1、更有一些研究虽然考虑了空间因素,采用了地理距离矩阵或经济距离矩阵,但忽略了旅游产业的乘数效应以及模型的匹配度和稳健性,将研究的重心完全聚焦在被解释变量(例如人均国民生产总值等)的空间相关性上,而没有将解释变量(如旅游产业集聚、政策因素、旅游资源、资本、人力、政府投入等)的空间溢出效应纳入模型,难以获得准确的模型参数估计值,没有引入与旅游产业集聚存在互相传导的交乘项,所得到的分析结果无法准确地反映经济增长对旅游产业集聚空间效应的依赖路径。鉴于此梳理与研究主题高度相关的文献研究,借助产业集聚理论和经济增长理论,采用地理距离构建空间权值矩阵,同时引入交乘项来探讨旅游产业集聚的空间溢出效应。最后提出湖
2、北省旅游产业集聚下一步提升发展的可行性对策建议。关键词:旅游业;产业集聚;空间溢出效应ABSTRACTIn January 2018, Hubei Province issued the opinions of the Hubei Provincial peoples Government on the Reform and Development of Tourism Industry. In order to implement the opinions of the State Council on promoting the Reform and Development of Tour
3、ism (Guofa (2014) 31), To give full play to the positive role of tourism in expanding domestic demand, stabilizing growth, increasing employment, reducing poverty, and benefiting the peoples health, and building tourism into a strategic pillar industry in Hubei Province, and firmly establishing the
4、concept of big tourism and large industry in combination with the reality of our province. In accordance with the requirements of grand planning and propaganda, vigorously promote the globalization, modernization, internationalization and informatization of tourism, and speed up the construction of
5、projects The establishment and brand cultivation, formulation and implementation of industry policies conducive to sustainable and healthy development of tourism, Hubei Province tourism told the development.At present, the impact of tourism on economic growth has become a hot topic. However, for a l
6、ong time, the research on the impact of tourism industry agglomeration on regional economic growth still can not get rid of the traditional ignored spatial factors of the panel data model framework. Some studies have taken spatial factors into account, using geographical distance matrix or economic
7、distance matrix, but ignoring the multiplier effect of tourism industry, as well as the matching degree and robustness of the model. The focus of the study is on the spatial correlation of explained variables (such as per capita GNP, etc.), rather than on explanatory variables (such as tourism indus
8、try agglomeration, policy factors, tourism resources, capital) The spatial spillover effect of manpower, government input and so on is brought into the model, so it is difficult to obtain the accurate estimation value of the model parameters, and there is no intersecting term with the tourism indust
9、ry agglomeration. The results can not accurately reflect the dependence of economic growth on the spatial effect of tourism industry agglomeration. In view of the literature research which is highly related to the research subject, this paper uses the theory of industrial agglomeration and the theor
10、y of economic growth to construct the spatial weight matrix by using geographical distance, and at the same time, introduces the term of intersection to discuss the spatial spillover effect of tourism industry agglomeration. Finally, the author puts forward the feasible countermeasures and suggestio
11、ns for the further promotion and development of tourism industry agglomeration in Hubei Province.Keywords: tourism; Industrial agglomeration; Spatial spillover effect1绪论1.1选题背景及意义1.1.1选题背景湖北,简称“鄂”,中华人民共和国省级行政区,省会武汉,因位于长江中游、洞庭湖以北,故名湖北。地处中国中部,东邻安徽,西连重庆,西北与陕西接壤,南接江西、湖南,北与河南毗邻,介于东经10821421160750、北纬29015
12、333647之间。全省总面积18.59万平方千米。湖北省位居华中腹地,是中华文明的重要发祥地之一。先秦时期,从哲学到文学,产生了老子、庄子、屈原,历经800年,楚国创造了灿烂的楚文化。湖北还具有光荣的革命传统,从武昌辛亥首义到新中国成立,为中国革命胜利作出了重要贡献。新民主主义革命时期,湖北有70万革命英雄献出了宝贵生命。经过十年发展,旅游业已经成为湖北省重要的战略性支柱产业,在湖北省经济社会发展中发挥了重要的作用,特别是在稳增长、调结构、扩内需、促就业、惠民生等方面,可以说是有大担当、大作为。湖北省的旅游人次和旅游收入都将保持继续增长的态势,湖北旅游业已经成为支撑本省经济发展的一大支柱。20
13、18年1月湖北省发布了湖北省人民政府关于促进旅游业改革发展的实施意见中提出,为贯彻落实国务院关于促进旅游业改革发展的若干意见(国发201431号),充分发挥旅游业在扩内需、稳增长、增就业、减贫困、惠民生中的积极作用,把旅游业建设成为湖北省战略性支柱产业,结合我省实际,牢固树立大旅游、大产业的观念,按照“大策划、大宣传”的要求,大力推进旅游全域化、现代化、国际化和信息化,加快项目建设和品牌培育,制定和实施有利于旅游业持续健康发展的产业政策。到2020年,全省旅游总收入达到6800亿元以上,旅游业增加值占国内生产总值的比重超过8%。把旅游业培育成为我省国民经济的战略性支柱产业和人民群众更加满意的现代服务业,把我省建设成为国际知名、国内一流的旅游目的地,率先在中部地区建设成为旅游强省。1.1.2研究意义理论意义:产业集聚和经济增长恰如“一枚硬币的两个面”,两者分别从空间和时间维度表征了经济活动的动态变化过程。对两者研究不可偏废其中的任何一个,但长期以来的研究往往是选择一个侧面或者直接套用前人的研究方法和模型,忽略了旅游产业自身的特性,并未深层次地阐述两者的内在关系。值得一提的是,已有学者从空间视角观察到了旅游产业集聚与经济增长的内在联系,但是在研究对象和研究方法方面尚未深入,所设计的测算模型并未充分考虑影响经济增长的要素。因此,本文以湖北省为研究对象,将旅游产业的特性纳入改
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