财务分析-cashflow.ppt
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ChrisNelsonbcCashFlowMarch1998Copyright1998Bain&Company,Inc.1CU7030298IMBbcBOSCopyright1998Bain&Company,Inc.CashFlowAgendaTheimportanceofcashflowTypesofcashflowApplicationsCashflowstepsExerciseKeytakeaways2CU7010598KRAbcBOSCopyright1998Bain&Company,Inc.CashFlowAgendaTheimportanceofcashflowTypesofcashflowApplicationsCashflowstepsExerciseKeytakeaways3CU7010598KRAbcBOSCopyright1998Bain&Company,Inc.CashFlowWhatisCashFlow?
Cashflowdescribesthemovementofcashinto(sources)andoutof(uses)acompany.SourcesofcashCompanyUsesofcash$4CU7010598KRAbcBOSCopyright1998Bain&Company,Inc.CashFlowWhyDoWeCareAboutCash?
ThemarketvalueofacompanyisequaltothepresentvalueofitsexpectedfuturecashflowsVariousstakeholdersdemandcashinvestorsdemandCASHreturnssuppliersandemployeesrequireCASHcompensationdebtholdersdemandCASHpaymentsAccountingmethodscanbeusedto“manage”earnings;CASHishardertomanipulateCashisKing!
Cashflowisthemeasureofacompanysstrategicvalue.5CU7010598KRAbcBOSCopyright1998Bain&Company,Inc.CashFlowEarningsvs.CashFlow*Someaccountingdecisionsimpactearnings,butnotcashIn1988,GeneralMotorsmadeatleastfourdecisionsthatimpactedearningsbutnotcashEarningsdonotequalcashflow.*EarningsarealsocalledaftertaxprofitsornetincomeSuccessfulhighgrowthcompaniestendtohavehighearnings,butlowcashflow;successfullowgrowthcompaniestendtohavelowearnings,buthighcashflowAccountingDecisionExtendedusefulplantlifefrom35to45yearscheduleChangedthewayitaccountedforitspensionplanAdjusteditsinventoryvaluationpolicyChangedtheresidualvalueassumptionforcarsitleasedEarningsImpact$790MM$480MM$217MM$270MMCashImpactNoneNoneNoneNoneTotal:
$1,757MMNone6CU7010598KRAbcBOSCopyright1998Bain&Company,Inc.CashFlowAgendaTheimportanceofcashflowTypesofcashflowApplicationsCashflowstepsExerciseKeytakeaways7CU7010598KRAbcBOSCopyright1998Bain&Company,Inc.CashFlowTypesofCashFlowNetcashflowisequaltothesumofthecashflowsfromoperating,investing,andfinancingactivities.OperatingcashflowInvestingcashflowFinancingcashflowAbilityofacompanysrecurringoperationstogeneratecashAbilityofacompanysinvestmentdecisionstogeneratecashHowacompanyfundsitsoperationsOperatingprofitsDecreaseinworkingcapitalSaleoffixedassetsLong-termissuanceofsharesExamplesofsources:
OperatinglossesIncreaseinworkingcapitalPurchaseoffixedassetsRepaymentofloansPaymentofdividendsExamplesofuses:
8CU7010598KRAbcBOSCopyright1998Bain&Company,Inc.CashFlowOperatingCashFlow*Investingactivitiesnotrelatedtoongoingoperations(suchasthepurchaseorsaleofdivisionsorcompanies,orinvestmentsinunrelatedbusinesses)arenotincludedininvestingcashflow.Theyareincludedinfinancingcashflow.OperatingcashflowexcludesallcashflowsrelatedtoafirmscapitalstructurecashgenerationabilityisindependentofhowafirmisfinancedItexcludesone-timeeventsthesearenotrelatedtoafirmsrecurringoperationsOperatingcashflowisusedtomeasurethestrategicvalueofabusinessforcompanyvaluations,operatingandinvestingcashflowsareused,notfinancingcashflowBainisusuallymoreinterestedinoperatingandinvesting*cashflowthaninfinancingcashflowOperatingcashflowmeasurestheabilityofabusinesssrecurringoperationstogeneratecash.9CU7010598KRAbcBOSCopyright1998Bain&Company,Inc.CashFlowInvestingCashFlowInvestmentsinongoingoperations-property,plantandequipment-areincludedininvestingcashflowcashisusedtoreplaceassetsastheywearoutifabusinessistogrow,additionalassetsmustbeacquiredinsomecases,thecashusedtoacquiretheseassetsisgeneratedfromthesaleofexistingnoncurrentassetssuchcashinflows,however,seldomcovertheentirecostofassetacquisitions.Oftentimescashflowfromoperationsisusedtofinanceacquisitions,or,failingapositiveoperatingcashflow,externalfinancingisusedPurefinancingactivitiesarenotincludedininvestingcashflow.TheyareincludedinfinancingcashflowpurchaseorsaleofdivisionsorcompaniesinvestmentsinunrelatedbusinessesInvestingcashflowsrelatingtoongoingoperationsareusedasameasureofthestrategicvalueofabusiness.Thosethatarepurelyfinancing/investmentmechanismsareusedtoevaluatethefinancialstrategyofthebusinessInvestingcashflowmeasurestheuseofabusinessscashfortheacquisitionofnon-currentassets.10CU7010598KRAbcBOSCopyright1998Bain&Company,Inc.CashFlowFinancingCashFlowMajortypesoffinancingcashflowinclude:
debt-relatedtransactions8changesinlong-termdebt8interestincomeandexpenseequity-relatedtransactions8changesincommonandpreferredstock8dividends8short-terminvestmentslong-termassetandliabilitytransactions8purchaseorsaleofadiv