凯捷咨询----解决问题的方法与假设2004年PPT版PPT格式课件下载.ppt
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FactualinformationgatheredtoproveordisprovehypothesesAnalysewhatthedatatellsusStatementsthatprovidedirectionandstructurefortheanalysis2004Capgemini-AllrightsreservedXxx/yymmdd-StructuredProblemSolvingandHypothesisGeneration,Author/ConsultingSkillsWorkshopHypothesisformationensuresthatouranalysisisfocusedonourclientsproblemFormHypothesesDefinetheIssuesGatherDataAnalyseDataFindInsightsDevelopConclusionsandMakeRecommendationstoImplementSowhat?
aha,newthoughtWhatyoushoulddoandhowWhatarethequestionskeepingyouawakeatnight?
FactualinformationgatheredtoproveordisprovehypothesesAnalysewhatthedatatellsusStatementsthatprovidedirectionandstructurefortheanalysis2004Capgemini-AllrightsreservedXxx/yymmdd-StructuredProblemSolvingandHypothesisGeneration,Author/ConsultingSkillsWorkshopHypothesesaredevelopedinthreestepsWhataretherealstrategicissues?
Whatistheimpactontheorganisation?
Whatarethepriorities?
Wethink.Itlookslike.Therightanswermaybe.Theoptionscouldbe.Webelievethistobetrue.Aseriesofstatements,notyetbackedbydataBasedoninitialdatasearchorexpertopinionsAnumberofassertionsneedtobetrueforahypothesistobevalid.Isthereamarketforwhitelabelinsuranceproducts?
DirectchannelsaregrowingRetailershaveastrongchannelandbrandThereareexistingproductsChubbInsurancecanaccessnewbusinessbyusingthebrandstrengthofTescoresultingIslowcostofacquisitionandprofitablebusinessDefinethequestionReviewandDescribeMultipleAssertionsFormthehypothesis123ConsultingSkillsWorkshopAhypothesisshouldidentifynotonlytheissuebutalsothecauseandtheimpactThinkthroughthesethreestagesasyoucreateahypothesistohelpyouplanouthowyouwilltestit:
Whatistheissue?
Whatistheunderlyingopportunity?
Whereistheadvantage?
Whatdoyouthinkcausestheissue?
Whatarethekeydriversoftheprocess?
Whatistheimpactoftheissue?
Howcanwetellthereisanopportunity?
Whydowecare?
“xisanopportunity.”“dueto.”“resultingin.”ConsultingSkillsWorkshopDEFINETHEPROBLEMSTRUCTURETHEANALYSISFINDTHESOLUTIONOurproblemsolvingapproachproducesresultsthroughansweringasimpleseriesofquestionsIsthereaproblemoropportunity?
Ifsowheredoesitlie?
Whydoesitexist?
Whatcouldwedoaboutit?
Whatshouldwedoaboutit?
Fine,butIWIKH2dothis.2004Capgemini-AllrightsreservedXxx/yymmdd-StructuredProblemSolvingandHypothesisGeneration,Author/ConsultingSkillsWorkshop“Ifyoudontknowwhereyouaregoing,anyroadwilltakeyouthere.”-AnonymousWhyproblemdefinitionmatters2004Capgemini-AllrightsreservedXxx/yymmdd-StructuredProblemSolvingandHypothesisGeneration,Author/ConsultingSkillsWorkshopInstructuringaproblem,breakitintosmaller,easier-to-handlecomponentsANDstartwiththerightdefinitionsUSCarMarketLightTrucksPassengerCarsBig3MiniVansSportUtilityVehiclesFordGMChryslerButbecarefulwhydoesthisnotwork?
2004Capgemini-AllrightsreservedXxx/yymmdd-StructuredProblemSolvingandHypothesisGeneration,Author/ConsultingSkillsWorkshopMutuallyExclusiveandComprehensivelyExhaustiveThemostimportantruleforanystructureyouimpose2004Capgemini-AllrightsreservedXxx/yymmdd-StructuredProblemSolvingandHypothesisGeneration,Author/ConsultingSkillsWorkshopDEVELOPAHYPOTHESISWhatdifferentiatesagoodhypothesisfromabadone?
Ontarget:
AnswersthecorequestionontheclientsmindAccurate:
EmbracestheentirerangeofcompetitiveorprofitdriversMinimal:
“Occamsrazor”Actionable:
CanbequantifiedandtestedOntimeGoodHypothesesAreCannotberefutedCannotpossiblybequantifiedRequireyouto“BoiltheOcean”AresoobviousthatnobodycanintelligentlydisagreewithitOrlooklikeanabstractmodelofaprocessconsistingofboxes,arrowsandcloudsBadHypotheses2004Capgemini-AllrightsreservedXxx/yymmdd-StructuredProblemSolvingandHypothesisGeneration,Author/ConsultingSkillsWorkshopDEVELOPAHYPOTHESISHowtofindagoodhypothesisThereareprovenprocessestogeneratehypotheses:
TalktolotsofpeopleaboutthecoreproblemHaveabrainstormingcaseteammeetingTaguchimethodask“5Whys”S