Warning Signs.docx
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WarningSigns
WarningSigns:
RecordingRevenueTooSoon(EMShenaniganNo.1)
●Recordingrevenuebeforecompletinganyobligationsundercontract
●Recordingrevenuefarinexcessofworkcompletedonacontract
●Up-frontrevenuerecognitiononlong-termcontracts
●Useofaggressiveassumptionsonlong-termleasesorpercentage-of–completionaccounting
●Recordingrevenuebeforethebuyer’sfinalacceptanceoftheproduct
●Recordingrevenuewhenthebuyer’spaymentremainsuncertainorunnecessary
●Cashflowfromoperationslaggingbehindnetincome
●Receivables(especiallylong-termandunbilled)growingfasterthansales
●acceleratingsalesbychangingtherevenuerecognitionpolicy
●Usinganappropriateaccountingmethodforanunintendedpurpose
●Inappropriateuseofmark-to-marketorbill-and–holdaccounting
●Changesinrevenuerecognitionassumptionsorliberalizingcustomercollectionterms
●sellerofferingextremelygenerousextendedpaymentterms
WarningSigns:
RecordingBogusRevenue(EMShenaniganNo.2)
●Recordingrevenuefromtransactionsthatlackeconomicsubstance
●Recordingrevenueformtransactionsthatlackareasonablearm’s-lengthprocess
●Lackofrisktransferfromsellertobuyer
●Transactionsinvolvingsalestoarelatedparty,affiliatedparty,orjointventurepartner
●Boomerang(two-way)transactionstonontraditionalbuyers
●Recordingrevenueonreceiptsfromnon-revenue-producingtransactions
●Recordingcashreceivedfromalender,businesspartner,orvendorasrevenue
●Useofaninappropriateorunusualrevenuerecognitionapproach
●Inappropriatelyusingthegrossratherthanthenetmethodofrevenuerecognition
●Receivables(especiallylong-termandunbilled)growingmuchfasterthansales
●Revenuegrowingmuchfasterthanaccountsreceivable
●Unusualincreasesordecreasesinliabilityreserveaccounts
WarningSigns:
BoostingIncomeUsingOne-TimeorUnsustainableActivities(EMShenaniganNo.3)
●Boostingincomeusingone-timeevents
●Turningproceedsfromthesaleofabusinessintoarecurringrevenuestream
●Cominglingfutureproductsaleswithbuyingabusiness
●Shiftingnormaloperatingexpensesbelowtheline
●Routinelyrecordingrestructuringcharges
●Shiftinglossestodiscontinuedoperations
●Includingproceedsreceivedfromsellingasubsidiaryasrevenue
●Operatingincomegrowingmuchfasterthansales
●Suspiciousorfrequentuseofjointventureswhenunwarranted
●Misclassificationofincomefromjointventures
●UsingdiscretionregardingBalanceSheetclassificationtoboostoperatingincome
WarningSigns:
ShiftingCurrentExpensestoaLaterPeriod(EMShenaniganNo.4)
●Improperlycapitalizingnormaloperatingexpenses
●Changesincapitalizationpolicyoracceleratedcapitalizationofcosts
●Neworunusualassetaccounts
●Jumpinsoftassetsrelativetosales
●Unexpectedincreaseincapitalexpenditures
●Amortizingordepreciatingcoststooslowly
●Stretchingoutdepreciableassetlife
●Improperamortizationofcostsassociatedwithloans
●Failingtorecordexpensesforimpairedassets
●Jumpininventoryrelativetocostofgoodssold
●Failurebylenderstoadequatelyreserveforcreditlosses
●Decreaseinloanlossreserverelativetobadloans
●Declineinbaddebtexpenseorobsolescenceexpense
●Decreaseinreservesrelatedtobaddebtsorinventoryobsolescence
WarningSigns:
EmployingOtherTechniquestoHideExpensesorLosses(EMShenaniganNo.5)
●Failingtorecordanexpensefromacurrenttransaction
●Unusuallylargevendorcreditsorrebates
●Unusualtransactionsinwhichvendorssendoutcash
●Failingtorecordanexpenseforanecessaryaccrualorreversingapastexpense
●Unusualdeclinesinreserveforwarrantyorwarrantyorwarrantyexpense
●Decliningaccruals,reserves,or“softliability”accounts
●Unexpectedandunwarrantedmarginexpansion
●Unusually“lucky”timingontheissuanceofstockoptions
●Failingtoaccruelossreserves
●Failingtohighlightoff-balance-sheetobligations
●Changingpension,lease,orself-insuranceassumptionstoreduceexpenses
●Outsizedpensionincome
WarningSigns:
ShiftingCurrentIncometoaLaterPeriod(EMShenaniganNo.6)
●Creatingreservesandreleasingthemintoincomeinalaterperiod
●Stretchingoutwindfallgainsoverseveralyears
●Improperlyaccountingforderivativesinordertosmoothincome
●Holdingbackrevenuejustbeforeanacquisitioncloses
●Creatingacquisition-relatedreservesandreleasingthemintoincomeinalaterperiod
●Recordingcurrent-periodsalesinalaterperiod
●Suddenandunexplaineddeclinesindeferredrevenue
●Changesinrevenuerecognitionpolicy
●Unexpectedlyconsistentearningsduringavolatiletime
●Signsofrevenuebeingheldbackbythetargetjustbeforeanacquisitioncloses
WarningSigns:
ShiftingFutureExpensestoanEarlierPeriod(EMS-henaniganNo.7)
●Improperlywritingoffassetsinthecurrentperiodtoavoidexpensesinafutureperiod
●Improperlyrecordingchargestoestablishreservesusedtoreducefutureexpenses
●Largewrite-offsaccompanyingthearrivalofanewCEO
●Restructuringchargesjustbeforeanacquisitioncloses
●Grossmarginexpansionshortlyafteraninventorywrite-off
●Repeatedrestructuringchargesthatservetoconvertordinaryexpensestoaone-timeexpense
●Unusuallysmoothearningsduringvolatiletimes
CashFlowShenanigans
Part3.part3expandsthediscussiontotheStatementofCashFlows.Sinceinvestorshavestartedplacingmoreemphasisoncashflowfromoperations(CFFO),notsurprisingly,managementhastriedtoperfectanewclassofshenanigans—thosethatinflatetheCFFO.FourgeneralCashFlow(CF)ShenanigansareusedtoinflateCFFO,andtheyarereflectedintheaccompanyingboxes.
WarningSigns:
ShiftingFinancingCashInflowstotheOperatingSection(CFShenaniganNo.1)
●RecordingbogusCFFOfromanormalbankborrowing
●BoostingCFFObysellingreceivablesbeforethecollectiondate
●Disclosuresaboutsellingreceivableswithrecourse
●InflatingCFFObyfakingthesaleofreceivables
●Changesinthewordingofkeydisclosureitemsinthefinancialreports
●Providinglessdisclosurethaninthepriorperiod
●Bigmarginexpansionshortlyafteraninventorywrite-off
WarningSigns:
ShiftingNormalOperatingCashOutflowstotheInvestingSection(CFShenaniganNo.2)
●Inflatingoperatingcashflowwithboomerangtransactions
●Improperlycapitalizingnormaloperatingcosts
●Neworunusualassetaccounts
●Jumpinsoftassetsrelativetosales
●Unexpectedincreaseincapitalexpenditures
●Recordingpurchaseofinventoryasaninvestingoutflow
●Investingoutflowsthatsoundlikeanormalcostofbusiness
●Purchasingpatents,contracts,anddevelopment-stagetechnologies
WarningSigns:
InflatingOperatingCashFlowUsingAcquisitionsorDisposals(CFShenaniganNo.3)
●InheritingOperatingcashinflowsinanormalbusinessacquisition
●Companiesthatmakenumerousacquisitions
●DecliningfreecashflowwhileCFFOappearstobestrong
●Acquiringcontractsorcustomersratherthandevelopingtheminternally
●BoostingCFFObycreativelystructuringthesaleofabusiness
●NewcategoriesappearingontheStatementofCashFlows
●Sellingabusiness,butkeepingtherelatedreceivables
WarningSigns:
BoostingOperatingCashFlowUsingUnsustainableActivities(CFShenaniganNo.4)
●BoostingCFFObypayingvendorsmoreslowly
●Accountspayableincreasingfasterthancostofgoodssold
●Increasesinotherpayablesaccounts
●LargepositiveswingsontheStatementofCashFlows
●Evidenceofaccountspayablefinancing
●Newdisclosureaboutprepayments
●Offeringcustomersincentivestopayinvoicesearly
●BoostingCFFObypurchasinglessinventory
●Disclosureaboutthetimingofinventorypurchases
●DramaticimprovementsinCFFO
●CFFObenefitfromone-timeitems
KeyMetricsShenanigans
Part4.Part4introducesreaderstoagroupofshenanigansthatstretchesmanagement’screativityindeceptiontothelimit.ThissectionofthebookshowsKeyMetrics(KM)Shenanigansusedtodistortaninvestor’sunderstandingoftheeconomicperformanceandhealthofthatcompany.Theaccompanyingboxessummarizeexactlyhowitisdoneandhowinvestorscanspotthesedevices.
WarningSigns:
ShowcasingMisleadingMetricsThatOverstatePerformance(KMShenaniganNo.1)
●Changingthedefinitionofakeymetric
●Highlightingamisleadingmetricasasurrogateforrevenue
●Unusualdefinitionoforganicgrowth
●Divergenceintrendbetweensame-storesalesandrevenueperstore
●Inconsistenciesbetweentheearningsreleaseandthe10-Q
●Highlightingamisleadingmetricasasurrogateforearnings
●Pretendingthatrecurringchargesarenonrecurringinnature
●Pretendingthatone-timegainsarerecurringinnature
●Highlightingamisleadingmetricasasurrogateforcashflow
●Highlightingamisleadingmetricontheearningsrelease
WarningSigns:
DistortingBalanceSheetMetricstoAvoidShowingDeterioration(KMShenaniganNo.2)
●Distortingaccountsreceivablemetricstohiderevenueproblems
●Failingtoprominentlydisclosethesaleofaccountsreceivable
●Convertingaccountsreceivableintonotes
●Increasesinreceivablesotherthanaccountsreceivable
●AhugedeclineinDSOfollowingseveralquartersofgrowingreceivables
●InappropriateofchangingmethodsofcalculatingDSO
●Distortinginventorymetricstohideprofitabilityproblems
●MovinginventorytoanotherpartoftheBalanceSheet
●Distortingfinancialassetmetricstohideimpairmentproblems
●Stoppingthereportingofcertainkeymetrics
●Distortingdebtmetricstohideliquidityproblems