供应链设计与管理考试重点.docx
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供应链设计与管理考试重点
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Chapter1.IroductiontoSupplyChainManagement供应链管理介绍
1.【supplychain】供应链定义
Thesystemofsuppliers,manufacturers,transportation,distributors,andvendorsthatexiststotransformrawmaterialstofinalproductsandsupplythoseproductstocustomers.
【supplychainmanagement】SCMisasetofapproachesutilized(利用)toefficientlyintegrate整合的;完全的suppliers,manufacturers,warehouses,andstores,sothatmerchandisen.商品;货物isproducedanddistributedattherightquantities,totherightlocations,andattherighttime.Inordertominimizesystemwidecostswhilesatisfyingservicelevelrequirements.
2.【Whatmakessupplychainmanagementdifficult?
】供应链难度原因
Supplychainstrategiescannotbedeterminedinisolation.Theyaredirectlyaffectedbyanotherchainthatmostorganizationshave,thedevelopmentchain
(供应链管理战略不能孤立地考虑。
它们直接受大多数组织都具有的另一链---开发链).
Itischallengingtodesignandoperateasupplychainsothattotalsystemwidecostsareminimized,andsystemwideservicelevelsaremaintained.
(为了使系统综合成本最小化并维持系统的服务水平,设计与运作一条供应链极具挑战性)
Uncertaintyandriskareinherentadj.固有的;内在的;与生俱来的,遗传的ineverysupplychain.
(不确定性和风险存在于每一条供应链中)
3.【StrategiesforSCM】供应链管理策略
GlobalOptimization(全局优化)
ManagingUncertainty(管理不确定性)
4.【WhyisGlobalOptimizationHard?
】全局优化很难
Thesupplychainisacomplexnetwork.
供应链是个复杂的网络
Differentfacilities设施、工具inthesupplychainfrequentlyhavedifferent,conflictingobjectives.
供应链的不同环节通常具有不同甚至冲突的目标
Thesupplychainisadynamicsystemthatevolves进化、进展overtime
供应链是一个动态系统,会随着时间不断发展.
Systemvariationsovertimearealsoimportantconsideration
系统随时间变化也是一个重要的因素
5.【WhyIsUncertaintyHardtoDealWith?
】管理不确定性(原因)
Matchingsupplyanddemandisamajorchallenge.匹配供应与需求是主要的挑战
Forecastingdoesn’tsolvetheproblem.预测不解决问题
Inventoryandback-orderlevelstypicallyfluctuate波动considerablyacrossthesupplychain,evenwhencustomerdemandforspecificproductsdoesnotvary变化greatly.
供应链中库存和缺货水平波动也会很大
Demandisnottheonlysourceofuncertainty.需求并不是影响不确定性的唯一因素
Recenttrendssuchasleanmanufacturing,outsourcing,andoffshoringthatfocusonreductionincreaseriskssignificantly.近来致力于降低成本的精益生产、外包和离岸化都明显增大了风险
6.【Thethreeprinciplesofallforecastingtechniques】预测三个原则(属于Chapter2.的内容)
Forecastingisalwayswrong.
Thelongertheforecasthorizon范围,theworsetheforecast.
Aggregate聚合的forecastsaremoreaccurate.
Chapter2.InventoryManagement,SupplyContractsandRiskPooling
1.【何时低(高)于平均需求】与边际成本有关
Ifthecostofnotsellinganadditionalunitislargerthantheprofitfromsellinganadditionalunit,theoptimalquantityingeneralwillbelessthanaveragedemand,whileifthereverse相反istrue,theoptimalorderquantityingeneralwillbegreaterthanaveragedemand.
2.【平均需求与最优订货量的关系】Theoptimalorderquantityisnotnecessarilyequaltoaverage,orforecastdemand.
3.【Coefficientofvariation】变异系数
Coefficient系数ofvariation(标准差/平均需求)
TheStandarddeviationmeasurestheabsolutevariabilityofcustomerdemands客户的绝对变化的要求,thecoefficientofvariationmeasuresvariability可变性relativetoaveragedemand.
4.【RiskPooling:
threecriticalpoints】重点:
衡量风险分担(变异系数)的要点
Centralizinginventorycontrolreducesbothsafetystockandaverageinventorylevelforthesameservicelevel.集中库存
Thehigherthecoefficientofvariation,thegreaterthebenefitobtainedfromcentralizedsystems集中式系统;thatis,thegreaterthebenefitfromriskPooling.变异系数越大、收益越大。
ThebenefitsfromriskPoolingdependonthebehaviorofdemandfromonemarketrelativetodemandfromanother.
5.【ForecastingMethods】预测方法自己仔细看
Judgmentmethods(判断方法)
Marketresearchmethods(市场研究方法)
TimeSeriesmethods(时间序列方法)
Causalmethods(因果方法)
以上为定性方法,为定量方法。
(不考定量、考定性。
)
6.【InventoryManagement’scontrollingmethods】
Continuousreviewpolicy(持续检查策略)Periodicreviewpolicy(定期检查策略)
7.【(s,S)Policy】Whenevertheinventorypositiondropsbelowacertainlevel,s,weordertoraisetheinventorypositiontolevelS.
(s,S)的计算:
Thereorderpoint(s)hastwocomponents双组分:
a.Toaccountforaveragedemandduringleadtime:
LTAVGLT提前期;AVG需求的平均值
b.Toaccountfordeviationsfrom(与…有偏差)average(wecallthissafetystock):
zSTDSTD需求的标准差
wherezischosenfromstatisticaltablestoensurethattheprobability(概率)ofstockouts(无缺货)duringleadtimeis100%-SL.
Sincethereisafixedcost,weordermorethanuptothereorderpoint(订货点):
Q=
Thetotalorder-up-tolevelis:
S=Q+s
注:
AVG=averagedailydemand平均每日的需求
STD=standarddeviationofdailydemand日常需求的标准偏差
LT=replenishmentleadtimeindays
h=holdingcostofoneunitforoneday一天的一个单位成本
SL=servicelevel(forexample,95%).Thisimpliesthattheprobabilityof
Stockingoutis100%-SL(forexample,5%)
K=fixedcost
Also,theInventoryPositionatanytimeistheactualinventoryplusitems
alreadyordered,butnotyetdelivered.
8.【JudgmentMethods】判断方法
Assemble [ə'sɛmbl](聚合)theopinionofexperts
Sales-forcecompositecombinessalespeople’sestimates(销售人员汇集意见)
Panelsofexperts(专家小组)–internal,external,both(专家座谈)
Delphimethod(德尔菲方法):
a.Eachmembersurveyed
b.Opinionsarecompiledv.编辑
c.Eachmemberisgiventheopportunitytochangehisopinion.
9.【SupplyContracts】重点
Buy-BackContracts(回购合同):
Theselleragreestobuybackunsoldgoodsfromthebuyerforsomeagreed-uponpricehigherthanthesalvagevalue(残值).
Revenue-SharingContracts(收入共享合同):
Thebuyersharessomeofitsrevenuewiththeseller,inreturnforadiscountonthewholesaleprice.
GlobalOptimizationContracts(全局优化合同):
Thisunbiased(公正的)decisionmakerwouldconsiderthetwosupplychainpartners,thesupplierandthebuyer,astwomembersofthesameorganization.Thatis,thetransferofmoneybetweenthepartiesisignoredandtheunbiaseddecisionmakerwillmaximizesupplychainprofit.
QuantityFlexibilityContracts(数量灵活合同):
Supplierprovidesfullrefund(全部退费)forreturneditemsaslongasthenumberofreturnsisnolargerthanacertainquantity.
SalesRebateContracts(销售回扣合同):
Supplierprovidesadirectincentive(动机)totheretailertoincreasesalesbymeansofarebatepaidbythesupplierforanyitemsoldaboveacertainquantity.
10.周转库存和安全库存的区别
Chapter3.LogisticsNetworkConfiguration
1.【数据处理】
1)DateCollection数据收集
2)DateAggregation数据综合
3)TransportationRates.运输费率
4)Mileage['maɪlɪdʒ]Estimation里程估计
5)WarehouseCosts仓库成本
6)WarehouseCapacities仓库容量
7)PotentialWarehouseLocation潜在的仓库位置
8)ServiceLevelRequirements服务水平需求
9)FutureDemand未来需求
10)ModelandDateValidation [,vælə'deʃən](确认、生效)模型和数据验证
11)SolutionTechniques解决技术
12)KeyFeaturesofaNetworkconfigurationSCP供应链规划工具的关键特征
AStrategyforProductAggregation:
⏹PlaceallSKU’sintoasource-group
⏹AsourcegroupisagroupofSKU’sallsourcedfromthesameplace(s)
⏹Withineachofthesource-groups,aggregatetheSKU’sbysimilarlogisticscharacteristics
⏹Weight
⏹Volume
⏹HoldingCost储存成本
2.【SolutionTechniques】解决技术
Mathematicaloptimizationtechniques(数学优化技术)
a.Exactalgorithms:
findoptimalsolutions(准确算法)
b.Heuristics [hju'rɪstɪks]:
find“good”solutions,notnecessarilyoptimal(启发式算法)
Simulationmodels(仿真技术):
Provideamechanism['mɛkənɪzəm](机制、原理)toevaluatespecifieddesignalternativescreatedbythedesigner.
Chapter4.TheValueofInformation
1.【“Inmodernsupplychains,informationreplacesinventory”】Ithinkitistruebecauseinformation:
HelpsreducevariabilityHelpsimproveforecastsEnablescoordination [ko,ɔrdɪ'neʃən]n.协调,调和;ofsystemsandstrategies
ImprovescustomerserviceFacilitatesleadtimereductions
Enablesfirmstoreactmorequicklytochangingmarketconditions.
2.【WhatistheBullwhipEffect?
】牛鞭效应定义
Ordervariabilityisamplified(放大)thesupplychain;
upstream [,ʌp'strim].向上游的echelons(梯度)facehighervariability.
3.【WhatarethecausestheBullwhipEffect?
】牛鞭效应原因
Promotionalsales:
Forwardbuying
Volumeandtransportationdiscounts:
Batching
Inflatedorders:
IBMAptivaordersincreasedby2-3timeswhenretailersthoughtthatIBMwouldbeoutofstockoverChristmas
Demandforecasting:
Order-up-topointsaremodifiedasforecastschange–ordersincreasemorethanforecasts
Longcycletimes:
Longleadtimesmagnifythiseffect
4.【MethodsforCopingwiththeBullwhipEffect】牛鞭效应处理方法
Reduceuncertainty:
POS;Sharinginformation;Sharingforecastsandpolicies
Reducevariability:
Eliminatepromotions;Year-roundlowpricing
Reduceleadtimes:
EDI;Crossdocking
Strategicpartnerships:
Vendormanagedinventory(VMI);Datasharing
Chapter5.SupplyChainIntegration
1.【SupplyChainStrategies】推、拉、推拉结合供应链的【特点】
PushStrategies:
推(积极经营战略)
特点:
a.Productiondecisionsbasedonlong-termforecasts
b.Orderingdecisionsbasedoninventory&forecasts
缺点:
a.Inabilitytomeetchangingdemandpatterns.
b.Theobsolescenceofsupplychaininventoryasdemandforcertainproductsdisappears.
c.Thebullwhipeffect:
Excessiveinventory,Excessiveproductionvariability,Poorservicelevels
PullStrategies:
拉(攻击市场战略)
特点:
Productionisdemanddriven
a.Productionanddistributioncoordinatedwithtruecustomerdemand
b.Firmsrespondtospecificorders
优点:
a.Reducedleadtimes(betteranticipation)
b.Decreasedinventorylevelsatretailersandmanufacturers
c.Decreasedsystemvariability
d.Betterresponsetochangingmarkets
缺点:
a.Hardertoleverageeconomiesofscale
b.Doesn’tworkinallcases
Push-PullSupplyChains推拉供应链
2.【模型图】
3.【Theimpactofleadtimeanddemanduncertainty】提前期对供应链战略的影响
Chapter6.StrategicAlliances
1.【StrategicAlliances】Strategicalliancesaretypicallymultifaceted(多方位的),goal-oriented,long-termpartnershipsbetweentwocompaniesinwhichbothrisksandrewardsareshared.
2.【Thealliance