Analysis the real estate development in China 浅析我国房地产发展文档格式.docx
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From2006to2010,thecompletionoftheurbanrealestateareaofatotalof3.159billionsquaremeters,anaverageannualcompletionof632millionsquaremeters.Residentialareaatotalof2.577billionsquaremeters,withanaverageannualcompletionof515millionsquaremeters.Thetotalrealestatesalesof3.969billionsquaremeters,andannualsalesof794millionsquaremeters.Thetotalresidentialsalesof3.577billionsquaremeters,andannualsalesof715millionsquaremeters.
In2006,thegovernmenthasincreasedthepolicyofregulation,pricescontinuedtoraise,realestatevacancyratestillhigh.Supplyanddemandhassignificantdeviation.AsoftheendofJuly2006,112millionsquaremetersofvacanthousingarea,anincreaseof14.4%.
In2007,therealestatemarketsupplyanddemandoverheating,thecountryincreasesadjustingcontrolstrength.Raisedbankdepositrates6timesandraisedbankdepositreserverate10times.
In2008,highinflation,thegovernmentadoptatightmonetarypolicy,6timestoraisethedepositreserveratio.Thedevelopmentofrealestatemarketistight.Realestatemarketintoadownturn,housingsecurityintensified.Afewyearsago,thehousepriceslargelyrosetothehighestpoint.Therealestatemarketwasaffectonthefinancialcrisis,globalandChina'
smacro-economictrenddecline.Residentsareworriedthathousepricescontinuedtofallandpeople’spurchasewillresultinmarketsalesdecline.
In2010,inordertopromotethedevelopmentoftherealestatemarket,theStateCouncilissued"
noticeoftheStateCounciltopromoteastableandhealthydevelopmentoftherealestatemarket"
.Citiesnationwidehousepricesraisedtoofast,therealestatemarketspeculationenhanced,theStateCouncilinApril2010issued“noticeoftheStateCouncilonresolutelycurbthefastrisingofpricesinsomecities"
.Therealestatemarketinapositivechange,housepricescontinuedtodrop,speculativeinvestmentdemandwasinhibited.Housinglandsupplyandcommercialhousingsupplyhassignificantlyincreased.Theprotectionofhousingconstructionprojectsprogressingsmoothly.However,sinceNovember2010,drivenbyinflationexpectationsandavarietyofreasons,somelocalre-emergenceofhighprice,thehousingtransactionvalueandpricewasraisedinthecenterofthecitywhichnotimplementedthepurchaselimit,andthehousepricesrapidlyroseintheregionnearthepurchaselimitcity.
1.1.Realestateinvestmentisgrowing
In2008,commercialhousingdevelopmentinvestmentof3058billionyuan,anincreaseof20.9%commercialhousinginvestment2208.1billionyuan,anincreaseof22.6percent,accountingforrealestatedevelopmentandinvestmentaccountedfor72.2%.In2009,realestatedevelopmentandinvestment3623.2billionyuan,up16.1percentthanlastyear,commercialresidentialinvestment2561.9billionyuan,anincreaseof14.2percent,accountingforrealestatedevelopmentandinvestmentaccountedfor70.7%.
1.2.Therealestatemarketdevelopmentisnotbalancedindifferentregions
Becausehigherlevelofeconomicdevelopmentoftheeasternregion,itstartsasearlyastherealestatemarket,andhousingconstructionareaandcompletionoftheareainalargeproportion.Inthecentralregion,therealestatemarketgrowthrateattheadvancedlevel.Withtheeconomicdevelopmentgapbetweenregionsisgraduallyreduced.In2011,easternpartofrealestatedevelopmentandinvestment3560.7billionyuan,up27.2percentthanlastyear.Thecentralregionofrealestateused1319.7billionyuanindevelopmentandinvestment,up25.5percent.Andthewesternregionrealestateused1293.6billionyuanindevelopmentandinvestment,anincreaseof32.8%.
1.3.Thehousingpricesstillhighly
From2002,housingpricescontinuedtorise.Therehaspriceandnomarketin2007.In2008,therealestatemarketfellintodownturnbythefinancialcrisisaffecting.Withtheadjustmentofnationalpolicies,thepricehasabigreboundin2009,anditcontinuedintheendof2010.Underthestronggovernmentregulation,priceincreasehasbeenadegreeofcontrol,housingpricesinsomeareashasdecliningtrend.
1.4.Thefundingsourcesoftherealestateindustry
Witheconomicdevelopment,therealestateindustrydevelopmentandinvestmentfundsareincreaseeveryyear.Whichthefundsderivedfromthetotalproportionoffundsfromdomesticloansisthelowestandgrowthrateisslower.
Mainlyfundedbycorporateself-financingandotherfunds(deposit,advancepayment,personalloans),corporateself-financingandotherfundsaccountforaproportionofthelargestsourcesoffunding,andanupwardtrend.
years
Domesticloans
Enterpriseself-financing
Otherfunding
2008
19.02%
39.53%
39.54%
2009
19.77%
31.34%
48.07%
2010
17.30%
36.84%
44.77%
2011
15.09%
40.96%
42.98%
2.China'
srealestateindustryimpactonthemacroeconomic
TherapiddevelopmentofChina'
srealestateindustryplayanimportantroleinpromotingconsumption,expandingdomesticdemand,stimulatinginvestment,improvingthelivingconditions,changingthetownoutlookdrivenbytheconstructionandbuildingmaterialsandotherrelatedindustriesandsocio-economicdevelopment.
2.1.Theimpactontheoveralleconomy
Firstly,investmentinrealestatedevelopmentgrewfasterthantotalfixedassetinvestmentandGDPgrowthrate.
Secondly,risinginvestmentinrealestatedevelopmentaccountedfortheproportionoffixedcapital.
Thirdly,investmentinrealestatedevelopmentisagradualincreaseincontributiontoChina’seconomicgrowth.
2.2.Theimpactonrelatedindustries
Therealestateindustryisthemiddleofindustry.Withthedevelopmentoftherealestateindustry,themanufactureofmetalproducts,machineryandequipmentmanufacturing,buildingmaterials,chemicals,mineralproductsindustryhasalsobeendeveloped.Realestateistheupstreamindustrymarket,thecorrelationoftheconsumermarketisveryhigh,itclouddriventhedevelopmentofthehomeappliances,decorationandotherindustries.
2.3.Theimpactontheconsumer
Ontheonehandwiththerealestatedevelopmentandinvestmentprovidejobstosolvetheemploymentproblemofsomepeople,thusincreasingthepercapitaincome,andpromotetheconsumptionoftheresidents.Ontheotherhand,someresidentsuseloanstopurchasethefundsforrepayment,whichmakeslessdisposableincome.
Canalsobeseenfromtherealestatesales,theresidents'
demandforhousingincreaseseveryyear,andthisdemandispromotingthedevelopmentoftherealestateindustry.
3.Industryanalysis
Therealestateindustryhassomecharacteristics,suchaslargeamountofcapital,highreturn,highrisk,highaddedvalueandstrongindustryassociation.
Withtherapiddevelopmentoftherealestateindustryinrecentyears,realestatecompaniesaregoingtolarge-scalecross-boundaryexpansion.Therealestatemarketafterthefinancialcrisisinthefirsthalfof2010,showingastrongmomentumofdevelopment,andthevolumeisincreasing.Groupmanagementhasbecometherealestateindustrytrends.Inthefuture,thecompetitionofrealestatecompaniesandindustryscarceresourcesisoneoftherealestateindustrytrends.Atthesametimetherealestateindustryintothetransitionperiod.
3.1.Strongmergersandacquisitions,corporateorganizationalstructurechanges
Largerealestateenterpriseshavewell-funded,widelyfinancingchannels,thetechnologyofoperationandmanagementisadvancedandmature.Fortheirowndevelopmentwillbetheacquisitionandmergerssomesmallandmedium-sizedenterprisesandhigh-qualityrealestateprojectstomakethecontinuousexpansionofenterprisescalecometrue,makinglargerealestateenterprisestoovercomethedevelopmentoftheindustrybottleneck.Thechancesofsmallandmedium-sizedrealestatecompaniesincreasebymergersandcooperation.Goodbrandsandstrengtheconomylettherealestatecompaniestofurtherexpandintherealestatemarket.Mergersandcooperationisgoodforthedegreeofconcentrationoftherealestateindustry.
3.2.Regionaljointandthedevelopmentofspaceshift
Underthesituationthatthelandacquisitionchannelissingleandthenumberoflandsupplyissmall.Regionalalliancesandgroupmanagementtosmallsizerealestateenterpriseshasbecomeaninevitabletrend.Acquiredlandthroughjointfunding,operationofsystemsintegration,publicbiddingandauction.In2011,theeasternregionsalesofcommercialareaof511millionsquaremeters,anincreaseof0.1percentthanlastyear,salesof3462.8billionyuan,andanincreaseof3.8%.Thecentralregionofrealestatesalesof293millionsquaremeters,anincreaseof11.3%,salesof1189.5billionyuan,anincreaseof29.4%.Thewest296millionsquaremetersofrealestatesales,andsalesof1259.6billionyuan,anincreaseof23.9%.Sometimeago,largerealestatecompaniesmainlyconcentratedinbigcities,butnow,moreandmorecompanieschangetosmallandmedium-sizedcitiesandeventown.Thesmallandmedium-sizedcitieshavelargespacefordevelopment.Realestatedevelopmententerprisesinthebigcitiesbecomedifficultbyrestrictionpolicyandscarcelandresourcesinlargecities.
3.3.Prop