期货顶尖交易员的交易思路Trading ideas for futures top traders.docx

期货顶尖交易员的交易思路Trading ideas for futures top traders.docx

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期货顶尖交易员的交易思路Tradingideasforfuturestoptraders

期货顶尖交易员的交易思路（Tradingideasforfuturestoptraders）

Tradingideasforfuturestoptraders

1.peaceofmind:

Foreachtransaction,youshouldclearlyestablishthereasonfortheposition.Youshouldbefullyawareofyourexpecteddevelopmentsothatyoucanfeelcomfortablewiththedealandtheparts.Ifyoudon'tfeelsecure,don'ttrade.Tradingplansareanecessaryprerequisitefortradingatease,andthisisthefundamentalconceptoftrading.

2.plan:

Toptradersusuallypickthetriggersandtargetsofthedeal".Theywillnotspurofthemoment.Theplanisdefinitelyakeyfactorinthesuccessofthetransaction,andevenifthefloortraderneedsimmediateresponsetothemarket,thereisaneedforaclearplotanalysisof"if...".TheyconsideredallpossibledevelopmentsandCountermeasuresinadvance.Sotradingplanscanreducestress,boostconfidence,andmaketradersfeelreassured.Themainbenefitsareclearthinkingandself-discipline.

3.myexperience:

Thereisnogoodreasonnottobuythestock（buyshouldbeconfidentandnothesitate）,buyingstockswiththemarketpriceshouldbelowandthebanddecidedthatunlessexperienced,itisverynecessarytomakeaplaninadvance.

Two,futuresrisk

1.patience:

Toptradersareaversetorisk,andtheywaitpatientlyforthemostfavorablerisk/rewardrelationship.AsBillLipschutzputsit,"iftraderscanreducethenumberoftransactionsby50%,theycanusuallymakemoremoney."".

Goodtradersarepatientbecausetheydon'tworryaboutlosingopportunities.It'saveryimportantmindset-opportunitiesarealwaysthere.

2.funding:

Thesourcesoftradingfundsmayaffectthe***style,especiallyattherisklevel.

3.luck:

Toptradersputthemselvesinapositionwheretheycanacceptgoodluck.Trytoimproveyourodds.

BothDavidKateandBillLipschutzpointoutthatonlyahandfulofdealscanmakeabigdifferenceeveryyear.Whentheyfeelthatthereisahighprofitpotentialinsomearea,theywill"pulltheluckysail",enlargethesizeofthepart,anddon'tprematurelyfinishtheposition.Inthiscase,theyhadthegutstobetabigbet.

4.gradualtransactions:

Toptradersadoptagradualapproachtotrading,slowlyaccumulatedprofit-don'ttakerisks,don'ttrytohitthehomerun.Theyunderstandthatitisstillpossibletoentertomorrow,andtheimportanceoftradingisfargreaterthantoday'sprofit.Asaresult,theyabsolutelydonotallowcontinuedlossestoforcethemback

5.comfortlimits:

Toptradersplaceriskwithintheircomfortlimits.Iftherisksarefoundtobetoohigh,theynarrowdownthesizeofthemarketortradeinspreads.Onlystaywithinthecomfortlimits,thoughtswillbeclear,decision-makingwillbeobjective,andtransactionperformancewillbepromotedaccordingly.

6.myexperience:

Thepurchasepriceandthestoppricegapwiththeauthorisproportionaltothelevel（i.e.,thehigherthelevelofthemorecomfortablepositionstop）,thekeyistobuythebestpriceistheoutcomeofthewinninghand,buyafterclosingshouldknowthatwinningorwrongoutassoonaspossible.Myapproachisthatthereisnochanceof90%,noentry,thepotentialspaceandthemaximumpotentiallossratioisatleastthree:

1.Shortlinedoesnothave10%space,thecentrallinedoesnothave20%ofthetheoryspace,istheknifeedgelickblood,becausemusttakeintoaccounttheearlyelimination.（itcan'tbesoldatthehighestpriceeverytime.）

Loss1.admiterror:

Toptradersarenotafraidtoadmitmistakes.Selfrecognitionorselfesteemisnotwrong.Theyknowthatjudgmentisasurethingtohappeninatrade.Regainclearthinkingandconcentrationthroughcompensation.Infact,manyinjuredpeoplementionhowtolearnfromloss.PhilFlynnevensays,"learnhowtolovesmalllosses."".

2.appearances:

Toptraderswillpreplanthelossestheyarepreparedtoaccept,andtheyhavefirmself-disciplinetoplayatthescheduledstoplossprice.

ForthecaseofBernard,

Orexpectwhathashappened,hewillappear.ForBillLipschutz,ifhelosesmorethanhewouldliketoaccept,hewillappear.Inotherwords,thepositionoftheplaydependsonacertainlevelofpain,andoncethepainisabovethislevel,itrepresentsitselfbeyondthecomfortthreshold.

3.myexperience:

Themaximumlosspertransactionis3%,thatis,aslongasthesharepricefallsbelow3%ofthebuyingprice,unlessitisaverysurebottom,Iwillrecognizeit.Becausemypurchasepriceisveryparticular,thepurchaserequirementcannotbecovered（95%successrate）,soIhavethisopportunitytorecognizethelossassoonaspossible.Thebuyingpricehasfallenby3%,whichhasbeenagreatfailureforme.Itshouldbeabuyorsellorabuyattheclosingprice

1,fromthebottomupanalysis.

*understandalltheplayersandwatchwhattheysayanddo.Theso-calledplayer,referstohavetheinfluenceofthepeoplecannotbeignored.

*understandwhattheyshouldsayfortheirownbenefit,orwhatinteresttheymayhaveintheirwords.Whatisthemotivation?

Whatarethehiddenissues?

Aslongasitinvolvestheinterestsofanyconversation,cannotbelieve.

Foreachinterestgroup,whatarethebest,suboptimal,andthirdoutcomestheywant?

*whereisthefocusandinfluenceofeachinterestgroup?

.

*howwilleachgroupreacttoeachoutcome?

Ifsomeonehasdoneso,howaboutotherpeople'sreactionsandsubsequentdevelopments?

2dynamicanalysis

*theremustbeastorybehindeveryevent,andyoumustknowthestory.

*mustknowwhathisopponentthinks,andwhatexactlyisthedifferencebetweenhimandhim?

3,treatpositions

*maintainanopenmindandanobjectivepositiontodealwithanopenposition.

*whenyoutrytoevaluateanopenstockwithanobjectiveperspective,emotionsalwaysinterfere.

*foranexcellenttrader,howtocontroltheabilityofthemindismuchmoreimportantthanhowtousethebrain".

*deceivingoneselfisthemainreasonforalossinthemarket.

4howtofacelossesanddealwithprofits

*stressandfear,it'simportantexperience.

*facinganewprice,youaskyourselfaquestion:

ifyouhaven'tbuiltapositionyet,wouldyouliketobuyatthisprice?

Theanswerisno,thenyousell.

*quicklyadmitlossesandallowprofitableareastocontinuetodevelop.

*isthebasisforestablishingthepositioncorrect?

.

5fundmanagement

Whatisthemaximumamountofriskyoucanaffordinanysingletransaction?

*whenIestablishtheposition,whatpercentageofthelosswillIbepreparedtopay?

6strategiesfordiversification

*ifindividualpartssharethesamemarketrisk,thebenefitsofdiversificationcannotbeprovided.

*thesizeofindividualsitesmustbesimilar.Ifthesizeoftheninelocationsis$100andthetenthis$10000,suchdiversificationwillnotmakemuchsense.

*pricefluctuationsinindividuallocationsshouldbesimilar.

7,thecharacteristicsoftraders

*enthusiasm.Youhavetounderstandwhythishappensinthemarket.Youhavetodecidewhobuysandwhosells.Whataretheirmotives?

Theanswertothesequestionsallthetimemustbe8extraordinarypatience,energy,anddesire.

*courage.Ifyouhaveaknackforit,anymistakeisyourproblem.Ittakescouragetoholdadifferentview.Butdifferentviewsdonotmeanthatacertain9canmakemoney.Thebesttradingopportunitiesmustnotbeuniversallyaccepted.

*openmind.

*self-discipline.

10funding

*thesourcesoffundingfortransactionsmayaffectthestyleandperformance

*moneymanagementisaverycomplexgame,oftencontrarytocommonsense

11,theadvantagesofindividualtraders

*Don'tneedtomakeadeal.Besuretoknowwhatthemarketlookslike.Ifyoudon'thavetherightmarket,ifyoudon'thaveahighchanceofwinning,don'tforceyourselfintothegame.The12keytothewholegameistokeepyouredge

*decisioncontrolprocedures

*information.Nevermakeinformationconvenienceanegativenumber.Allinformationmustbemanaged,otherwiseitdoesn'tmakemuchsense

*elasticityandsharpness

*pressure

13concentrationandenthusiasm

*ifthemotiveofthetransactionismoney,thedirectionisclearlywrong

*manypeoplehavenowaytomaintainlong-termhardworkbecausetheyarereluctanttoinvesttime

*inthefaceofeverythinginlife,youhavetobehighlyorganizedandabletoassessprioritiessothatyoucanstayfocused

14,thecharacteristicsoftraders

*confidenceinloss,couragetoovercomeselfandadmiterror

Theso-calledcourage,confidenceandself.Theobjectisnottheotherperson,butmustbeabletooftenadmitthepsychologicalcharacteristicsofmistakes

*thereisnosuchthingasanupsidedowntrait,andeachtraitneedstobebalancedbyanotherauxiliarytrait

Introspectionandselfevaluationarepartoftheself

15luck

*therearemanyhelplessthingsorincapableofactiononthemarket,completelyexceededthescopeofcontroltraders.Traderscancontroltheonlysensibleanalysisandbet.Theso-calledwise,istograsptheoddsorincreasetheprobabilityofafavorableoutcome.

*luckisalwaysanimportantvariableinthetradingbusiness

16fearandanxiety

*atradercannotfeelparalyzedbylossbecauseofhisconfidence.Hemustfeelthepainofloss,butitmustnotturnfearintofear

*regardlessofyourpersonalpsychologicaldrive,fearcomesfromyourself

*afterintrospection,theremaybesomethinguseful,butthatdoesnotmeanthatthetransactionisprofitable,butthatitrepresentstheabilitytodealwithfear

*sheerwillpowercanovercomeanypersonalitydisorder

17information

*oneofthedifficultiesofmarketanalysisisthatwhe