包勇麟英文译文 原文.docx

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包勇麟英文译文原文

China’sIntegrationinEastAsia:

ProductionSharing,FDI&High-TechTrade

GuillaumeGaulier,FrançoiseLemoine,DenizÜnal-Kesenci

1.SUMMARY

ThepaperanalysesChina’sinvolvementintheinternationaldivisionoflabouranditsconsequencesontheprocessofregionaleconomicintegrationinEastAsia.

Thein-depthanalysisoftradeflows,basedonChina’scustomsstatistics,showsthattheengineofChina’stradeexpansionhasbeeninternationalprocessingactivities,basedoninputsimportedfromAsiancountries.ProductionsharingwithadvancedAsianeconomieshasallowedforarapiddiversificationofChina’smanufacturingexportcapacities.FirmsinAsiahavemovedproductionfacilitiestoChina,enhancingChina’sintegrationintheregionaleconomyandleadingtothereorganisationofindustryinEastAsia.Foreignaffiliatesareresponsibleforamajorandever-growingpartofChina’strade,especiallywithAsiancountries.China’simportsofintermediateproductsfromAsianindustrialisedcountrieshavebeenanimportantchanneloftechnologytransferandhavehelpedChinatorapidlyimprovethehigh-techcontentofitsforeigntrade.However,uptonowthetechnologicalupgradingofChina’stradehasremainedquitecircumscribedtoforeignfirmproductionandexportbases.ThequestionnowiswhetherChinawillremaindurablydependentonforeigntechnologyorwillbeabletodevelopitsowntechnologicalcapacityinthecomingyears.

AsaresultofthereorganisationofproductioninAsia,atriangulartradepatternhasemerged.Inmanysectors,ChinaisusedasanexportbasebythefirmslocatedinadvancedAsianeconomies,whichinsteadofexportingfinishedgoodstotheAmericanandEuropeanmarkets,nowexportintermediategoodstotheiraffiliatesinChina.China’sexportstotheEUandtheUShaveskyrocketedandhavedisplacedJapan’sandNIEs’exportsatacceleratedpace.

Thepaperisorganisedasfollows.Afirstsectionpointsouthowglobalisationprovidesnewopportunitiesforlatecomerstoenterinternationaltradethroughproductionsharing,aphenomenawhichhasbeenespeciallywidespreadinEastAsia.AsecondsectioninvestigateshowChinahastakenadvantageofthisglobalisationprocessandshowsthatithasbecomeanassemblycountryforfirmslocatedinAsiawhichhavereorganisedtheirindustrialcapacitiesandextendedtoChinatheirproductionandtradenetworks.AthirdsectionanalyseshowChina’spositioninthesegmentationoftheproductionprocesseshasfosteredtechnologytransfer,whileinhibitingitsdiffusiontotherestofChina’seconomy.AfourthsectionexaminestheimpactofChina’semergenceonEastAsia’sintra-regionaltradeandtradewiththerestoftheworld.Thestructuralfactorsunderlyingthetriangulartradepatternwillremainstronginthecomingyears.

2.INTRODUCTION

Since1980,China’seconomyhasgrownattherateof9%ayearanditsforeigntradehasexpandedatthepaceofalmost15%ayear.Itsshareinworldtraderosefromlessthan1%toabout5%in2002.TheemergenceofChinaasagreateconomicandtradepowerisbringingfarreachingchangesintheworldeconomyandininternationaleconomicrelations.China’snowholdslargeworldmarketsharesintraditionalindustries(accountingforaboutonethirdofworldexportsinleatherandshoes,onefifthinclothing),butisalsorapidlyenlargingitssharesinelectricalandelectronicexports,thefastestgrowingsegmentsofworldtrade.In2002Chinarecordedonefifthofworldexportsofconsumerelectronicsandofdomesticappliance.ForEastAsiancountries,Chinahasbecomeamajorpartner,theirfirstpartnerintheregion.In2003,forJapan,Chinawasthesecondexportmarket,behindtheUS,anditsfirstsupplier.ForSouth-Korea,ChinawasthefirstexportmarketanditssecondsupplierbehindtheUS.In2003and2004,theacceleratedincreaseofChina’simportdemand(+40%and37%respectively)hasbeentheengineofeconomicgrowthinEastAsia.TheaimofthepaperistohelpunderstandhowChinahasachievedsuchoutstandingtradeperformanceandtobringtotheforethefactorsunderlyingChina’scompetitivenessinworldmarkets.ItshowsChina’sinvolvementintheinternationalsegmentationofproductionprocessesanditsintegrationinAsianproductionnetworksareatthecoreofitsrapidtradeexpansion.

Thefirstsectionofthepaperpointsouthowglobalisationprovidesnewopportunitiesforlatecomerstoenterinternationaltradethroughproductionsharing,aphenomenawhichhasbeenespeciallywidespreadinEastAsia.AsecondsectionprovidesanindepthanalysisofChina’stradeflows.BasedonthedetaileddataavailablefromChina’scustomsstatistics,itassessestheroleofinternationalprocessingactivitiesandofforeign

affiliates4inChina’sforeigntrade,theimpactofproductionsharingwithAsiancountriesonChina’sgeographicandcommoditytradepatterns.Athirdsectionexamineshowassemblyoperationshavebeenanimportantchannelfortechnologytransfersbuthavenotfavouredthediffusionoftechnologyinthedomesticindustries.AfourthsectionfocusesonthechangeswhichhaveoccurredoverthelasttwentyyearsinEastAsiacountries’tradepatternsbothwithintheregionandwithrestoftheworld,asaresultofChina’semergenceasamajortradingpartner.

 

3.BODY

 

1).TheEmergenceofChina

ChinaappearsasalatecomerintheinternationaldivisionoflabourinAsia.China’scasefurtherillustrateshowthesplitting-upofthevalue-addedchainbetweendifferentlocations(countries)andthedevelopmentoffirms’cross-borderproductionnetworksaredrivingtheprocessofindustrialgrowthandintegrationinAsia(UNCTAD,1996and2002;Borrusetalii,2000).China’scasealsohighlightshowalatecomercanenterglobalisationandcarveoutitsplaceintheinternationaldivisionoflabour.Sincethemideighties,ChinahasbeeninvolvedininternationalproductionsharingwithAsianeconomies,asfirmsfromHong-Kong,Taiwan,Japan,SouthKorea,andotherAsiancountrieshaverelocatedtheirlabourintensiveindustriesinthemainland(Naughton,1996and1997).FirmsfromtheUSandEuropeoperatinginAsianNIEshavealsomovedtheirfacilitiesinChina.However,FDIflowstoChinashowthattheUSandEuropehavedirectedarelativelysmallpartoftheirinvestmentabroadtoChina,comparedtoJapanandAsianNIEs6.TherapidexpansionofChina’sforeigntradehasbeencloselyassociatedwithanon-goingreorganisationofproductioninEastAsiadrivenbyexport-orientedinvestmentinthemainland(LemoineandÜnal-Kesenci,2002aand2004;Masuyama,2004;Fukaoetalii,2003).

FDIinvestmentinChina,whichhasreachedhugeamounts,isconcentratedinmanufacturingindustries,astheservicesectorswerenotopenedtoFDIuptoChina’sentryintoWTO.From1990to2004,thecumulatedamountofFDIinChinareachedalmostUS$500bn,accordingtoChina’sstatistics.In2002,Chinareceived8%ofworldFDI,thatismorethantheotherAsiandevelopingcountriestakentogether(6%)

ThebenefitsthatChinahasderivedfrombecomingaproductionbasefortheEastAsianindustrialfirmsincludelargecapitalinflowsandarapidriseofexportswhichhavecontributedtoitsoutstandingeconomicgrowth,themodernisationofitsindustrialcapacitiesandthebuildingupofnewindustries(electricalandelectronicindustries)

(Lardy,2002;Lemoine,2000;Wu,1999;Naughton,1997;Huchet,1997).

AsotherlatecomerssuchasMalaysia,Philippines,Thailand,Chinahasdevelopedaspecialisationinlowvalue-addedproduction,basedonitsalmostunlimitedsupplyoflow-costlabour.Itsriseininternationaltradeisheavilydependantonforeignaffiliateswhichhavedevelopedlimitedbackwardandforwardlinkages(Zhang,1999;Sung,2000;Wu,1999;LemoineandÜnal-Kesenci,2004).

2).CHINAINTHEINTERNATIONALDIVISIONOFLABOURINEASTASIA

2.1.China’sSelectiveTradePolicy

Tradepolicyisanimportantfactordeterminingacountry’sinvolvementintheinternationalsplitting-upofthevalue-addedchain.Tariffstructuremayaffectthedegreeofeffectiveprotectionofthedifferentsectorsastariffexemptionsandreductionsonimportedinputsincreasetheeffectiveprotectionenjoyedbytheassemblyactivitiesusingtheseinputs,asitreducestheircostsofproduction(GrubelandJohnson,1971).

MostEastAsianeconomieshavefolloweda“dualtrack”tradepolicy,whichcombinedprotectionofthedomesticindustriesthroughrelativelyhighcustomstariffs,andexportpromotion,throughtariffexemptionsonimportedinputsforexportproduction(AndoandKimura,2003).

Chinaprovidesanoutstandingcaseofsuchpolicy.Sincethemid-eighties,theChineseauthoritieshaveuseddifferentinstrumentstopromoteexports(Lardy,2002;LemoineandÜnal-Kesenci,2002a;Ianchovichinaetalii,2000;Naughton,1996).Dutyexemptionshavebeengrantedtoselectedcategoriesofimportsinordertopromoteexport-orientedindustriesandtostimulateinflowsofcapitalandtechnologythroughforeigndirectinvestment.Intermediateproductsimportedtobeusedinproductionofexports(processingactivities)havebeenthemostimportantcategorybenefitingfromtariffexemptions.ConcessionnalimportdutieshavealsobeengrantedtoequipmentimportedbyforeignfirmsasacontributiontoinitialinvestmentinaffiliatesinChina.

AlthoughChinareduceditsaveragecustomstarifffrom41%in1992to16.8%in1998-2001,theadvantagederivedfromtariffexemptionshasremainedsignificantandthisselectivetradepolicyhasprovedverysuccessfulincreatingexport-orientedindustriesbasedonimportedinputs.Thelargegapbetweennominaltariffratesandcollectedtariffratesprovidesevidenceoftheex

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