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SOA真题Course8E第4页精算师考试doc
SOA真题Course8E第4页-精算师考试
11.
(8
points)
As
the
new
CFO
of
Zoolander,
you
call
Peter
Fish,
the
CIO,
to
discuss
his
new
derivative
initiative.
You
share
some
of
your
concerns
regarding
oversight
and
risk
management
with
respect
to
this
initiative.
Peter
assures
you
that
his
team
would
be
receptive
to
audit
reviews
but
does
not
want
to
see
the
team
constrained
in
their
day-today
operations
and
in
their
ability
to
achieve
their
profit
objectives.
(a)
Identify
the
potential
operational
risk
exposures
that
are
contained
in
the
proposed
derivative
initiative.
(b)
Reference
the
Group
of
Thirty
(G-30)
recommendations,
and
for
each
suggest
changes
to
Zoolander’s
derivative
initiative
that
would
reduce
operational
risk
concerns.
12.
(6
points)
Zoolander
is
required
to
comply
with
Section
404
of
the
Sarbanes-Oxley
Act
by
submitting
an
annual
report
with
respect
to
internal
control
over
financial
reporting.
In
preparation,
the
Board
of
Directors
has
asked
you
for
the
following
items.
(a)
(1
point)
Identify
the
specific
assurances
that
must
be
made
with
respect
to
internal
control
over
financial
reporting
under
the
Act.
(b)
(2
points)
Identify
other
specific
areas
the
Board
of
Directors
should
question
and
discuss
with
management
to
determine
if
internal
controls
over
financial
reporting
are
sound
and
effective.
(c)
(3
points)
Prepare
a
response
to
three
of
the
questions
you
identified
in
(b)
as
they
apply
to
Zoolander,
citing
specific
examples
to
support
your
answer.
COURSE
8:
Fall
2005
-
12
-
GO
ON
TO
NEXT
PAGE
Enterprise
Risk
Management
Segment
Afternoon
Session
13.
(10
points)
Your
company,
Global
Dynamic
Life
Annuity
(GL
A),
is
currently
considering
offering
an
Equity-Indexed
Annuity
product.
There
are
four
proposed
designs
under
consideration,
each
employing
a
different
index
methodology:
i.
Point-to-Point
(PTP)
ii.
Compound
Annual
Ratchet
(CAR),
with
a
2%
floor
iii.
Simple
Annual
Ratchet
(SAR),
with
a
0%
floor
iv.
High
Water
Mark
(HWM).
The
product
being
considered
is
a
5-year
single
premium
$1,000
contract
with
a
guarantee
of
2%
on
93%
of
the
premium.
For
each
equity-linked
option,
a
participation
rate
of
65%
will
be
used.
You
are
provided
with
the
following
additional
data
and
information
for
modeling
purposes:
Risk-free
rate
of
interest
for
next
five
years:
5%
Returns
on
equity-linked
index
for
next
five
years:
Year
1:
7%
Year
2:
1%
Year
3:
6%
Year
4:
10%
Year
5:
-18%
Expenses
are
assumed
to
be
1.5%
of
premium.
(a)
(6
points)
Using
the
data
and
assumptions
provided:
i.
Calculate
the
payoff
at
the
end
of
the
fifth
year
under
each
of
the
four
contract
designs.
Show
your
work.
ii.
Calculate
the
percentage
of
the
premium
that
would
be
available
to
pay
for
the
indexation
benefit.
Show
your
work.
(b)
(2
points)
For
each
proposed
contract
design,
describe
the
approach
you
would
use
to
determine
whether
the
proposed
design
allows
for
sufficient
premiums
to
purchase
call
options
for
the
index
guarantee.
You
do
not
need
to
complete
the
calculations.
(c)
(2
points)
Rank
the
four
methodologies
according
to
your
expectations
of
the
option
cost
under
each
indexation
method
and
explain
your
rationale.
COURSE
8:
Fall
2005
-
13
-
GO
ON
TO
NEXT
PAGE
Enterprise
Risk
Management
Segment
Afternoon
Session
14.
(10
points)
Your
company,
Jabba
and
Associates,
has
a
client
whose
entire
holdings
are
invested
in
two
stocks:
Number
of
Shares
Current
Price
per
Share
Current
Value
Stock
A
(SA)
1
million
$10.00
$10,000,000
Stock
B
(
)
SB
2
million
$5.00
$10,000,000
Total
$20,000,000
You
have
been
provided
the
following
data:
Variance-Covariance:
Threshold
Limits
as
a
Function
(based
on
daily
historical
observations)
of
the
Confidence
Level:
Stock
A
Stock
B
99.97%
-3.43
Average
0.10%
0.05%
99.87%
-3.00
Standard
Deviation
2.00%
1.00%
99%
-2.33
Correlation
Coefficient
ρ
A,B
=
0.2
95%
-1.65
Historical
Simulation:
Monte
Carlo
Simulation:
Rank
10-day
Returns
Rank
10-day
Returns
100
-9.6%
1000
-15.7%
99
-8.9%
999
-15.3%
98
-7.9%
:
:
:
:
991
-14.9%
90
-7.1%
990
-14.7%
89
-6.9%
989
-14.4%
:
:
:
:
50
1.1%
500
0.8%
:
:
:
:
11
3.4%
11
3.2%
10
3.7%
10
3.5%
:
:
:
:
2
8.2%
2
9.1%
1
9.0%
1
10.4%
COURSE
8:
Fall
2005
-
14
-
GO
ON
TO
NEXT
PAGE
Enterprise
Risk
Management
Segment
Afternoon
Session