叶菲.docx

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叶菲

4BU005AnalyticalSkillsForBusiness

ModuleLeader:

DrYongWang

 

YeFei

1023300

 

4BU005-AnalyticalSkillsForBusiness

Questionone

IfX=2

a).Dataused

5

7

4

4

5

5

4

4

8

3

9

9

3

5

7

5

10

6

7

8

5

7

5

8

10

6

6

9

4

3

Frequencytableshowingthenumberofvansondutyfora30dayperiod

NumberofVansonDuty

NumberofDays(frequency)

3butlessthan4

3

4butlessthan5

5

5butlessthan6

7

6butlessthan7

3

7butlessthan8

4

8butlessthan9

3

9butlessthan10

3

10butlessthan11

2

total

30

Workingforclassintervals

Range=10-3=7

 

b).

c).Inthehistogram,wecanseethatthevaluearenotsymmetrical.Themostcommonnumberofvansavailableinthe30dayperiodwas5or6vans.Thehistogramisinclinedtorightside.

Inthefirstthreegroups,thenumberisincreasedallthetime.Thesecondoneis4-5numbersofvansondutyandthefrequencyis8.Ingroup3-4thefrequencyincreasesto3andthen4-5,5-6.5-6thefrequencyincreaseshowingthetopofthenumber.6-7frequencyisbackthenumberof3-4,then,inlastthirdgroupdecreasesshowingthebarsslopingdown.Thelowestfrequencyis2.

Thehighestnumberofthevansis10andthelowestnumberofthevansis3.Thisdateshowsthatthevansarenotequallydistributed,asmorevansareavailableonsomedaysthanothers.Thiscouldbeduetomanydifferentreasonsaffectingthebusinesssuchastheweatherandthetimeofthemonth.

Ifthedataweregroupeddifferentlysuchasusingmoreintervalsthenthehistogramwouldlookdifferent,asthedatawouldbemorespreadout.

 

Question2

IfX=2

Tableshowingthevalueofthecompany’sassetsoverafive-period.

Values(£’000s)

Asset

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Property

70

72

87

92

87

Plant&machinery

170

160

175

180

180

Stock&workinprogress

540

550

590

600

600

Debtors

420

440

520

550

590

cash

30

50

110

80

60

a)

b).

Thelinegraphshowsthevalueofassetsinafiveyearperiodanalyze.

Thestockandworkinprogressisthehighestvaluedassetoftheyearsanalyzed,it’sthehighestin2009anditincreasedto£600,000.Thedebtorsincreaseallthetimeinfiveyears.Thevalueisasthesameasthestock&workinprogressin2009.Boththeplant&machineryandtheproperty’svaluearesymmetry.Theplant&machineryalwaysbetween£100,000and£200,000inthefiveyearsandtheproperty’svalueisalwaysbelow£100,000.Thecashisthelowestvaluedasset.Onlyin2007doesitincreaseto£110,000inthisyear.

Question3

IfX=2

Tableshowingthetimestakenfor30customerstobeservedinthebank.

(minute)

0.46

1.78

2.38

2.39

2.54

2.59

3.28

3.78

4.65

4.87

5.24

5.26

5.33

5.33

5.76

6.27

6.55

6.56

6.72

7.37

7.45

7.66

7.68

8.10

8.29

8.77

9.55

9.66

9.66

10.99

Total=176.92

a.)

Workings:

=176.92/30≈5.90

Median=(n+1)/2=(30+1)/2=15.5orderedobservation

15.5number=(6.27+5.76)/2=13.03/2=6.5minute

Firstquartile=(n+1)/4=31/4=7.75≈8orderedobservation

Rule3Q1=8thnumber=3.78miunte

Thirdquartile=(n+1)*3/4=(30+1)*3/4=93/4=23.25≈23orderedobservation

Rule3Q3=23rdnumber=7.68minute

 

Answers:

Mean=5.90miunte

Media=6.5miunte

Firstquartile=3.78miunte

Thirdquartile=7.68miunte

 

b).

Time(middlevalue)x

x-m

(x-m)2

0.46

-5.44

29.59

1.78

-4.12

16.97

2.38

-3.52

12.39

2.39

-3.51

12.32

2.54

-3.36

11.29

2.59

-3.31

10.96

3.28

-2.62

6.86

3.78

-2.12

4.49

4.65

-1.25

1.56

4.87

-1.03

1.06

5.24

-0.66

0.44

5.26

-0.64

0.41

5.33

-0.57

0.32

5.33

-0.57

0.32

5.76

-0.14

0.02

6.27

0.37

0.14

6.55

0.65

0.42

6.56

0.66

0.44

6.72

0.82

0.67

7.37

1.47

2.16

7.45

1.55

2.40

7.66

1.76

3.10

7.68

1.78

3.17

8.10

2.20

4.84

8.29

2.39

5.71

8.77

2.87

8.24

9.55

3.65

13.32

9.66

3.76

14.14

9.66

3.76

14.14

10.99

5.09

25.91

-0.08

(m=5.90)

Workings:

Standarddeviation=

=

=

=2.63minute

Range=10.99-0.46=10.5miunte

Inter-quartilerange=Q3-Q1=7.68-3.78=3.9minute

Answers:

Standarddeviation=2.63minute

Range=10.5miuntes

Inter-quartilerange=3.9minute

c).

Thebranchmanagershouldbebasetheirstatementtotellthecustomerhowlongwillthecustomerneedtowait.Themeantimeis5.9minute,thenthemanagerreplies,”Almostcertainlynotlongerthanfiveminute”iscertainlyincorrect.What’smore,ifthemanagerusedthemediantime,themanagerwouldbeincorrectasthisis6.5minute.

Intheotherway,thebranchmanagerisusingthetimeonthefirstquartiletimeof3.78miuntes,that’sunderfiveminute.Theinter-quartilerangeisalsounderfiveminute.Becausetheinter-quartileisthirdquartileof7.68minutelessfirstquartilesequal3.9minute,asthisisunderfiveminute.Butthisisnotveryaccuracytojudgethetiming.Theinter-quartilerangerepresentsthecentralfiftypercentofthedatathatjustthepartofdata,notincludedallofthedata,so,it’snotsoaccuracy.What’smore,thestandarddeviationis2.63minutethat’slessthanfiveminute.Ifthemanageranalyzefromthestandarddeviation,that’scorrect.However,thestandarddeviationtimeistheaveragebetweeneachindividualvalueandthemeanvalueofdata.Therangeofthedatais10.5minute,therefore,thestandarddeviationshouldn’tbeusedasatimetogivetoacustomer.Boththequartileandstandarddeviationisblemishtoestimatethetiming.

Eventhoughtthereissomewaytoevaluatethewaittimeislessthanfiveminute,allofthemarenotsoaccuracy.Onbasisoftheresultsofa)andb),thecommonreplyismorethanfiveminute,

 

Question4

a)IfX=2

Tableshowingtheaccesstimeofacomputerdiscsystem:

accesstimeinmillisecond

frequency

cumulativefrequency

middlevalue(x)

fx

x-m

(x-m)2

f(x-m)2

30butlessthan35

39

39

32.5

1268

-11.37

129.28

5041.80

35butlessthan40

56

95

37.5

2100

-6.37

40.58

2272.31

40butlessthan45

31

126

42.5

1318

-1.37

1.88

58.18

45butlessthan50

50

176

47.5

2375

3.63

13.18

658.85

50butlessthan55

21

197

52.5

1103

8.63

74.48

1564.01

55butlessthan60

35

232

57.5

2013

13.63

185.78

6502.19

Total

232

 

 

10177

 

 

16097.34

Workings

Standarddeviation=

=

=

=8.33milliscecond

Answers

Mean=43.86milliseconds

Standarddeviation=8.33milliseconds

 

b).

Tableshowingcumulativefrequencypercentagefortheaccesstimeonthecomputersystem:

accesstime(milliseconds)

frequency

cumulativefrequency

Cumulativepercentage(%)

30butlessthan35

39

39

17

35butlessthan40

56

95

41

40butlessthan45

31

126

54

45butlessthan50

50

176

76

50butlessthan55

21

197

85

55butlessthan60

35

232

100

total

232

 

 

Media=232/2=116thnumber

Thenumberofthe116isinthegroupof40butlessthan45.Fromthecumulativefrequencychartwecanseethatthemediaisinthegroupof40butlessthan45

 

c).

Tableshowingaccesstimetothecomputerdiscsystemwhenincreasedby5milliseconds.

accesstimeinmillisencond

frequency

cumulativefrequendy

middlevalue(x)

fx

x-m

(x-m)2

f(x-m)2

35butlessthan40

39

39

37.5

1462.5

-11.36

129.05

5032.93

40butlessthan45

56

95

42.5

2380

-6.36

40.45

2265.18

45butlessthan50

31

126

47.5

1472.5

-1.36

1.85

57.34

50butlessthan55

50

176

52.5

2625

3.64

13.25

662.48

55butlessthan60

21

197

57.5

1207.5

8.64

74.65

1567.64

60butlessthan65

35

232

62.5

2187.5

13.64

186.05

6511.74

Total

232

 

 

11335

 

 

16097.31

Workings

Standarddeviation=

=

=8.33millisecond

Answers

Mean=48.86millisecond

Standarddeviation=8.33millisecond

 

d).

accesstimeinmillisecond

frequency

cumulativefrequendy

midpoint(x)

fx

x-m

(x-m)2

f(x-m)2

42butlessthan49

39

39

45.5

1774.5

-15.9

252.81

9859.59

49butlessthan56

56

95

52.5

2940

-8.9

79.21

4435.76

56butlessthan63

31

126

59.5

1844.5

-1.9

3.61

111.91

63butlessthan70

50

176

66.5

3325

5.1

26.01

1300.5

70butlessthan77

21

197

73.5

1543.5

12.1

146.41

3074.61

77butlessthan84

35

232

80.5

2817.5

19.1

364.81

12768.35

Total

232

 

 

14245

 

 

31550.72

Workings

=11265/232=61.4milliseconds

Standarddeviation=

=

e).

Thestandarddeviationina)andc),bothofthemare8.33millisecond.Becausethefrequencyisnotchange,theaccesstimeshaveallbeenincreasedbyfive.Themeanisthe1.4multipleofstandarddeviation,so,61.4(d)=1.4X43.86(a).11.6(d)=1.4*8.33(a).Thef(x-m)2isalmostthesameinthea)andc).however,thef(x-m)2ismuchbiggerwhentheaccessnumberincrease40%,becausethemeanvaluewillchangealot.

 

Question5

a).tableshowingthenumberofhousessoldineachpriceinterval.

priceofhousein£,000

frequency

cum.frequency

midpoint(x)

fx

x-m

(x-m)2

f(x-m)2

below150

22

22

75

1650

-99.89

9978.01

219516.27

150nbutunder170

84

106

160

13440

-14.89

221.71

18623.82

170butunder190

54

160

180

9720

5.11

26.11

1410.05

190butunder210

39

199

200

7800

25.11

630.51

24589.97

210butunder230

20

219

220

4400

45.11

2034.91

40698.24

230butunder250

12

231

240

2880

65.11

4239.31

50871.75

250butunder270

6

237

260

1560

85.11

7243.71

43462.27

TOTAL

237

 

 

41450

 

24374.28

399172.37

Workings

=41450/237=174.89

Standarddeviation=

Answers

Mean=174.89(£000’s)

Standarddeviation=41.04(£000’s)

 

Asurveyofhousepricesinfivelocalnewspapersisveryclear.Thepriceinthe£170,000butunder£190,000soldthebest.Mostofpeoplecan

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