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December14,2010
Althoughthedollarhasexperiencedwhatsomeexpertscalla"
confounding"
rallylately,ifyou'
restillworriedaboutthegreenbacktakingadownwarddive,you'
renotalone.Attheveryleast,financialanalystsexpecttheU.S.economytogrowslowlyfortheforeseeablefuture.Mixinthelong-termimpactoflarge-scalestimulusspendingandmountingdeficits,andyourdollar-centricinvestmentsmightbelesssecurethanyouthink.
"
Weareinanenvironmentwherethereisnosuchthinganymoreasa'
safeasset,'
saysAxelMerk,founderofMerkInvestmentsandauthorofSustainableWealth."
Investorsneedtothinkbeyondthetraditionalassetallocationmodelwhereyouhaveasafehaven,anddiversifytheirassetsinaworldthat'
severlessstable."
Thegoodnewsisthatthereareplentyofwaystohedgeagainstalacklusterdomesticeconomyandadecliningdollar,whetherit'
ssimplyincreasingyourexposuretoU.S.companieswithlargeglobalfootprintsorinvestinginthelocalcurrenciesofgrowingeconomies.U.S.Newstalkedwithsomeexpertsabouthowtodulltheeffectsofaweakdollaronyourportfolio.
Beefupyourexposuretobluechips.IfyouhavebignameslikeMcDonald'
s,Pepsi,andGeneralMotorsinyourportfolio,youalreadyhavesomeindirectexposuretonon-dollardenominatedassets.MostcompaniesintheS&
P500havesignificantforeignoperations,whichmeanstheyhavestakesinforeigncurrencies."
Sincethedollarhasweakenedandmanyexpectittocontinuetoweaken,companieswithincomeoverseaswillseeabenefitwhentheytranslatethatincomebackintoU.S.dollars,"
MorningstaranalystMikeRawsonsaidinanE-mail.
Ifyoudon'
talreadyownsomelarge-capU.S.stocks,RawsonrecommendsiSharesS&
P500Index(symbolIVV),anexchange-tradedfundthatoffersbroad-basedexposuretobigfirmswithglobalreach.AsidefrombeingoneofthecheapestETFsavailablewitha0.09percentexpenseratio,about45percentoftheunderlyingcompanies'
asset-weightedrevenuescomefromoutsidetheUnitedStates,givinginvestorssubstantialsecondaryexposuretointernationalcurrencies.
Don'
tignoreemergingmarkets.Forthoselookingtogrowtheirinvestmentswithafive-yearorlongertimehorizon,"
itwouldbedangeroustoignoreemergingmarkets,"
saysOliverPursche,presidentofNewYork-basedGaryGoldbergFinancialServices."
That'
swherethegrowthishappening—AsiaandLatinAmerica.It'
snotEuropeortheUnitedStates."
PurscheandRawsonrecommendWisdomTreeEmergingMarketsSmallCapDividend(DGS),anETFthatgivesinvestorsconcentratedaccesstoagroupofrapidlygrowingeconomiesincludingChinaandBrazil."
Weliketolookatsmall-capemergingmarketcompaniesbecausewethinkthey'
reclosertothoseemergingmarketconsumers,sothey'
reprobablygoingtoexperiencegrowthmoresimilartothegrowthofthoseunderlyingeconomies,"
Rawsonsays.Andbecausetherevenueandcostsofthoseeconomiesstaylocal,investorscanexpectcompaniesintheportfoliotohavefarlessexposuretofluctuationsintheU.S.dollar.
BecauseinternationalmarketscanbemorecomplicatedandlesstransparentthanU.S.markets,Rawsonrecommendsstickingtoactivelymanagedfundsorfundamentally-weightedETFslikeWisdomTreeEmergingMarketsSmallCapDividend.Thefundweightscompaniesbasedonthedividendtheypaytoinvestorsratherthanthetraditionalmethodofweightingbasedonmarketcap."
Whatyou'
redoingistryingtoshifttowardqualitycompaniesthathavethewherewithaltobeabletopayadividend.It'
salittlebitofatilttohigher-qualityfirmsanditgetsyoualittlebitclosertosomelevelofsafetyandcomfort."
Cashinonforeigncurrencies.Holdingaforeigncurrencyinanoverseassavingsaccountisn'
tyourbestoptionforbettingoncurrencies,Rawsonsays,becausethosetypesofinvestmentswon'
tearnyouacompetitivereturncomparedwithinflation.Instead,herecommendsWisdomTreeEmergingMarketsLocalDebt(ELD),anETFthatholdslocalcurrencybondsincountriessuchasIndonesia,Brazil,andMexico."
Whatwelikeaboutthisfundisthatitisdiversified,[and]accessesemergingmarketscurrencies,"
Rawsonsays."
Andsinceitinvestsinmedium-termbonds,[it]earnsmoreinterestthanadepositaccount."
Thebottomline:
IfgrowthinemergingmarketscontinuesoutpacingthatoftheUnitedStates,emergingmarketscurrenciesshouldriseagainstthedollar,whichwillbepositiveforthefund.
Commoditiesarekey.JustbecausetheU.S.economyisinadazedoesn'
tmeanothercountrieshavestoppedtogape."
Eventhoughwe'
vehadthistremendousrecessionintheU.S.andaslowrecovery,foreigneconomies—particularlydevelopingmarkets—aregoingtogrowfaster,"
ItaffectsU.S.investorsbecauseasthoseeconomiesgrow,theirdemandforinternationallytradedcommoditiessuchaswheat,oil,andpreciousmetals,isgoingtogrowalso."
Withitsexposuretoglobally-pricedcommoditiesandothernon-U.S.-dollarassets,VanguardEmergingMarketsStock(VWO)canhelpinvestorscapitalizeonthecommoditiesmarketsandcommodity-producingforeigncountries.Thefundhaslargestakesinnaturalresourcescompaniesintheoil,naturalgas,andsteelindustries—allofwhichareexpectedtoseemajorgrowthincomingyears."
WhenyoulookatthecurrenciesofAustralia,Canada,andBrazil,theyhaveonethingincommon—they'
reallcommodityproducingplaces,"
saysMikeSavage,founderofSavageFinancialGroup."
Ifcommoditypricesgoup,thosecommoditycurrenciesgoup."
Passage2:
HowtoUsetheHolidaystoBoostYourCareer
ByKarenBurns
December15,2010
Itmaysoundcalculatingtoleveragetheholidayseasontoyourprofessionaladvantage,butit’ssmart,too.
Theholidaysareprimonetworkingtime.Mostpeopleareinamorejovial,givingmood.Manyworkplacesslowdownalittlethistimeofyear,soyoumayhavemorementalspacetothinkaboutwaystopolishyourresumeandevensetupinformationalinterviews.Andtheendoftheyearisanaturaltimetoreevaluate,refocus,andthinkstrategicallyaboutyourfuture.
Ifyoudecidetotakeadvantageofthisgoldenopportunity,whethertoadvanceinthejobyoualreadyhaveorfindanewone,hereareafewguidelines:
Gotoyourannualworkplaceparty.Whereelsedoworkerbeesandupper-upsminglesofreely?
Thepowers-that-bewillbeattheirmostkindlyandtheirmostaccessible,sodon’tmissthisopportunitytogetyournameandfaceoutthere.Introduceyourself;
makesmalltalk.Anddon’tforgettosaythankyou.Yourcompanydroppedawadofcashonthisevent,soconveyyourgratitude.
Haveamasterplan.Thinkstrategicallyaboutwhoyou’dliketomeetorgettoknowbetterthisseason.Areyouinterestedintransferringtothesalesdepartment?
Gotothatworkplacepartyreadytointroduceyourselftothesalesstaffand,ideally,thesalesmanager.Doyoudreamofswitchingcareersentirely?
Mentionitatyourneighborhoodget-together,yourchurchsocial,oryourkid’sschoolplay.Youneverknowwhoyou’llmeet.
Rememberthatcompetitionforjobsisatitslowestduringtheholidays.InDecember,manyjobhunterscallitquits,atleastuntilJanuary2nd.Thisisyourcuetorampupyourownsearch.It’snottruethatcompaniesdon’thireduringtheholidays.Theydo.YoumighteventryreachingoutbetweenChristmasandNewYear’s,whenhiringmanagersaremorelikelytobeansweringtheirownphones.
Sendcards.Thisisthetimeofyearwhenit'
snaturaltoremindtheworldofyourexistence.WhetheryouoptforChristmascards,NewYear’scards,printedholidayletters,orane-newsletter,nowistheperfecttimetoreconnectwithfriends,colleagues,formerbosses,formerprofessors—everyoneyouknoworusedtoknow.Keepittastefulandsincere,andaddapersonalnotetoeachmessage.
Volunteer.Volunteering—toserveatthefoodbank,hangdecorationsdowntown,orparticipateinanyactivitywherepeoplegatherandworktogether—isanotherstellarwaytoexpandyournetwork.Giveitatry.Youreallycandowellforyourselfbydoinggoodforothers.Youmightalsolearnanewskill,ordiscoveranewfield,orsimplymeetnewfriends.
Alwaysremainprofessional.Keepinmindthattoomuchholidaycheercanworkagainstyou,too.Whatevereventsyouattend,bepleasantandbusinesslike.Youaretryingtoimpress!
Ifeggnogandrumballsturnyouwoozy,avoidthem.Rememberthataworkplaceholidaypartyisnotreallya“party.”It’sabusinessevent.Comportyourselfaccordingly.
Rechargeyourbatteries.Sure,usethoseextradaysoffforfamilyeventsandpartieswithfriends,butdon’tforgettocarveoutsomeyou-time.Getthesleepyouneed.Lookforhealthywaystodealwithholidaystress.Exercise.Takelongwalks,talkwithyourmentors,orreadinspirationalbooks.Thatwayyou’llberelaxed,refreshed,andreadytohitthegroundrunningcomeJanuary.
Puttingalittleenergyintoyourcareer—whileeveryoneelseisfiguringouthowtoleaveworkearlytogettothemall—mayjustbethebestpresentyoucangiveyourself.
Passage3:
WhyaDouble-DipRecessionHasn'
tHappened
ByRickNewman
Stepbacktolastsummerforamoment.Homesaleshadplunged—again—afterabigfederalsubsidyforbuyersexpired.Stockswereinaswoon,asinvestorsworriedthatEurope'
sdebtcrisiswouldcontaminatetheworld'
sfinancialsystem.Growthwasslowingasstimulusspendingfrom2009hititspeakandbegantowinddown.Ruinousdeflationseemedpossible,promptingcomparisonstoJapan'
s"
lostdecad