argument官方范文.docx
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argument官方范文
Argument官方主题范文36篇
SixmonthsagotheregionofForestvilleincreasedthespeedlimitforvehiclestravelingontheregion'shighwaysbytenmilesperhour.Sincethatchangetookeffect,thenumberofautomobileaccidentsinthatregionhasincreasedby15percent.ButthespeedlimitinElmsford,aregionneighboringForestville,remainedunchanged,andautomobileaccidentsdeclinedslightlyduringthesamesix-monthperiod.Therefore,ifthecitizensofForestvillewanttoreducethenumberofautomobileaccidentsontheregion'shighways,theyshouldcampaigntoreduceForestville'sspeedlimittowhatitwasbeforetheincrease.
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Theagrumentiswell-presented,butnotthoroughlywell-reasoned.BymakingacomparisonoftheregionofForestville,thetownwiththehigherspeedlimitandthereforeautomobileaccidents,withtheregionofElmsford,anareaofalowerspeedlimitandsubsequentlyfeweraccidents,theargumentforreducingForestville'sspeedlimitsinordertodecreaseaccidentsseemslogical.
However,thecitizensofForestvillearefailingtoconsiderotherpossiblealternativestotheincreasingcaraccidentsaftertheraiseinspeedlimit.SuchalternativesmayincludethefactthattherearelessreliablecarstravelingtheroadsinForestville,orthattheagebracketofthoseinElmsfordmaybemoreconducivetodrivingsafely.Itispossiblethattherearemoreyounger,inexperienced,ormoreelderly,unsafedriversinForestvillethanthereareinElmsford.Inaddition,thecitizenshavefailedtoconsiderthegeographicalandphysicalterrainofthetwodifferentareas.PerhapsForestville'shighwayisinanareaofmoredangerouscurves,sharpturns,orhasmanyintersectionsormergingpointswhereaccidentsaremorelikelytooccur.Itappearsreasonable,therefore,forthecitizenstofocusonthesetroublespotsthantoreducethespeedintheentirearea.Elmsfordmaybeanareaofeasierdrivingconditionswhereaccidentsarelesslikelytooccurregardlessofthespeedlimit.
Asix-monthperiodisnotaparticularlylongtimeframeforthecitizenstodeterminethatspeedlimithasinfluencedthenumberofautomobileaccidentsinthearea.ItismentionedintheargumentthatElmsfordaccidentsdecreasedduringthetimeperiod.Thismayhavebeenatime,suchasduringharshweatherconditions,whenlesspeopleweredrivingontheroadandthereforethenumberofaccidentsdecreased.However,Forestvillecitizens,perhapscoercedbyemploymentorotherrequirements,wereunabletoavoiddrivingontheroads.Again,thedemographicsofthepopulationareimportant.ItispossiblethatElmsfordcitizensdonothavetotravelfarfromworkorworkfromtheirhome,ordonotworkatall.AretheremorepeopleinForestvillethanthereweresicmonthsago?
Ifso,theremaybeanincreasednumberofaccidentsduetomoreautomobilesontheroad,andnotduetotheincreasedspeedlimits.Alsoinreferencetotheactivitiesofthepopulation,itispossiblethatForestvilleinhabitantsweretravelingduringlesssafetimesoftheday,suchasearlyinthemorning,orduringtwilight.WorkorfamilyhabitsmayhaveencouragedcitizenstodriveduringthistimewhenElmsfordresidentsmaynothavebeenforcedtodoso.
Overall,thereasoningbehinddecreasingForestville'sspeedlimitbacktoitsoriginalseemslogicalaspresentedabovesincethecitizensareactingintheirownbestinterestsandwanttoprotecttheirsafety.However,beforeanyfinaldecisionsaremadeaboutthereductioninspeedlimit,thecitizensandofficialsofForestvilleshouldevaluateallpossiblealternativesandcausesfortheincreasednumberofaccidentsoverthesix-monthperiodascomparedtoElmsford.
COMMENTARY
Thisoutstandingessaybeginsbynotingthattheargument"seemslogical."Itthenproceedstodiscusspossiblealternativeexplanationsfortheincreaseincaraccidentsandprovidesanimpressivelyfullanalysis.Alternativesmentionedarethat
--thetworegionsmighthavedriversofdifferentagesandexperience;
--Forestville'stopography,geography,cars,and/orroadsmight
contributetoaccidents;
--sixmonthsmightbeaninsufficientamountoftimefordetermining
thatthespeedlimitislinkedtotheaccidentrate;
--demographicsmightplayaroleinautoaccidents;
--populationandautodensityshouldbeconsidered;and
--thetimesofdaywhendriversinthetworegionstravelmightberelevant.
Thepointsarecogentlydevelopedandarelinkedinsuchawayastocreatealogicallyorganizedessay.Transitionstogetherwithinteriorconnectionscreateasmoothlyintegratedpresentation.Forthemostpart,thewriteruseslanguagecorrectlyandwellandprovidesexcellentvarietyinsyntax.Theminorflaws(e.g.,using"less"insteadof"fewer")donotdetractfromtheoverallhighqualityofthecritique.Thisisanimpressive6paper.
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TheargumentabovepresentsasoundcaseforarguingthatiftheregionofForestvillewantstoreducethenumberofautomobileaccidentsontheregion'shighways,theyshouldconsiderreducingthespeedlimittowhatitwasbeforetheincreaseinspeedlimittookplace6monthspreviously.However,therearesomeintermediatestepsthatonecouldtakebeforejumpingtotheconclusionthatreducingthespeedlimitistheonlywayinwhichtrafficaccidentscanbereduced.
Firstofall,Iwouldexaminetheactualnumberoftrafficaccidentsthatoccurredbeforeandafterthespeedlimitincreaseandcomparethistothesizeoftheregionanditsdrivingpopulation.Forexample,iftheForestvilleregion'sdrivingpopulationis1millionpeople,andthetrafficaccidentsfora6-monthperiodbeforethespeedincreasetotaled100,thenthe15%increasewouldamounttoanadditional16trafficaccidents,or116total.Forapopulationof1million,theremaybeothersolutionstothisincreasebesidesreducingthespeedlimittowhatitwas.(ThecomparisontotheregionofElmsfordwouldonlybehelpfuliftheregionsdrivingdemographyiscomparableintermsofsizeandscope.)Apubliceducationcampaignemphasizingdriversafetyandsafedrivingtechniquesmaysufficetoreducethenumberoftrafficaccidents.Especiallyconsideringthatifthenumberofaccidentsrelativetothepopulationissomewhatsmall,itisafairlysafedrivingpopulationanyway.
Inaddition,Iwouldconsiderlengtheningthetimeofthestudy.Sixmonthsmaybearelativelyshortperiodoftimeforwhichtostudytherateoftrafficaccidents.Uponacloserexaminationofwhentheaccidentsoccurred,onemightascertainthatmostofthedrivingaccidentsoccurredwithinamonthofraisingthespeedlimit,butthattherehavebeenrelativelyfewadditionalaccidentssincethatfirstphase-inperiod.Lengtheningthestudytoaone-yearperiodwouldhelpadjustforanyuntypicalstatisticsandpaintamoreaccuratepictureofthelong-termaffectsofthespeedlimitincrease.
Iwouldalsoexaminewhatelsewasoccurringintheregionduringtheperiodofthestudy.Forexample,wasthereamajorhighwayconstructionprojecthappeningduringthistimewhichwouldhaveaddedtotheunsafenatureofraodtravel?
Arethereanyalternativeexplanationsforwhytheincreaseintrafficaccidentscouldhaveoccurred,oristheincreaseinspeedlimitthesolevariable?
Lookingatthetypeofaccidentsthatoccurred,Iwouldexaminewhetherthesearethetypesofcaraccidentsonewouldexpectfromtravelingatafasterspeedtocorroboratethecauseandeffectrelationship.
COMMENTARY
Asinthesample6essay,thiswriterseessomelogicinassumingaconnectionbetweenthehigherspeedlimitinForestvilleandtheincreaseinautoaccidents.Unlikethesample6essay,thisresponseisneitherasexhaustiveinitsanalysisnorasimpressivelydeveloped.Thewritermakesthesepointsinthecritique:
--Astatisticalanalysismightsuggestthatthe15%increasein
accidentsisnotassignificantasitmightseem.
--Acarsafetyeducationcampaignmightbeabetterwaytosolvethe
problem.
--Asixmonthperiodmightbetooshortatimeonwhichtobasemajor
conclusions.
--Otherfactorscouldhavecausedtheincreaseinaccidents.
Althougheachofthesepointsisdevelopedandsensiblysupported,thecritiqueisnotsufficientlyfulltowarrantascoreof6.Theessaydemonstratesgoodcontrolbutnotmasteryoftheelementsofwriting:
itcontainsgoodvarietyinsyntax,includingeffectiveuseofrhetoricalquestions.Theoccasionalflaws(e.g.,thesomewhatgarbledsyntaxinparagraph3:
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爐imeforwhichtostudytherate?
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")donotdetractfromtheoverallstrongqualityoftheessay.Forallofthesereasons,thiscritiqueisstrongbutnotoutstanding,andthusmeritsascoreof5.
4、
Atfirstlook,thisseemstobeaverywellpresentedarguement.Alogicalpathisfollowedthroughouttheparagraphandtheconclusionisexpected.However,uponasecondconsideration,itisapparentthatallpossibilitieswerenotconsideredwhentheauthorpresentedhisconclusion(oratleastthats/hedidnotpresentallofthepossibilities).TherearenumerouspotentialexplanationsforwhythenumberofaccidentsinElmsforddecreasedwhilethenumberinForestvilleincreased.Althoughitseemslogicaltoassumethatthedifferenceinthepercentageofaccidentswasduetothedifferenceinwhetherornotthespeedlimithadbeenincreasedduringthespecifiedmonth,thisdoesnotnecessarilymeanthatthespeedlimitshouldbereducedbacktowhatitoriginallywasinForestville.Theauthordoesnotstatetwospecificpiecesofinformationthatareimportantbeforeaconclusionsuchastheonetheauthormadeissound.Thefirstisthatitisnotexpressedwhetherthespeedlimitsint