突发事件应急管理及群体性事件预案编制(1304).ppt

1、突发事件应急管理及群体性事件预案编制2013年年4月月主讲：詹承豫主讲：詹承豫 副教授副教授/博士博士中国政法大学危机管理研究中心副主任中国政法大学危机管理研究中心副主任清华大学中国应急管理研究基地兼职研究员清华大学中国应急管理研究基地兼职研究员课程框架课程框架课程大纲课程大纲一、群体性事件预防与应对基础知识一、群体性事件预防与应对基础知识1.我国近年群体性事件形势及应急管理定义2.我国的突发事件应对体系的现状及发展二、群体性事件的预防与应对二、群体性事件的预防与应对1.如何认识“社会转型=矛盾高发期”？2.如何认识和应对我国群体性事件3.群体性事件应对的实践案例分析4.群体性事件特点及其应急

2、预案编制三、群体性事件应对与应急管理展望三、群体性事件应对与应急管理展望四、群体性事件预防与应对情景模拟四、群体性事件预防与应对情景模拟911911事件对应急体系引发的思考事件对应急体系引发的思考ThoughtstowardstheemergencyresponseafterSep.11p“9.119.11”事件使各事件使各国政府都在重新思国政府都在重新思考如何应对恐怖势考如何应对恐怖势力和突发事件的问力和突发事件的问题。题。Governments of all countries are rethinking how to respond to terrorist forces and em

3、ergency issues after Sep.11.重庆出租车重庆出租车113113罢运事件罢运事件深圳宝安区深圳宝安区117117对讲机砸人对讲机砸人事件事件甘肃陇南甘肃陇南11171117事件事件湖北武汉湖北武汉11181118下岗职工上下岗职工上访事件访事件重庆开县重庆开县11211121村民煤矿冲村民煤矿冲突事件突事件广东东莞广东东莞11251125劳资纠纷事劳资纠纷事件件 贵州瓮安贵州瓮安“6.28”6.28”事件事件陕西府谷县陕西府谷县7575警民抢尸事件警民抢尸事件云南孟连云南孟连719719日事件日事件广东惠广东惠州州717717骚乱事件骚乱事件云南丽江云南丽江8484环保

4、纠纷事件环保纠纷事件川渝川渝9 91010月教师罢课事件月教师罢课事件湖南吉首湖南吉首9393非法集资事件非法集资事件重庆巫溪重庆巫溪919919车祸事件车祸事件河北省廊坊河北省廊坊10191019铁路征地事铁路征地事件件江西铜鼓县江西铜鼓县10241024山林纠纷事山林纠纷事件件u2008年，中国的群体性突发事件年，中国的群体性突发事件 1.1.我国近年突发事件形势我国近年突发事件形势 我们这个民族在历史上灾难太深重了，这就培育了我们的忧我们这个民族在历史上灾难太深重了，这就培育了我们的忧患意识，生存意志和追求和平发展的愿望。患意识，生存意志和追求和平发展的愿望。China has suff

5、ered a lot in history,and this has cultivated our will to China has suffered a lot in history,and this has cultivated our will to face the hardship,to survive and to chase peaceful development.face the hardship,to survive and to chase peaceful development.我们这个国家太大，问题太多、太复杂，这就要求我们这个我们这个国家太大，问题太多、太复杂，

6、这就要求我们这个民族不畏艰险、百折不挠、坚定信心、永远奋斗。民族不畏艰险、百折不挠、坚定信心、永远奋斗。As a big country,China has too much complicated problems,and As a big country,China has too much complicated problems,and this has set requirements for us to be fearless,indomitable,this has set requirements for us to be fearless,indomitable,confid

7、ent and striving.confident and striving.温家宝总理温家宝总理 from Premier from Premier WenWen JiabaoJiabao 我国的突发事件形势严峻我国的突发事件形势严峻 Severe situation of public safety in China 第一，重大自然灾害频发、分布广、损失大。由于特有的地质构造条件和自然地理环境，我国是世界上遭受自然灾害最严重的国家之一。Firstly,frequent and widely distributed severe Firstly,frequent and widely di

8、stributed severe natural calamities have led to grave loss to China.natural calamities have led to grave loss to China.China is one of the countries who have been China is one of the countries who have been severely suffering from natural calamities.severely suffering from natural calamities.2.我国的事故

9、灾难严重我国的事故灾难严重SevereSevere a accidental calamityccidental calamity 安全生产形势严峻。煤矿、交通等重特安全生产形势严峻。煤矿、交通等重特大事故频繁发生，给人民群众生命财产造成大事故频繁发生，给人民群众生命财产造成严重损失。严重损失。环境污染确实已经成为当前中国发展中的环境污染确实已经成为当前中国发展中的一个重大问题一个重大问题温家宝总理温家宝总理 from Premier Wen Jiabao 我国的公共安全形势严峻我国的公共安全形势严峻Severe Situation of Public Safety in China 重大、特

10、大事故时有发生。近几年，全国每年发重大、特大事故时有发生。近几年，全国每年发生的各类事故造成死亡生的各类事故造成死亡1212万人左右，万人左右，7070多万人受伤。多万人受伤。直接和间接经济损失直接和间接经济损失25002500亿元。亿元。Serious and very serious accidents happen from Serious and very serious accidents happen from time to time.time to time.（In recent years,accidents of various In recent years,accide

11、nts of various levels have caused 120,000 fatalities each year,with over levels have caused 120,000 fatalities each year,with over 700,000 injured and direct and indirect economic loss of 700,000 injured and direct and indirect economic loss of 250 billion 250 billion yuanyuan.）我国的公共安全形势严峻我国的公共安全形势严

12、峻 Severe Situation of Public Safety in China第三，突发公共卫生事件仍然威胁着人民群众的生命和健康。多种传染病尚未得到有效的遏制。爱滋病病毒感染者84万；活动性肺结核患者450万，每年死亡13万；慢性病毒性乙性肝炎患者2000万；434个县存在血吸虫疫情，6500万人受到威胁，患者84万。Thirdly,outbreak public hygiene accidents still seriously threaten Thirdly,outbreak public hygiene accidents still seriously threaten

13、peoplepeople s life and health.Several contagions havens life and health.Several contagions haven t got efficient control,t got efficient control,with 840,000 infected by AIDS,4,500,000 infected by active pulmonary with 840,000 infected by AIDS,4,500,000 infected by active pulmonary tuberculosis,and

14、 20,000,000 infected by chronic type B viral hypothesis.tuberculosis,and 20,000,000 infected by chronic type B viral hypothesis.SchistosomeSchistosome still exists in 434 counties with 65,000,000 people still exists in 434 counties with 65,000,000 people threatened and 840,000 infected.threatened an

15、d 840,000 infected.我国的公共安全形势严峻我国的公共安全形势严峻 Severe Situation of Public Safety in China第四，影响国家安全和社会稳定的因素依然存在。在一些地方，群死群伤的爆炸、投毒等恶性案件时有发生，杀人、绑架等暴力犯罪不断。由人民内部矛盾引发的群体性事件也明显增多。国内外极端势力制造的各种恐怖事件危及国家安宁国内外极端势力制造的各种恐怖事件危及国家安宁 。Fourthly,there are still factors posing bad impacts upon national security and Fourthly,

16、there are still factors posing bad impacts upon national security and social stability.In some places,vice cases such as serious explosions with social stability.In some places,vice cases such as serious explosions with severe fatalities and casualties and poisoning etc.occur at times;murders and severe fatalities and casualties and poisoning etc.occur at times;murders and abduction happen from time to time,with an obvious rising occurrence of abduction happen from time to time,with an obvious r