1、总负债加股东权益(a) 如果计划期限是30天,那么再定价缺口是多少?91天呢?(提示:现金是一项没有利息收入的资产)(b) 如果所有利率都上升50个基本点,将对未来30内的净利息收入有何影响?如果都下降75个基本点呢?参考答案:(a)30天计划期限的利率敏感性资产有:1个月的国库券;30天计划期限的利率敏感性负债有:隔夜再回购协议;所以,计划期限为30的再定价缺口:GAP=资产-负债=75-175=-95.91天计划期限的利率敏感性资产有:1个月的国库券和3个月的国库券;91天计划期限的利率敏感性负债有:所以,计划期限为91的再定价缺口:GAP=资产-负债=75+75-175=-20.(b)如
2、果所有利率都上升50个基本点,那么未来30内的净利息收入变化为:,净利息收入减少0.475如果所有利率都下降75个基本点,那么未来30内的净利息收入变化为:,净利息收入增加0.7125 以下是County银行按市场价值记账的资产负债表(单位:百万美元,所有利率都是年利率)$ 20活期存款$ 10015年期商业贷款(利率为10%,期末还清贷款)1605年期大额可转让存单(利率为6%,期末还清贷款)21030年期抵押贷款(利率为8%,每月分期付款)30020年期无抵押债券(利率为7%)120$ 480(a)County银行的期限缺口是多少?(b)如果所有资产和负债的利率都上升1%,那么期限缺口又是
3、多少?,(a)资产组合的平均期限其中。所以负债组合的平均期限(b)如果所有资产和负债的利率都上升1%,那么首先计算各资产、负债的市场价值。Demand deposits = $100 CDs = $12.60*PVIFAn=5,i=7% + $210*PVIFn=5,i=7% = $201.39 Debentures = $8.4*PVIFAn=20,i=8% + $120*PVIFn=20,i=8% = $108.22 ML = 0*100 + 5*201.39 + 20*108.22/(100 + 201.39 + 108.22) = 7.74 years计算一张年息票率为10%、到期收益
4、率为14%、价值$1000的两年期债券的有效期限。如果利率下降0.5%,债券价格将如何变化?Two-year BondPar value =$1,000 Coupon =0.10Annual paymentsYTM =0.14Maturity =2TimeCash FlowPVIFPV of CFPV*CF*T1$100.00 0.87719$87.72 PVIF = 1/(1+YTM)(Time)$1,100.00 0.76947$846.41 $1,692.83 Price =$934.13 Numerator =$1,780.55 Duration=1.9061= Numerator/P
5、riceExpected change in price =. This implies a new price of $941.94. The actual price using conventional bond price discounting would be $941.99. The difference of $0.05 is due to convexity, which was not considered in this solution.2. 日风险收益的计算 Alpha 银行持有AAA级的15年期的零息债券,面值为4亿美元。债券目前在场外市场的收益率为9.5%,请问:
6、如果潜在不利的收益率的变动为25个基点,那么日风险收益是多少?a. What is the modified duration of these bonds? Modified duration = (MD) = D/(1 + r) = 15/(1.095) = -13.6986. b. What is the price volatility if the potential adverse move in yields is 25 basis points? Price volatility = (-MD) x (potential adverse move in yield) = (-1
7、3.6986) x (.0025) = -0.03425 or -3.425 percent. c. What is the DEAR? Daily earnings at risk (DEAR) = ($ Value of position) x (Price volatility) Dollar value of position = 400/(1 + 0.095)15 = $102.5293million. Therefore, DEAR = $102.5293499 million x -0.03425 = -$3.5116 million, or -$3,511,630. d. If
8、 the price volatility is based on a 90 percent confidence limit and a mean historical change in daily yields of 0.0 percent, what is the implied standard deviation of daily yield changes? The potential adverse move in yields (PAMY) = confidence limit value x standard deviation value. Therefore, 25 b
9、asis points = 1.65 x , and = .0025/1.65 = .001515 or 15.15 basis points.3. 违约概率期限结构的计算利用下面的国债和公司债券(纯折价债券)收益曲线中的即期利率,来计算三年的违约概率期限结构。一定要计算出边际违约概率和累积违约概率。1年即期2年即期3年即期长期国债5.0%6.1%7.2%BBB级债券7.0%8.2%9.3%The notation used for implied forward rates is f12 = forward rate from period 1 to period 2. Treasury S
10、ecurities BBB Graded Debt (1.061)2 = (1.05)(1 + f12 ) (1.082)2 = (1.07)(1 + f12 ) f12 = 7.21% f12 = 9.41% (1.07)3 = (1.061)2(1 + f23 ) (1.093)3 = (1.082)2(1 + f23 ) f23 = 8.82% f23 = 11.53% Using the implied forward rates, estimate the annual marginal probability of repayment: p01(1.07) = 1.05 = p1
11、= 98.13 percent p12(1.0941) = 1.0721 = p2 = 97.99 percent p23 (1.1153) = 1.0882 = p3 = 97.57 percent Using marginal probabilities, estimate the cumulative probability of default: cp02 = 1 - (p1 )(p2 ) = 1 - (.9813)(.9799) = 3.84 percent cp03 = 1 - (p1 )(p2 )(p3 ) = 1 - (.9813)(.9799)(.9757) = 6.18 p
12、ercent16. Using regression analysis on historical loan losses, a bank has estimated the following: XC = 0.002 + 0.8XL, and Xh = 0.003 + 1.8XL where XC = loss rate in the commercial sector, Xh = loss rate in the consumer (household) sector, XL = loss rate for its total loan portfolio. a. If the banks
13、 total loan loss rates increase by 10 percent, what are the increases in the expected loss rates in the commercial and consumer sectors? Commercial loan loss rates will increase by 0.002 + 0.8(0.10) = 8.20 percent. Consumer loan loss rates will increase by 0.003 + 1.8(0.10) = 18.30 percent.b. In whi
14、ch sector should the bank limit its loans and why? The bank should limit its loans to the consumer sector because the loss rates are systematically higher than the loss rates for the total loan portfolio. Loss rates are lower for the commercial sector. For a 10 percent increase in the total loan por
15、tfolio, the consumer loss rate is expected to increase by 18.30 percent, as opposed to only 8.2 percent for the commercial sector. 4. 流动性指数的计算Conglomerate公司收购了Acme公司。为了替收购活动融资,Conglomerate公司将出售Acme公司养老基金中的超额部分。下面是将被出售的资产的面值、目前的售价和一年后的售价。出售资产的价值面值t=0t=1IBM股票$ 10 000$ 9 900$ 10 500GE债券5 0004 0004 500国
16、债15 00013 00014 000计算出这些证券1年期的流动性指数Calculate the 1-year liquidity index for these securities. where wi = weights of the portfolio, Pi = fire-sale prices, Pi* = fair market value of assets Thus I = (0.333)(9900/10,500) + (0.167)(4,00/4,500) + (0.5)(13,000/14,000) = 0.9275. 净存款外流情况下的资产负债表编制 某存款机构的资产负债
17、表如下(单位:百万美元),其净存款外流预计为1500万美元。负债和权益10 存款68贷款权益7证券总负债和权益请列出下列情况下该存款机构的资产负债表:(a) 存款机构购买流动性负债来抵消预期的存款外流(b) 使用储存流动性管理的方法来满足预期的存款外流a. The DI purchases liabilities to offset this expected drain. If the DI purchases liabilities, then the new balance sheet is: Cash $10 Deposits $53 Loans $50 Purchased liabi
18、lities $15 Securities $15 Equity $ 7 b. The stored liquidity management method is used to meet the liquidity shortfall. If the DI uses reserve asset adjustment, a possible balance sheet may be: Loans $50 Deposits $53 Securities $10 Equity $ 7 DIs will most likely use some combination of these two me
19、thods.6. 准备金计算期和准备金维持期某地区性银行在最近准备金计算期内的日均活期存款余额为2.25亿美元。在准备金维持期内,它在美联储的日均准备金余额为1600万美元,在相应计算期内,它的日均库存现金为430万美元。(a) 该行在准备金维持期内,应该持有的日均准备金余额是多少(b) 该行符合法定准备金要求吗(c) 结转下一期准备金维持期的超额准备金或准备金短缺额是多少(a) Reserve requirements = (0 x $6.0m) + ($42.1- $6.0)(0.03) + ($225 - $42.1) (0.10) = 0 + $1.083 + $18.29 = $19
20、.373 million After subtracting the average daily balance of vault cash of $4.3 million, the bank needs to maintain a target daily average of $15.073 million ($19.373 million - $4.3 million) during the maintenance period.(b) Yes. The bank has average reserves of $16 million. This amount exceeds the r
21、equired amount by $0.927 million.(c) A maximum of 4 percent of the required reserves can be carried over to the next maintenance period. Thus, 0.04 x $19.373 million = $0.7749 million can be carried over to the next maintenance period.d. If the local bank has an opportunity cost of 6 percent, what i
22、s the effect on the income statement from this reserve period? A total of $0.1521 million (0.927 0.7749) has an opportunity cost of no earnings at the 6 percent rate. Thus the loss would be $0.1521(0.06)(14/365) = $350.04.7. 资本充足率要求第三银行拥有下列资产负债表(单位:百万美元;括号中的数字为风险权重)现金(0%)20175OECD同业存款(20%)次级债务(5年)3抵
23、押贷款(50%)70累积优先股(包括限定性的和永久性的)5消费贷款(100%)185总资产和权益此外,该银行有3000万美元的履约备用信用证,400万美元的两年期远期外汇合约(目前盈利100万美元),以及3亿美元的6年期利率互换协议(目前亏损200万美元)。信用转换系数如下:履约备用信用证 50%1-5年外汇合约 5%1-5年利率互换 0.5%5-10年利率互换 1.5%(a) 根据巴塞尔协议的定义,该银行的表内风险调整资产是多少(b) 表内和表外资产的总资本要求是多少(c) 该银行的资本能够满足巴塞尔协议的要求吗?a. What are the risk-adjusted on-balanc
24、e-sheet assets of the bank as defined under the Basel Accord? Risk-adjusted assets:Cash 0 x 20 = $0OECD interbank deposits 0.20 x 25 = $5Mortgage loans 0.50 x 70 = $35Consumer loans 1.00 x 70 = $70 Total risk-adjusted assets = $110 = $110 b. What is the total capital required for both off- and on-ba
25、lance-sheet assets? Standby LCs: $30 x 0.50 = $15 = $15 Foreign exchange contracts: Potential exposure $40 x 0.05 = $2 Current exposure in the money = $0 Interest rate swaps: Potential exposure $300 x 0.015 = $4.5 Current exposure Out-of-the money = $2 = $8.5 x 0.50 = $4.25 Total risk-adjusted on- a
26、nd off-balance-sheet assets = $129.25 x 0.08 Total capital required = $10.34 c. Does the bank have enough capital to meet the Basel requirements? If not, what minimum Tier 1 or total capital does it need to meet the requirement? No, the bank does not have sufficient capital to meet the Basel require
27、ments. It needs total capital of $10.34, of which Tier 1 must be at least $129.25 x 0.04 = $5.17. Further, since perpetual preferred stock is limited to 25 percent ($1.29 million) of Tier 1, the bank needs at least $3.878 million of equity capital. Thus an additional $1.878 million of equity is nece
28、ssary to satisfy the Tier 1 requirements. If Tier I actually equals $5.17, the required Tier II capital also will be $5.17. Of this amount, the remaining perpetual preferred stock of $3.91?3.71 million is counted, which leaves $1.29 million of subordinated debt that can be used to satisfy the Tier II requirement. This amount is available and satisfies the limit of 50% of Tier I rule. (Refer to Table 20-8 f
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