrateandinitialyield,thelongerthetermtomaturity,thegreaterthepricevolatility.
EffectsofYieldtoMaturity
Abondtradingatahigheryieldtomaturitywillhavelowerpricevolatility.Animplicationofthisisthatforagivenchangeinyields,pricevolatilityisgreaterwhenyieldlevelsinthemarketarelow,andpricevolatilityislowerwhenyieldlevelsarehigh.
MEASURESOFBONDPRICEVOLATILITY
Moneymanagers,arbitrageurs,andtradersneedtohaveawaytomeasureabond’spricevolatilitytoimplementhedgingandtradingstrategies.Threemeasuresthatarecommonlyemployedarepricevalueofabasispoint,yieldvalueofapricechange,andduration.
PriceValueofaBasisPoint
Thepricevalueofabasispoint,alsoreferredtoasthedollarvalueofan01,isthechangeinthepriceofthebondiftherequiredyieldchangesby1basispoint.Notethatthismeasureofpricevolatilityindicatesdollarpricevolatilityasopposedtopercentagepricevolatility(pricechangeasapercentoftheinitialprice).Typically,thepricevalueofabasispointisexpressedastheabsolutevalueofthechangeinprice.Pricevolatilityisthesameforanincreaseoradecreaseof1basispointinrequiredyield.
Becausethismeasureofpricevolatilityisintermsofdollarpricechange,dividingthepricevalueofabasispointbytheinitialpricegivesthepercentagepricechangefora1-basis-pointchangeinyield.
YieldValueofaPriceChange
Anothermeasureofthepricevolatilityofabondusedbyinvestorsisthechangeintheyieldforaspecifiedpricechange.Thisisestimatedbyfirstcalculatingthebond’syieldtomaturityifthebond’spriceisdecreasedby,say,Xdollars.ThenthedifferencebetweentheinitialyieldandthenewyieldistheyieldvalueofanXdollarpricechange.Thesmallerthisvalue,thegreaterthedollarpricevolatility,becauseitwouldtakeasmallerchangeinyieldtoproduceapricechangeofXdollars.
Duration
TheMacaulaydurationisonemeasureoftheapproximatechangeinpriceforasmallchangeinyield.
Macaulayduration=
whereP=priceofthebond,C=semiannualcouponinterest(indollars),y=one-halftheyieldtomaturityorrequiredyield,n=numberofsemiannualperiods(numberofyearstimes2),andM=maturityvalue(indollars).
InvestorsrefertotheratioofMacaulaydurationto1+yasthemodifiedduration.Theequationis:
modifiedduration=
.
Themodifieddurationisrelatedtotheapproximatepercentagechangeinpriceforagivenchangeinyieldasgivenby:
=modifiedduration.
Becauseforalloption-freebondsmodifieddurationispositive,theaboveequationstatesthatthereisaninverserelationshipbetweenmodifieddurationandtheapproximatepercentagechangeinpriceforagivenyieldchange.Thisistobeexpectedfromthefundamentalprinciplethatbondpricesmoveintheoppositedirectionofthechangeininterestrates.
Ingeneral,ifthecashflowsoccurmtimesperyear,thedurationsareadjustedbydividingbym,thatis,
durationinyears=
WecanderiveanalternativeformulathatdoesnothavetheextensivecalculationsoftheMacaulaydurationandthemodifiedduration.Thisisdonebyrewritingthepriceofabondintermsofitstwocomponents:
(i)thepresentvalueofanannuity,wheretheannuityisthesumofthecouponpayments,and(ii)thepresentvalueoftheparvalue.BytakingthefirstderivativeanddividingbyP,weobtainanotherformulaformodifieddurationgivenby:
wherethepriceisexpressedasapercentageofparvalue.
PropertiesofDuration
ThemodifieddurationandMacaulaydurationofacouponbondarelessthanthematurity.TheMacaulaydurationofazero-couponbondisequaltoitsmaturity;
azero-couponbond’smodifiedduration,however,islessthanitsmaturity.Also,lowercouponratesgenerallyhavegreaterMacaulayandmodifiedbonddurations.
Thereisaconsistencybetweenthepropertiesofbondpricevolatilityandthepropertiesofmodifiedduration.Forexample,apropertyofmodifieddurationisthat,ceterisparibus,bondswithlongerthematuritywillhavegreatermodifieddurations.Also,generallythelowerthecouponrate,thegreaterthemodifiedduration.Thus,greatermodifieddurationswillhavegreaterthepricevolatility.Aswenotedearlier,allotherfactorsconstant,thehighertheyieldlevel,thelowerthepricevolatility.Thesamepropertyholdsformodifiedduration.
ApproximatingthePercentagePriceChange
Thebelowequationcanbeusedtoapproximatethepercentagepricechangeforagivenchangeinrequiredyield:
=(modifiedduration)(dy).
Wecanusethisequationtoprovideaninterpretationofmodifiedduration.Supposethattheyieldonanybondchangesby100basispoints.Then,substituting100basispoints(0.01)fordyintotheaboveequation,weget:
=(modifiedduration)(0.01)=(modifiedduration)(%).
Thus,modifieddurationcanbeinterpretedastheapproximatepercentagechangeinpricefora100-basis-pointchangeinyield.
ApproximatingtheDollarPriceChange
Modifieddurationisaproxyforthepercentagechangeinprice.Investorsalsoliketoknowthedollarpricevolatilityofabond.Forsmallchangesintherequiredyield,thebelowequationdoesagoodjobinestimatingthechangeinprice:
dP=(dollarduration)(dy).
Whentherearelargemovementsintherequiredyield,dollardurationormodifieddurationisnotadequatetoapproximatethepricereaction.Durationwilloverestimatethepricechangewhentherequiredyieldrises,therebyunderestimatingthenewprice.Whentherequiredyieldfalls,durationwillunderestimatethepricechangeandtherebyunderestimatethenewprice.
SpreadDuration
Marketparticipantscomputeameasurecalledspreadduration.Thismeasureisusedintwoways:
forfixedbondsandfloating-ratebonds.
Aspreaddurationforafixed-ratesecurityisinterpretedastheapproximatechangeinthepriceofafixed-ratebondfora100-basis-pointchangeinthespread.
PortfolioDuration
Thusfarwehavelookedatthedurationofanindividualbond.Thedurationofaportfolioissimplytheweightedaveragedurationofthebondsintheportfolios.
Portfoliomanagerslookattheirinterestrateexposuretoaparticularissueintermsofitscontributiontoportfolioduration.Thismeasureisfoundbymultiplyingtheweightoftheissueintheportfoliobythedurationoftheindividualissuegivenas:
contributiontoportfolioduration=weightofissueinportfolioxdurationofissue.
CONVEXITY
Becauseallthedurationmeasuresareonlyapproximationsforsmallchangesinyield,theydonotcapturetheeffectoftheconvexityofabondonitspriceperformancewhenyieldschangebymorethanasmallamount.Thedurationmeasurecanbesupplementedwithanadditionalmeasuretocapturethecurvatureorconvexityofabond.
MeasuringConvexity
Duration(modifiedordollar)attemptstoestimateaconvexrelationshipwithastraightline(thetangentline).WecanusethefirsttwotermsofaTaylorseriestoapproximatethepricechange.Wegetthedollarconvexitymeasureofthebond:
dollarconvexitymeasure=
Theapproximatechangeinpriceduetoconvexityis:
dP=(dollarconvexitymeasure)(dy)2.
Thepercentagechangeinthepriceofthebondduetoconvexityortheconvexitymeasureis:
convexitymeasure=
Thepercentagepricechangeduetoconvexityis:
Ingeneral,ifthecashflowsoccurmtimesperyear,convexityisadjustedtoanannualfigureasfollows:
convexitymeasureinyear=
ApproximatingPercentagePriceChangeUsingDurationandConvexityMeasures
Usingdurationandconvexitymeasurestogethergivesabette