纺织品行业及贸易外文文献翻译资料Word格式.docx

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纺织品行业及贸易外文文献翻译资料Word格式.docx

作者:

Altaf,Saba

期刊名称:

JournalofEconomicCooperation&

Development;

卷:

35;

期:

4;

页:

113-133;

年份:

2014

RevealedComparativeAdvantageofCarpetsandTextileFloorCoveringIndustryinPakistan,IndiaandChina

1.Introduction

Theglobaltradepatternhasbeenchangedinthepursuanceoftradeliberalizationpoliciesintheformofremovaloftariffandnon-tariffbarriers,reductioninquotasandtechnologicaladvancementonthepartofworldeconomies.SouthAsianeconomiessuchasChinaandIndiaareseekingafavorablepositionfromthetradecompositionperspectiveintheinternationalmarkets.Thesecountriespossesscomparativeadvantageintextilesectorandshowanoteworthygrowthinchangingtradepatternsacrosstheworld.Pakistanhasagreatpotentialtostandoutinthissectorintheregionasaprospectiveandoverwhelmingproportionoflaborforceisengagedinthissector.Itisexpectedthatexport-ledgrowthstrategycauseasignificantboostinproduction,employmentandtheproductivityoflaboralongwiththeimprovementsinoveralleconomicstatusbutthepoliticalandsocio-economicconditionsinadditiontoprimitivetypesoftechnologyusemayhinderthewaytorapidprogress.

Pakistan'

scurrentexportstructurerequiresstructuraltransformationandchangesinitsexportdiversificationandprototypespecialization.TheindustrialsectorinPakistanhasbeenplayingapivotalroleinthenationaleconomyintermsofitsshareinGDP,exports,employment,foreignexchangeearnings,investmentanditscontributiontothevalueaddedindustry.Chinaisoneoftheworld'

slargesttextilesexporters,accountingforonethirdoftheglobaltextiletradevolume.Althoughtheprolongedanti-dumpinginvestigationshitthecountry'

stextileexport,stilltextileindustryinChinahasremainedakeypillarofdevelopmentinthecountry.Ithasplayedavitalroleinproliferationofvarioussectorsoftheeconomy.Duetoitslargecontributionintheeconomicgrowth,Chinesegovernmenthasremainedverymuchfocusedtoupgradethissector.India,anothermajorexporteroftextilegoodsisself-reliantandindependentwithlotsofversatilityanddiversificationintextilesector.Apartfromprovidingoneofthebasicnecessitiesoflifei.e.cloth,thetextileindustrycontributesabout14%tothecountry'

sindustrialoutputandabout17%toexportearnings.Thissectorstandsatsecondintheprovisionofjobstopeopleafteragriculturalsector.

ThereiscontinuingdebateandemergingconcernaboutthepositionofthesecountriesintheworldmarketandtheresultingedgeofChinaforintensifiedcompetitioninthelabor-intensivemanufacturedgoods.Thissignifiestheimportanceofthestructureofcomparativeadvantageinselectedcountries;

China,IndiaandPakistanandtofindouttheextentofcompetitionamongthesecountriesinthemarketofselectedsubsectori.e.,textile.

Thisstudyfocusesononeoftheimportantsub-sectoroftextileindustryi.e.CarpetsandothertextilefloorCoverings(underthecategoryofcode57asperHarmonizedSystemofclassification,HS).ThecarpetindustryplaysafundamentalroleindeterminingtheexportbearingofPakistan.TherehasbeenaneverincreasingdemandforcarpetsandfloorcoveringsbothinPakistanandaroundtheglobe.Carpetshavealwaysbeenavaluableassetsinceagesandthereforeremainedinvogue.ThiswasgraduallycommercializedinPakistanbecauseofthedevelopmentofexportmarket.Commercializationgavenewdimensionstothisindustryanditstartedexpandinginruralareasduetotheavailabilityofcheaplabor.Thisisoneofthesectorsthatgrewtremendouslyduring1970sand80s.Amongthevalueaddedgoodsitremainedonthetopofthelist(AwanandKhan,1992).

Thissectorstartedgettingasetbackaftertheissueofchildlaborraisedbyinternationalorganizations.AsmajorityofthecarpetweaversinPakistanwereestimatedtobechildrenlessthan15yearsofage.Although,dataonthePakistanlaborforceandchildlaborisvulnerable.Nevertheless,thereislittledoubtthatchildlaborhasassumedmassiveproportionsinPakistan.TheactualtotalnumberofworkingchildreninPakistanisprobablysomewherebetween2and19million.2

Primarily,thepromotionofcarpetindustrydependsuponavailabilityofrawmaterial,presenceofskilledweaversandthetraditionofweavingart,etc.Theskillandproductivityofworkersincarpetindustryalongwiththeavailabilityofsocio-economicinfrastructureaffectsthecompetitivenessofthissector.Despitethepresenceofweaknessesinfewareas,thecarpetindustryservesasabackbonefortheeconomyofPakistan.Ithasbeenamajorsourceofforeignexchangeearningsandcontributesalotinreliefofpoverty,especiallyinruralareas.Presentlythisindustryisnotrevealingasignificantexportgrowthandthereisadireneedtofocusontheprovisionofinfrastructuretosupportthegrowthofthisindustry.

AUNICEF-Punjabreport(1992)assertedthat"

accordingtoconservativeestimates,onemillionoutof1.5millionworkersinthecarpetindustryinPakistanwerechildren.Aseparate1992UNICEF/GovemmentofPakistanstudyreportedthat90percentoftheonemillionworkersinthecarpetindustryarechildren,manyofwhombeganworkingintheindustrybefore10yearsofage.TheHumanRightsCommissionofPakistanfoundthatweavingthrivesinself-containedhomesteads,wherelaborischeapandreadilyavailable"

.

Differenttechniqueshavebeenusedinliteraturetodeterminecountry'

scompetitivenessinselectedindustry.OneofthemostwidelyusedmethodsinvolvestheconceptofRevealedComparativeAdvantage(RCA)developedbyBalassa(1965).Revealedcomparativeadvantage(RCA),ameasureofinternationalcompetitivenessspecifiesthatacountryisdefinedasbeingspecializedinexportsofacertainproductifitsmarketshareinthatproductishigherthantheaverage.

AnumberofstudiesareavailableonmeasuringcompetitivenessinvarioussectorsofPakistan,butthereisnoempiricalworkdoneonRCAofPakistanincarpetandothertextilefloorcoveringsindustrytilltheyearofthisstudyconducted.Forsmallaswellasgrowingeconomies,competitivenessisessentialforpromotingeconomicdevelopmentandtosurviveintheglobalizedworldwherecarpetindustryholdsitsownworth.

Fromtheabovegivenperspective,theobjectiveofthisstudyistoanalyzethecomparativeadvantageofthecarpetindustryinPakistanandcompareitwithselectedSouthAsiancountries.i.e.ChinaandIndia.ThesecountrieswereselectedformeasuringandcomparingRCAwithPakistan'

sbecausetheyaresimilarinsizeandfactorendowmentsandcorecompetitorofPakistanintheworldmarket.ThestudyenablesustofindoutthecompetitivenessofthissectorintheworldmarketandcanprobeatthefuturepotentialofgrowthinthecarpetindustryofPakistan.TheBalassaIndex(1965)isusedtofindoutthecomparativeadvantageat2-digitand4-digitlevelofHarmonizedSystemofClassification.

Therestofthepaperisorganizedasfollows.Nextsectionprovidestheliteraturesurveyfollowedbythemethodologyanddatadescription.Theempiricalresultsofthestudyarereportedanddiscussedinsection4.Lastsectionconcludesthestudywithsomepolicyrecommendations.

2.ReviewofLiterature

AnumberofstudieshavebeenconductedtofindoutRevealedComparativeAdvantage(RCA)usingBalassaIndex(1965).ThissectionprovidesabriefliteraturereviewthatcangiveabetterknowledgeandunderstandingofthepatternofRCAindifferentcountriesfordifferentsectors.

Balassa(1977)hasundertakenananalysisofthepatternofcomparativeadvantageofindustrialcountriesfortheperiod1953to1971.TheempiricalfindingsofthisstudysuggestarenewaloftheproductcycleforUSthatpossessaneverincreasingtechnicallead.BasedonthestandarddeviationoftheRCAindicesfordifferentcountriesanassociationisalsoseentoholdbetweensizeanddiversificationofexports.Furthermore,Balassa'

sresultsshowthattheextentofexportdiversificationtendstoincreasewiththedegreeoftechnologicaldevelopmentandareversaltakesplaceathigherlevelsinthetradepatterns.

Leishmanetal.(1999)empiricallyanalyzedtheinternationalcompetitivenessforagriculturalcommoditiesbyapplyingRevealedComparativeAdvantage(RCA)forwool-exportingcountries.AnumberofsixwoolproducingcountriesareselectedformeasuringRCAoverthetimeperiodof37years.RCAindexforAustralia,Argentina,Newzeland,SouthAfrica,UnitedKingdomandUruguayindicatesthatGATTUruguayRoundhaschangedtheRCA'

sofcountriessignificantly.

Mehmood(2005)analyzedtheexportspecializationandcomparativeadvantage/disadvantageofPakistan'

snonagricultureproductionsectorsinthecontextofon-goingmultilateraltradenegotiations.ThestudyusesRCAapproachatHS-4digitlevelfortheperiod1990-2000.ThedatasethasbeendrawnfromInternationalTradeStatisticscompiledbytheAustralianNationalUniversity(AND).Thedatasetcomprises16productcategoriesmadeupof978productlines.FindingsshowthatPakistan'

stop-rankingexportsbelongtotextilesandclothingsector,consistentwiththenaturalandhumanfactorendowmentshoweverPakistanhasfailedtomovefromlowvalueaddedtotechnicallyintensivehighvalueaddedmanufacturing.Pakistan'

seconomicwell-beingdependsontheextenttowhichthenon-agriculturalsectorremainscompetitiveandcontributestoeconomicgrowth,exports,investmentandemployment.

BatraandKhan(2005)examinedthestructureofco

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