全球金融危机对秋交会的影响及应对策略学位论文.docx

1、全球金融危机对秋交会的影响及应对策略学位论文AbstractChina Import and Export Fair (Canton Fair), establishing in the spring of 1957 in Guangzhou, has a history of more than 50 years. The Canton Fair is a comprehensive international trade event for the longest history, the highest level, the largest scale, the most complet

2、e exhibit variety, the biggest buyer attendance, the broadest buyer distribution, the greatest business turnover, and the best credit standing in China.In 2008, the global financial crisis, which was formed by subprime mortgage crisis resulting from housing market bubble of the United States, sweeps

3、 across all over the world like a tornado. Whats more, the crisis spread quickly from USA and Europe to the whole world and has a trend of sharpening more. As a result, a global economic slowdown and profits downturn cannot be avoided definitely because of the expanding. On the other hand, not only

4、occident countries and districts but also China (the so called “global economy safe harbor”) has not escaped from the crisis narrowly and luckily, so does the Canton Fair.In this thesis, the author will try to reason the impact of global financial crisis on the 104th session China Import and Export

5、Fair analyze the root cause of the crisis and the global responses, resulting to the turndown of visitors, turnover, buyers and so on. In the end, the author will try to purify some effective useful arrangements to reduce impact.Key words: financial crisis; impact; Canton Fair; arrangements中文摘要中国进出口

6、商品交易会，俗称广交会，创办于1957年春季，每年春秋两季在广州举办，迄今已有五十余年历史，是中国目前历史最长、层次最高、规模最大、商品种类最全、到会客商最多、成交效果最好的综合性国际贸易盛会。 2008年，由美国房地产市场泡沫破裂造成的美国次贷危机引发的金融风暴席卷全球经济，从美国、欧洲逐渐向全球蔓延，并且有进一步加深的趋势，由此引发的全球经济增长放缓和盈利滑坡将不可避免。此次危机不仅对欧美国家有影响，即使是素有“避风港”之称的中国亦不能幸免，而作为中国“出口风向标”的广交会也受到了影响。本文将尝试揭示金融危机对2008年秋交会的影响，浅析引发金融危机的根本原因及其对世界经济的影响，直接或间

7、接导致广交会采购商、成交额和参展商数量等方面的下降，并尝试从中提炼出如何走出金融危机对广交会的影响可以借鉴的有效应对措施。 关键词：金融危机；影响；广交会；措施1. IntroductionThe world has experienced the worst economic crisis that started as a financial crisis from United States of America from July 2007 chronicling the credit crisis which resulted from the sub-prime mortgage

8、crisis. The global financial crisis emerged in September 2008 with the failure, merger, or conservatorship of several large United States-based financial firms and spread with the insolvency of additional companies, governments in Europe, what s more, recession, and declining stock market prices has

9、 expanded too many other parts of the world. In our countrys speeding economy, the continuous development progress of China Import and Export (Canton Fair) is an important historical witness. It not only provides a broader market for businessmen all around the world gathering as well as a magnificen

10、t arena for myriads of outstanding enterprises, but also displays numerous competitive commodities from China to the world.The past of Canton Fair is worthy of being unfeignedly compliment, however, its more important that how to cope with the impact of global financial crisis so as to keep the nati

11、onal economy growing stably. 2. Literature Review2.1 The China Import and Export Fair The China Import and Export Fair (we also call it Canton Fair), comprehensive in nature, has won its renown of “Chinas No.1 Fair” for the longest history, the highest level, the largest scale, the most complete exh

12、ibit variety, the biggest buyer attendance, the broadest buyer distribution, the greatest business turnover, and the best credit standing in China.2.1.1 The Fundamental Introduction of Canton FairIn 1957, the days of founding of us new China, which has already done the socialism rehabilitation, the

13、establishment of our socialist society building requires a lot of construction qualifications, on the other hand, the western countries are hostile to this baby China, almost every one of them took actions such as suppressing our economy, laying down strict laws to restrict our export commodities an

14、d so on to hamper Chinas developing progress. As a result, the China Export Fair emerged in response to the proper time and conditions; it is also one momentous measure of the new China opening-door policies.In the spring of 1957, the first session China export fair was open. However, the total tran

15、saction amount in this session was just $0.18 million, while only 1223 buyers from 19 countries and districts attending. But in the 4th session Canton Fair, the turnover raised to $1 million, the attendance from 31 countries and districts was twice as much as the first session. From then on, the pol

16、itical isolation aiming at China from western countries began to collapse in economy firstly. In 1963, the rectification movements of the national economy, the Canton Fair had another remarkable progress, for instance, a new exhibition hall covering an area of 47 thousand square meters was construct

17、ed, and 5961 buyers from 59 countries and districts attended the fair.The development of Canton Fair was tardy and flexural from year 1966 to 1977, though the ten-year transaction amount was $214.39 million, it had laid the foundation for our country economical further progressing. In the late 1970s

18、, some policies relating with economical system and foreign trade regime had changed sharply because of implementation of reform and opening up policy. As time goes by, more and more enterprises from different trades signed up for the fair, as a result, the expansion of exhibitors range directly fac

19、ilitated trading commodities configuration. In the Spring Canton Fair of 1978, 17 thousand exhibitors from 98 countries and districts were attracted. And it was the first time the attending number was more than ten thousand. Whats more, the exhibiting areas to the fair reached 129 and the visitors c

20、ame to 45 thousand person-times.The incessant advancement of the reform and opening up policy, especially Deng Xiaoping made his Southern Tour and reinvigorated the reform process in 1992, China economic evolution and Canton Fair had been carried a step forward. The unceasing revolution and perfecti

21、on of Market Socialism as well as the speedier, wider and deeper promotion of international communication and corporation advanced Canton Fair to its golden age. The export transaction amount hit a new high ($3.406 trillion) in the 100th session China Export Fair., which fully revealed the important

22、 position of us China in the economic exchanges and trade with other countries. Besides traditional way of negotiating against samples, the Fair holds Canton Fair online. The Fair leans to export trade, though import business is also done here. Apart from the above-mentioned, various types of busine

23、ss activities such as economic and technical cooperation and exchanges, commodity inspection, insurance, transportation, advertising, consultation, etc. are also carried out in flexible ways. Business people from all over the world are gathering in Guangzhou, exchanging business information and deve

24、loping friendship.China Export Fair is always the barometer of China Aussenhandel. After years of rapid development, China, whose macro-economy is facing a deep-rooted structural adjustment, has formed an comprehensive, multi-fields and multi-level configuration. As the third largest global trading

25、nation, China, in the progress of incessant expansion and deepening reform, expanding opening up, cannot highlight more on exporting growth or favorable trade balance, on the other hand, its suggested to optimize the mix of imports and exports, change the pattern of Chinas foreign trade growth and s

26、trive to reduce our excessively large trade surplus. As a result, on April 15, 2007, the 101st Canton Fair was renamed to China Import and Export Fair officially. However, the change of one word is a historic leap. In our countrys speeding economy, the continuous development progress of Canton Fair

27、is an important historical witness. Its rename embodies the spirit of win-win strategy and is a symbolic of changing from valuing too much on exporting for earning foreign currency to seeking the balance of import and export in the orientation of our foreign trade strategy.Roughly speaking, as a mic

28、rocosm of export trading, Canton Fair not only provides the Chinese commodities internationalization with an excellent display platform to help domestic enterprises incorporate the international competitive environment as soon as possible, but also play a leading role and obvious demonstration in th

29、e readjustment of industrial structure, the reform of foreign trade, the creation of domestic brand, transformation of the pattern of economic growth, etc. Every change of Canton Fair has reflected myriads of significant strategies and decisions of China economy in different periods as well as the e

30、xuberant vitality of Chinas participation in the economic globalization. 2.1.2 The 103 Session China Import and Export FairFacing challenges from accelerating appreciation of the RMB, inflation and increased labor and materials costs and even influences of the subprime loan crisis in the United Stat

31、es. The 103rd Canton Fair concluded successfully on Wednesday, April 30, 2008, as the number of overseas buyers and the overall turnover keep steady growth, said Xu Bing, deputy secretary general of the Canton Fair.The overall number of foreign buyers reaches 192,013, an increase of 1.3% over the sa

32、me figure of the last fair.The number of traditional buyers, including those from the US, South Korea and Japan has seen a decline, while those from the new markets including the Muslim countries, India, South Africa and Brazil have seen tremendous growth, which makes up for the loss in the traditio

33、nal market.The total turnover of the 103rd Canton Fair hits 38.23 billion US dollars, an increase of 2.1% over the last fair.2.2 Global Financial CrisisThe current world is going through a once-in-a-hundred-year financial crisis. The financial crisis which is also known as the financial turmoil, refers to all or most of