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电子商务〔文〕
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电子商务0903班
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2021年4月24日
电子商务系
英文翻译评价表
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外文文献标题
TheevolutionofhardcoaltradeinthePacificmarket
外文文献出处
EnergyPolicy34(2006)1853-1866
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指导教师签名:
2021年4月25日
英文原文
Abstract
ThisarticleanalysestheevolutionofhardcoaltradeintheAsiaPacificregion,knownasthePacificmarket,fromthe1980stothepresentyears.Itinvestigatesthedevelopmentofthetradepattern,thenatureofcontracts,thepricesetting,thesupplydemandandthefutureoftrade・
Overthelasttwodecades,theinternationaltradeinthePacificmarkethasachieveddramaticincreasesincoalcommerce・ThisachievementisduetostrongdemandinJapanandNorth-eastAsiancountriesandprogressivecoalexportinAustraliaandIndonesia・ItislikelythatthismarketwillcontinuetoexpandandbecomeamoreimportantmarketinreplacingtheAtlanticmarket.
Inthismarket,historically,long-termsupplycontractswereusualandconcludedbetweenproducerandconsumer.Evenrecently,therearestillannualcontracts,butwithasmallnumberofdeals・Incontrast,spottransactionsarenowbecomingmoreimportant.Previously,JapanhadbeeninfluentialinpricesettingbyestablishingabenchmarkpricewithAustraliancoalsuppliers・Afterwardareferencepricewasbecomingatrend・Nowadays,spotpriceIndices,suchastheBarlowJunker,theBarlowJunkerACRandglobalCOAL,havebecomeimportanttoset什leprice.
ThePacificmarketgrowthisnotwithoutproblems.Theexportercountries,particularlyAustraliaandIndonesia,havesomechallengesthatiftheyarenotresolvedatpresent,itwouldimplicatetheperformanceofthecoaltrade.
1.Introduction
Theoilpricerisein1973initiatedanewphaseininternationalhardcoaltrade,providingastrongincentivetoconvertpowerstationsandotherinstallationsfromoiLandresultinginadecisiontoconstructnewcoal-firedplantstouserelativelyinexpensiveimportedcoal.Thetrendwasreinforcedbytheoilpriceincreasein1979,partlybecauseofnewcoal-firedplantscoiningonstream・Sincethentheinternationalmarketforhardcoalhasdevelopedintoitspresentform.Themarkethascontinuouslygrownonaverage%perannurnfromMt(milliontons)in1979toMtin2002.Thetradeininternationalmarketsissmallincomparisonwithtotalcoalconsumption,accountedforabout%ofworldcoalproductionin1979to%in2002・Atpresent,theworldcoalindustryisstilldominatedbylocalproductionforlocalusebuttheinternationalmarketislikelytocontinuetogrow.Thevigorousexpansionoftheinternationalhardcoaltradehasbeenpushedbythreefactors・Thefirstisthatitconcernsaboutmanyminesshutdownoneconomicsgrounds・ThisistrueforEuropeancountriesandsomeAsiancountrieslikeJapanandSouthKorea・Thesecondisthatmorethanhalfofthetotaltradehelpscovergrowingenergyneeds,especiallyintheemergingmarketsoftheAsianeconomicsregion.
Finallyis,althoughofminorsignificanceinquantityterms,agrowingtradeinspecialqualitycoal・specialcokingcoalforimprovingcokingplants'
inputmixesorverylow-sulphurysteamingcoaltoensureadherencetoemissionlimitsinpowerplants)(Grus'
setaL,2002).
Table1
Worldhardcoaltrade(Mt)
2001
2002©
Growth(%)
World
620.8
622.9
().3
Asia-Pacific
310.1
339.3
9.4
EuroMediterranean
250
216.2
-13.5
NorthAmerica
40.6
38.8
-4.4
LatinAmerica
20.6
19.9
-3.4
Source:
IEA(2(X)3).
Withregardtoregionalmarkets,coalfromanyofthemajorexporterswillfindmarketsineitherEuropeorAsia,dependingprincipallyonfreightcosts・Seabornetransportcoststendtocontributetotheoperationoftworegionalmarkets:
thePacific(Asia)andtheAtlantic(Europe).ThePacificmarketJapan,northandsouthAsia—issuppliedpreferentiallybyAustralia,IndonesiaandChinabecauseofthegeographicproximity.Forthesamereason,theAtlanticmarketissuppliedpreferentiallybySouthAfrica,Poland,US,ColombiaandVenezuela・
In2002,oftheMttotalinternationalhardcoaltrade,%wasintheAsia-Pacificregionand%wasin什ieEuropean-Mediterraneanregion.TotalcoaltradeintotheAsia-Pacificroseby%toreachnearly340Mtfromyear2001to2002.Conversely,importsintotheEuropean-Mediterraneanmarketdeclinedby%overthesameperiodtoalevelof216Mt.ItislikelythatthePacificmarketwillcontinuetoexpandandbecomeamoreimportantmarketwhiletheAtlanticmarketisdeclining・Table1showsth