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外报阅读67
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Passage1:
HowtoTakeAdvantageofaWeakDollar
Whenthedollargoesdown,whereshouldyourdollarsgo?
ByMegHandley
Posted:
December14,2010
Althoughthedollarhasexperiencedwhatsomeexpertscalla"confounding"rallylately,ifyou'restillworriedaboutthegreenbacktakingadownwarddive,you'renotalone.Attheveryleast,financialanalystsexpecttheU.S.economytogrowslowlyfortheforeseeablefuture.Mixinthelong-termimpactoflarge-scalestimulusspendingandmountingdeficits,andyourdollar-centricinvestmentsmightbelesssecurethanyouthink.
"Weareinanenvironmentwherethereisnosuchthinganymoreasa'safeasset,'"saysAxelMerk,founderofMerkInvestmentsandauthorofSustainableWealth."Investorsneedtothinkbeyondthetraditionalassetallocationmodelwhereyouhaveasafehaven,anddiversifytheirassetsinaworldthat'severlessstable."
Thegoodnewsisthatthereareplentyofwaystohedgeagainstalacklusterdomesticeconomyandadecliningdollar,whetherit'ssimplyincreasingyourexposuretoU.S.companieswithlargeglobalfootprintsorinvestinginthelocalcurrenciesofgrowingeconomies.U.S.Newstalkedwithsomeexpertsabouthowtodulltheeffectsofaweakdollaronyourportfolio.
Beefupyourexposuretobluechips.IfyouhavebignameslikeMcDonald's,Pepsi,andGeneralMotorsinyourportfolio,youalreadyhavesomeindirectexposuretonon-dollardenominatedassets.MostcompaniesintheS&P500havesignificantforeignoperations,whichmeanstheyhavestakesinforeigncurrencies."Sincethedollarhasweakenedandmanyexpectittocontinuetoweaken,companieswithincomeoverseaswillseeabenefitwhentheytranslatethatincomebackintoU.S.dollars,"MorningstaranalystMikeRawsonsaidinanE-mail.
Ifyoudon'talreadyownsomelarge-capU.S.stocks,RawsonrecommendsiSharesS&P500Index(symbolIVV),anexchange-tradedfundthatoffersbroad-basedexposuretobigfirmswithglobalreach.AsidefrombeingoneofthecheapestETFsavailablewitha0.09percentexpenseratio,about45percentoftheunderlyingcompanies'asset-weightedrevenuescomefromoutsidetheUnitedStates,givinginvestorssubstantialsecondaryexposuretointernationalcurrencies.
Don'tignoreemergingmarkets.Forthoselookingtogrowtheirinvestmentswithafive-yearorlongertimehorizon,"itwouldbedangeroustoignoreemergingmarkets,"saysOliverPursche,presidentofNewYork-basedGaryGoldbergFinancialServices."That'swherethegrowthishappening—AsiaandLatinAmerica.It'snotEuropeortheUnitedStates."
PurscheandRawsonrecommendWisdomTreeEmergingMarketsSmallCapDividend(DGS),anETFthatgivesinvestorsconcentratedaccesstoagroupofrapidlygrowingeconomiesincludingChinaandBrazil."Weliketolookatsmall-capemergingmarketcompaniesbecausewethinkthey'reclosertothoseemergingmarketconsumers,sothey'reprobablygoingtoexperiencegrowthmoresimilartothegrowthofthoseunderlyingeconomies,"Rawsonsays.Andbecausetherevenueandcostsofthoseeconomiesstaylocal,investorscanexpectcompaniesintheportfoliotohavefarlessexposuretofluctuationsintheU.S.dollar.
BecauseinternationalmarketscanbemorecomplicatedandlesstransparentthanU.S.markets,Rawsonrecommendsstickingtoactivelymanagedfundsorfundamentally-weightedETFslikeWisdomTreeEmergingMarketsSmallCapDividend.Thefundweightscompaniesbasedonthedividendtheypaytoinvestorsratherthanthetraditionalmethodofweightingbasedonmarketcap."Whatyou'redoingistryingtoshifttowardqualitycompaniesthathavethewherewithaltobeabletopayadividend.It'salittlebitofatilttohigher-qualityfirmsanditgetsyoualittlebitclosertosomelevelofsafetyandcomfort."
Cashinonforeigncurrencies.Holdingaforeigncurrencyinanoverseassavingsaccountisn'tyourbestoptionforbettingoncurrencies,Rawsonsays,becausethosetypesofinvestmentswon'tearnyouacompetitivereturncomparedwithinflation.Instead,herecommendsWisdomTreeEmergingMarketsLocalDebt(ELD),anETFthatholdslocalcurrencybondsincountriessuchasIndonesia,Brazil,andMexico."Whatwelikeaboutthisfundisthatitisdiversified,[and]accessesemergingmarketscurrencies,"Rawsonsays."Andsinceitinvestsinmedium-termbonds,[it]earnsmoreinterestthanadepositaccount."Thebottomline:
IfgrowthinemergingmarketscontinuesoutpacingthatoftheUnitedStates,emergingmarketscurrenciesshouldriseagainstthedollar,whichwillbepositiveforthefund.
Commoditiesarekey.JustbecausetheU.S.economyisinadazedoesn'tmeanothercountrieshavestoppedtogape."Eventhoughwe'vehadthistremendousrecessionintheU.S.andaslowrecovery,foreigneconomies—particularlydevelopingmarkets—aregoingtogrowfaster,"Rawsonsays."ItaffectsU.S.investorsbecauseasthoseeconomiesgrow,theirdemandforinternationallytradedcommoditiessuchaswheat,oil,andpreciousmetals,isgoingtogrowalso."
Withitsexposuretoglobally-pricedcommoditiesandothernon-U.S.-dollarassets,VanguardEmergingMarketsStock(VWO)canhelpinvestorscapitalizeonthecommoditiesmarketsandcommodity-producingforeigncountries.Thefundhaslargestakesinnaturalresourcescompaniesintheoil,naturalgas,andsteelindustries—allofwhichareexpectedtoseemajorgrowthincomingyears."WhenyoulookatthecurrenciesofAustralia,Canada,andBrazil,theyhaveonethingincommon—they'reallcommodityproducingplaces,"saysMikeSavage,founderofSavageFinancialGroup."Ifcommoditypricesgoup,thosecommoditycurrenciesgoup."
Passage2:
HowtoUsetheHolidaystoBoostYourCareer
ByKarenBurns
Posted:
December15,2010
Itmaysoundcalculatingtoleveragetheholidayseasontoyourprofessionaladvantage,butit’ssmart,too.
Theholidaysareprimonetworkingtime.Mostpeopleareinamorejovial,givingmood.Manyworkplacesslowdownalittlethistimeofyear,soyoumayhavemorementalspacetothinkaboutwaystopolishyourresumeandevensetupinformationalinterviews.Andtheendoftheyearisanaturaltimetoreevaluate,refocus,andthinkstrategicallyaboutyourfuture.
Ifyoudecidetotakeadvantageofthisgoldenopportunity,whethertoadvanceinthejobyoualreadyhaveorfindanewone,hereareafewguidelines:
Gotoyourannualworkplaceparty.Whereelsedoworkerbeesandupper-upsminglesofreely?
Thepowers-that-bewillbeattheirmostkindlyandtheirmostaccessible,sodon’tmissthisopportunitytogetyournameandfaceoutthere.Introduceyourself;makesmalltalk.Anddon’tforgettosaythankyou.Yourcompanydroppedawadofcashonthisevent,soconveyyourgratitude.
Haveamasterplan.Thinkstrategicallyaboutwhoyou’dliketomeetorgettoknowbetterthisseason.Areyouinterestedintransferringtothesalesdepartment?
Gotothatworkplacepartyreadytointroduceyourselftothesalesstaffand,ideally,thesalesmanager.Doyoudreamofswitchingcareersentirely?
Mentionitatyourneighborhoodget-together,yourchurchsocial,oryourkid’sschoolplay.Youneverknowwhoyou’llmeet.
Rememberthatcompetitionforjobsisatitslowestduringtheholidays.InDecember,manyjobhunterscallitquits,atleastuntilJanuary2nd.Thisisyourcuetorampupyourownsearch.It’snottruethatcompaniesdon’thireduringtheholidays.Theydo.YoumighteventryreachingoutbetweenChristmasandNewYear’s,whenhiringmanagersaremorelikelytobeansweringtheirownphones.
Sendcards.Thisisthetimeofyearwhenit'snaturaltoremindtheworldofyourexistence.WhetheryouoptforChristmascards,NewYear’scards,printedholidayletters,orane-newsletter,nowistheperfecttimetoreconnectwithfriends,colleagues,formerbosses,formerprofessors—everyoneyouknoworusedtoknow.Keepittastefulandsincere,andaddapersonalnotetoeachmessage.
Volunteer.Volunteering—toserveatthefoodbank,hangdecorationsdowntown,orparticipateinanyactivitywherepeoplegatherandworktogether—isanotherstellarwaytoexpandyournetwork.Giveitatry.Youreallycandowellforyourselfbydoinggoodforothers.Youmightalsolearnanewskill,ordiscoveranewfield,orsimplymeetnewfriends.
Alwaysremainprofessional.Keepinmindthattoomuchholidaycheercanworkagainstyou,too.Whatevereventsyouattend,bepleasantandbusinesslike.Youaretryingtoimpress!
Ifeggnogandrumballsturnyouwoozy,avoidthem.Rememberthataworkplaceholidaypartyisnotreallya“party.”It’sabusinessevent.Comportyourselfaccordingly.
Rechargeyourbatteries.Sure,usethoseextradaysoffforfamilyeventsandpartieswithfriends,butdon’tforgettocarveoutsomeyou-time.Getthesleepyouneed.Lookforhealthywaystodealwithholidaystress.Exercise.Takelongwalks,talkwithyourmentors,orreadinspirationalbooks.Thatwayyou’llberelaxed,refreshed,andreadytohitthegroundrunningcomeJanuary.
Puttingalittleenergyintoyourcareer—whileeveryoneelseisfiguringouthowtoleaveworkearlytogettothemall—mayjustbethebestpresentyoucangiveyourself.
Passage3:
WhyaDouble-DipRecessionHasn'tHappened
ByRickNewman
Posted:
December15,2010
Stepbacktolastsummerforamoment.Homesaleshadplunged—again—afterabigfederalsubsidyforbuyersexpired.Stockswereinaswoon,asinvestorsworriedthatEurope'sdebtcrisiswouldcontaminatetheworld'sfinancialsystem.Growthwasslowingasstimulusspendingfrom2009hititspeakandbegantowinddown.Ruinousdeflationseemedpossible,promptingcomparisonstoJapan's"lostdecade."Andforallthejawbon