PapBardhanBaruaRealEstate5.docx
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PapBardhanBaruaRealEstate5
6314
RealEstateIndustry:
CreatingValuethroughPublic-PrivatePartnership
AshokDeoBardhan&SamirK.Barua
INTRODUCTION
Therealestateindustrycluster,broadlydefined,consistsofacollectionofindustrialandservicessectorsoftheeconomy,suchasconstruction(housingconstruction,aswellasconstructionofcommercialoffices,retailandindustrialbuildings,andinfrastructureprojectssuchasdams,roadsandbridges),brokerageservices,realestatefinanceservices(mortgagebanking,realestateinvestment),realestateoperations,propertymanagement,architectureanddesign.Anumberofothersectorsoftheeconomyarealsointricatelylinkedtotherealestatecluster.Theseincludethecementmanufacturingindustry,thepowersector,thefurnitureandappliancesindustry,thefinanceclusteraswellasarangeofotherdownstreamandupstreamsectors.Theclusteristhereforecriticalforthehealthofthenationasitsimpactisfeltthroughouttheeconomy.
Realestateasawhole,andhousinginparticular,isthesinglelargestassetclassandwealthholdingofindividualsandhouseholdsglobally.Thedevelopmentofthehousingsectorisanintegralpartofeconomicdevelopment.Inadditiontoitssizeintheeconomy,itsimportancealsoarisesfromthepositiveexternalitiesandspillovereffects,andtheirimpactonthesocialandpoliticalclimate.Inmostcountries,andparticularlyindevelopingcountries,housingisaverylargeproportionofahousehold’sexpenditureandtakesupasubstantialpartoflifetimeincome.Thebackwardandforwardlinkagestolandmarkets,durablegoodsmanufacturingandthecontributiontothedevelopmentoflabormarketswithdepthandmobilityfurtherunderscoresthesignificanceofthissector,particularlyintheprocessofeconomicreformandtransition.
HousingandRealEstateMarketsareLarge
ThetotalmarketvalueofhousingintheUS,forexample,isapproximately$12trillion.ThisislargerthanthemarketcapitalizationoftheUSstockmarketaswellasbeinglargerthantheUSGDP.Similarly,inotherOECDcountries,thetotalstockofhousingisworth100%to150%ofGDP.Eveninaneraoffinancialmaturityandenthusiasmforinvestmentsinstocksandotherfinancialchannels,theprimaryresidenceremainstheprincipalformofwealthheldbyahouseholdintheUS,andconstitutesover50%ofitsnetworth.Moreover,theclaimsrepresentedinfinancialassets,bothstocksandbonds,alsopertaininparttotherealestateheldbyfirmsandthegovernment.
RealEstateinChina
TheroleplayedbytherealestateindustryineconomicgrowthisunderscoredbyChina’sexample.Incomparisontothewell-knowncontributiontoeconomicgrowthofChina’sspecialeconomiczones,theimpactofforeigndirectinvestment,andtheimpetusprovidedbytownandvillageenterprisesinthehinterland,thestoryoftherealestateclusteranditsimpactontheeconomyisrelativelyunknown.Majorconstructionprojectsintheofficeandresidentialrealestatesectors,industrialconstructionandmassiveinfrastructureprojectshavebeeninstrumentalinprovidingthenecessaryconditionsforothersectorstoflourish,andinandofthemselveshavehadasignificantdirectandindirectimpactontheoverallgrowthrates.Commercialrealestategrowthhasbeenexceeding25%perannuminrecentyears,withthefirsthalfof2003alonewitnessingcompletionofapproximately80millionsq.m.ofofficespace.China'soverallrealestateinvestment(includinghousing)grewby33.5percentyear-on-yearto198billionyuan(US$24.9billion)duringthefirstfourmonthsofthisyear,accordingtoChina’sNationalBureauofStatistics.Therehavebeenmajorspillovereffectsintheeconomywithsectorssuchasfurniture,appliancesandotherhomefurnishingsgrowingatratesinexcessof25%andtheStateCouncilInformationOffice,whichoverseestheofficialgovernmentinformationportal,estimatesthattherealestateindustrycontributes1.5to2%totheoverallgrowthrateofGDP.
Whilethecommercialrealestatesectormaybeamanifestationofderiveddemand,dependentonhowwelltheindustrialandservicessectorsaredoingorareexpectedtodointhefuture,thehousingsectorisdrivenbyanumberofextra-economicanddemographicfactors,inadditiontotheeconomiconessuchasincomeandtheinterestrateenvironment.Thisattributeofthehousingsectorcoupledwithitssizeanditsmultipliereffectontheeconomygivesittheroleofaleadingindicatoroftheimminentstateofhealthoftheeconomyatlarge.
Weexaminethemulti-facetedvaluethattherealestateclusteriscapableofdeliveringtotheeconomyandsociety.Welookatthespillovereffectsthatitgenerates,reviewsomeofthetheoreticalandconceptualissuesinvolved,andmakeanassessmentofthenewinstitutionalandmarketinnovationsrequired,aswellasthereformsthatareneededinIndiatoenhancetheroleoftheindustryasanengineofgrowthfortheeconomyandasatooloflong-termwealthcreation.BasedonthestatisticsthrownupbytherecentlyconcludedsurveybytheCensusofIndia,wearguethatthesectoroffersimmensepotentialforcreationofvaluethroughpublicprivatepartnership.SeeBox1:
ValueCreationbyHousingandRealEstate.
LEGALREFORMS
ByanumberofcriteriaIndiaseemspoisedtojumpontoahighergrowthpath.Itisourcontentionthatthegamutofindustriescomprisingtherealestateclustercannotonlyplayacriticalroleinthiseconomictransformation,butcanalsoserveasanengineoffuturegrowth.Anumberofreformshowever,needtobecarriedoutandbottlenecksimpedingthenaturalgrowthoftheindustryremovedbeforetheinherentpotentialcanberealized.
PropertyRightsDeficiencies
ThelegalstructureinIndiahasnotkeptpacewithsomeofthefar-reachingreformsnowtakingplaceintheIndianeconomy.Thisisalsotrueofthelawsandregulationsgoverningrealestatedevelopmentandinvestment.Developmentofapropertransparentprocessoftitleregistration,forexample,iscriticaltothegrowthoftheindustry.Theneedforevidenceofagoodtitle,indicatingthatthepropertyisfreefrompastresidualandfutureclaimsandencumbrancesisthebedrockofsecurepropertytransfersandsales.Duetothevagariesofhistory,convolutedlegislationandaplethoraofsystems,whatwehavetodayinIndiaismostlytransactionregistrationratherthantitleregistration.Itisimportantthatpotentialbuyersfeelsecureinthesanctityofthetitlethattheyacquire,regardlessofthepursuitbackintotherecordbooks,anddonotfeelrequiredtohirelawyersorinvestigatorstodigintotitlerecordsgoingbackalongtime.Titleandtitleguaranteecompaniesprovidingtitleinsuranceandescrowservicesmaythendeveloptogetherwiththemarket.
LandAcquisition:
AProblem
Theexerciseofthedoctrineofeminentdomainforlandacquisitionbythegovernmenthasbeencarriedoutwidelyinothercountries.Giventheneedsofdevelopmentandthepenchantofthestateforquasi-coerciveacquisition,itisvitalthatsomeindependentbodylooksintothecriteriaforexercisingthisultimatepowerofthestate.IntheIndiancontext,thispowershouldbeexercisedonlywiththetransparentlystatedobjectiveofappropriate,imminentuseinthepublicinterest,withaparticularregardforenvironmentalsustainabilityandwithfairandjustcompensation/resettlement.
ForeclosureProceedings
Apropersystemforforeclosureproceedingsincaseofmortgagedefaultthatalsoshortensthetimeforrepossessionofthecollateralisimportanttoallaytheapprehensionsofmortgagelenders.Also,variouskindsofliens,suchasthemechanicslien,whichisaclaimagainstpropertyonwhichcontractorshaveexpendedlabourcanprotecttheinterestsofvariousrealestaterelatedcreditors.IntheIndiancontext,areformoflawsgoverninglandlord-tenantrelationshipsalsoneedstotakeintoaccounttheissueofbalancebetweenaffordabilityandlandlordrightsinawaythatmarketdistortionsareminimizedandtheneedsofequityserved.Thisiseasiersaidthandone.However,itshouldbenotedthateventhemostmarket-orientedcountrieshavetenantprotectionandrentcontrolsystemsinplace.
ZoningandFSIs
Withmajorrealestatedevelopmentcomestheneedforproperzoningandland-usecontrolsforeconomicandaestheticreasons,aswellasforlargersocialobjectives.Zoninginitsbroadestsensewouldinvolvedeterminingandplanningthekindofrealestate(residential,office,retailormixeduse),designnormsandneighbourhoodlandscapinginadditiontothefloorspaceindexorfloorarearatios.Unbridledmarketdevelopmentcanleadtoeyesoresandcanalsodistortthemarketinfavorofpowerfulplayers.Interventioninthemarketprocessisalsoneededinordertochoosebetweenalternativestrategiesofdensityversussprawlinrealestatedevelopment.Restrictiveandlowfloorspaceindicescanartificiallyrationland-use,drivepricesup,leadtospeculativebehaviourandmaynotbetheoptimalusageofscarceland.Citieswithinadequatetransportationinfrastructureareservedbetterbyliberalizationoffloorarearatios,whichleadtomoreefficientandintenseexploitationofland,albeitatthecostofachievinghigherdensity.
INSTITUTIONALANDMARKETREFORM
MortgageMarkets
Forthehousingsectortofunctionwelloveralongperiodoftime,itisnecessarytohaveavigorousmarket-orientedsystemforfinancingtheconstructionandpurchasesofnewandexistinghousing.Well-functioningmortgagemarkets,inadditiontotheirpositiveeffectsonthedevelopmentoftherealestatemarketmayalsohaveacriticalimpactonthefunctioni