冬季温家宝达沃斯演讲.docx
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冬季温家宝达沃斯演讲
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StrengthenConfidenceandWorkTogetherforANewRoundofWorldEconomicGrowth
SpecialMessagebyH.E.WenJiabao
PremieroftheStateCouncilofthePeople'sRepublicof
ChinaAttheWorldEconomicForumAnnualMeeting2009
28January2009
ProfessorKlausSchwab,ExecutiveChairmanoftheWorldEconomicForum,LadiesandGentlemen,
IamdelightedtobehereandaddresstheWorldEconomicForumAnnualMeeting2009.LetmebeginbythankingChairmanSchwabforhiskindinvitationandthoughtfularrangements.Thisannualmeetinghasaspecialsignificance.Amidstaglobalfinancialcrisisrarelyseeninhistory,itbringstogethergovernmentleaders,businesspeople,expertsandscholarsofdifferentcountriestojointlyexplorewaystomaintaininternationalfinancialstability,promoteworldeconomicgrowthandbetteraddressglobalissues.Itstheme——"ShapingthePost-CrisisWorld"ishighlyrelevant.Itreflectsthevisionofitsorganizers.Peoplefromacrosstheworldareeagertohearwordsofwisdomfromherethatwillgivethemstrengthtotideoverthecrisis.Itisthusourresponsibilitytosendtotheworldamessageofconfidence,courageandhope.Ilookforwardtoasuccessfulmeeting.
Theongoinginternationalfinancialcrisishaslandedtheworldeconomyinthemostdifficultsituationsincelastcentury'sGreatDepression.Inthefaceofthecrisis,countriesandtheinternationalcommunityhavetakenvariousmeasurestoaddressit.Thesemeasureshaveplayedanimportantroleinboostingconfidence,reducingtheconsequencesofthecrisis,andforestallingameltdownofthefinancialsystemandadeepglobalrecession.Thiscrisisisattributabletoavarietyoffactorsandthemajoronesare:
inappropriatemacroeconomicpoliciesofsomeeconomiesandtheirunsustainablemodelofdevelopmentcharacterizedbyprolongedlowsavingsandhighconsumption;excessiveexpansionoffinancialinstitutionsinablindpursuitofprofit;lackofself-disciplineamongfinancialinstitutionsandratingagenciesandtheensuingdistortionofriskinformationandassetpricing;andthefailureoffinancialsupervisionandregulationtokeepupwithfinancialinnovations,whichallowedtherisksoffinancialderivativestobuildandspread.Asthesayinggoes,"Afallinthepit,againinyourwit,"wemustdrawlessonsfromthiscrisisandaddressitsrootcauses.Inotherwords,wemuststrikeabalancebetweensavingsandconsumption,betweenfinancialinnovationandregulation,andbetweenthefinancialsectorandrealeconomy.
ThecurrentcrisishasinflictedaratherbigimpactonChina'seconomy.Wearefacingseverechallenges,includingnotablyshrinkingexternaldemand,overcapacityinsomesectors,difficultbusinessconditionsforenterprises,risingunemploymentinurbanareasandgreaterdownwardpressureoneconomicgrowth.
Asabigresponsiblecountry,Chinahasactedinanactiveandresponsiblewayduringthiscrisis.Wemainlyrelyonexpandingeffectivedomesticdemand,particularlyconsumerdemand,toboosteconomicgrowth.Wehavemadetimelyadjustmenttothedirectionofourmacroeconomicpolicy,swiftlyadoptedaproactivefiscalpolicyandamoderatelyeasymonetarypolicy,introducedtenmeasurestoshoreupdomesticdemandandputinplaceaseriesofrelatedpolicies.Together,theymakeupasystematicandcomprehensivepackageplanaimedatensuringsteadyandrelativelyfasteconomicgrowth.
First,substantiallyincreasegovernmentspendingandimplementastructuraltaxcut.TheChineseGovernmenthasrolledoutatwo-yearprograminvolvingatotalinvestmentofRMB4trillion,equivalentto16percentofChina'sGDPin2007.
Theinvestmentwillmainlygotogovernment-subsidizedhousingprojects,projectsconcerningthewell-beingofruralresidents,railwayconstructionandotherinfrastructuralprojects,environmentalprotectionprojectsandpost-earthquakerecoveryandreconstruction.SomeofthemareidentifiedaspriorityprojectsinChina's11thFive-YearPlanforEconomicandSocialDevelopment.Therestareadditionalonestomeettheneedsofthenewsituation.Thistwo-yearstimulusprogramhasgonethroughscientificfeasibilitystudiesandissupportedbyadetailedfinancialarrangement.RMB1.18trillionwillcomefromcentralgovernment'sbudget,whichisexpectedtogeneratefundsfromlocalgovernmentsandothersources.TheChineseGovernmenthasalsolaunchedamassivetaxcutprogramwhichfeaturesthecomprehensivetransformationofthevalue-addedtax,theadoptionofpreferentialtaxpoliciesforsmallandmedium-sizedenterprises(SMEs)andrealestatetransactions,andtheabolitionorsuspensionof100itemsofadministrativefees.ItisexpectedtobringaboutatotalsavingofRMB500billionforbusinessesandhouseholdseachyear.
Second,frequentlycutinterestratesandincreaseliquidityinthebankingsystem.Thecentralbankhascutdepositandlendingratesoffinancialinstitutionsfivetimesinarow,withtheone-yearbenchmarkdepositandlendingratesdownby1.89percentagepointsand2.16percentagepointsrespectively.Thusthefinancialburdenofcompanieshasbeengreatlyreduced.Therequiredreserveratiohasbeenloweredfourtimes,addinguptoatotalreductionof2percentagepointsforlargefinancialinstitutionsand4percentagepointsforsmallandmedium-sizedones.ThishasreleasedaroundRMB800billionofliquidityandsubstantiallyincreasedfundsavailabletocommercialbanks.Aseriesofpolicymeasureshavebeenadoptedinthefinancialsectortoboosteconomicgrowth,includingincreasinglending,optimizingthecreditstructure,andprovidinggreaterfinancialsupporttoagricultureandtheSMEs.
Third,implementtheindustrialrestructuringandrejuvenationprogramonalargescale.Weareseizingtheopportunitytopushaheadcomprehensiveindustrialrestructuringandupgrading.Tothisend,plansarebeingdrawnupforkeyindustriessuchasautomobileandironandsteel,whichnotonlyfocusonaddressingtheimmediatedifficultiesofenterprisesbutalsolooktowardtheirlong-termdevelopment.Wehavetakenstrongmeasurestofacilitatethemergerandreorganizationofenterprises,phaseoutbackwardproductioncapacity,promoteadvancedproductiveforces,andimproveindustryconcentrationandtheefficiencyofresourceallocation.Weencourageourenterprisestoupgradetechnologiesandmaketechnologicalrenovation.Wesupporttheminmakingextensiveuseofnewtechnologies,techniques,equipmentandmaterialstorestructuretheirproductmix,developmarketableproductsandimprovetheircompetitiveness.Ourfinancialsupportpoliciesarebeingimproved,asoundcreditguaranteesysteminstalledandmarketaccesseasedforthebenefitofSMEdevelopment.
Fourth,activelyencourageinnovationandupgradinginscienceandtechnology.WearespeedinguptheimplementationoftheNationalProgramforMedium-andLong-TermScientificandTechnologicalDevelopmentwithaspecialfocuson16keyprojectsinordertomakebreakthroughsincoretechnologiesandkeygenerictechnologies.ThiswillprovidescientificandtechnologicalsupportforChina'ssustainableeconomicdevelopmentatahigherlevel.Wearedevelopinghigh-techindustrialclustersandcreatingnewsocialdemandandneweconomicgrowthareas.
Fifth,substantiallyraisethelevelofsocialsecurity.Wehaveacceleratedtheimprovementofsocialsafetynet.Wewillcontinuetoincreasebasicpensionforenterpriseretireesandupgradethestandardofunemploymentinsuranceandworkers'compensation.Wewillraisethelevelofbasiccostoflivingallowancesinbothurbanandruralareas,welfareallowancesforthoseruralresidentswithoutfamilysupportandthespecialallowancesandassistancetoentitledgroups.Thisyear,thecentralbudgetforsocialsecurityandemploymentwillincreaseatamuchhigherratethanthegrowthoftheoverallfiscalrevenue.
Weareadvancingthereformofthemedicalandhealthsystemandworkingtoputinplaceanationwidebasicmedicalandhealthsystemcoveringbothurbanandruralareaswithinthreeyearsandachievethegoalofeveryonehavingaccesstobasicmedicalandhealthservice.ItisestimatedthatgovernmentsatalllevelswillinvestRMB850billionforthispurpose.WegiveprioritytoeducationandarenowworkingontheGuidelinesoftheNationalProgramforMedium-andLong-TermEducationalReformandDevelopment.
Thisyear,wewillincreasepublicfundsforcompulsoryeducationinruralareas,offermorefinancialsupporttostudentsfrompoorfamiliesandimprovethewell-beingofmiddleandprimaryschoolteacherssoastopromoteequityineducationandoptimizetheeducationalstructure.Weareusingeverypossiblemeanstolessentheimpactofthefinancialcrisisonemployment.
Wearefollowingamoreactiveemploymentpolicy.Inparticular,wehaveintroducedvariouspolicymeasurestohelpcollegegraduatesandmigrantworkersfindjobsandprovidedmoregovernment-fundedjobsinpublicservice.Thesemajorpolicymeasuresasawholetargetbothsymptomsandrootcauses,andaddressbothimmediateandlong-termconcerns.Theyrepresentaholisticapproachandaremutuallyreinforcing.Theyaredesignedtoaddresstheneedtoboostdomesticdemand,readjustandreinvigorateindustries,encouragescientificinnovationandstrengthensocialsecurity.Theyaredesignedtostimulateconsumptionthroughincreasedinvestment,overcomethecurrentdifficultieswithlong-termdevelopmentinmind,andpromoteeconomicgrowthintheinterestofpeople'slivelihood.Thesemeasurescanmobilizeallresourcestomeetthecurrentcrisis.
China'secono