中美贸易.pptx

中美贸易.pptx

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SinoUStradewar2018ChinasadvantagesanddisadvantagesCauseCulturaldifferencesUpgradingtradewarsFavorableimpactcontent01.ChinasadvantagesanddisadvantagesChinasstrengthsEconomicadvantagesPoliticaladvantagesAPoliticaladvantagesBRapiddevelopmentofmodernmanufacturinginChinaCChinahasacompletesystemofindustrializationDAlargeandvibrantdomesticmarketDChinaseconomicgrowthrateandpotentialDContinuoustransformationofChinasindustrialeconomyAcceleratingdevelopmentofChinasreformandopening-upChinahasstrongSocialOrganizationPowerChinasinternationalstatusisgraduallystrengthenedStrongleadershipoftheChinesePartyandGovernmentPoliticaladvantagesoliticaladvantagesDisadvantagesFirst,Strongtradedependenceontheus,andtheproportionoftheexportsistoohigh.Chinahasalwaysbeenamajorexportertotheworld,whiletheUnitedStates,especiallyChina,isamajorexporter.Chinasexportstotaled15.33trillionyuanin2017.TheUnitedStatesisChinassecondlargesttradingpartner（thefirstistheEuropeanUnion,notasinglecountry）.Incontrast,U.S.exportstoChinaaccountedforjust7.8percentoftotalU.S.exports.Second,theexperienceoftradewarisinferiortothatoftheUnitedStates.TheUnitedStateshasaccumulatedalotofexperienceinthetradewarbetweentheUnitedStatesandtheSovietunion,theUnitedStates,theUnitedStatesandtheUnitedStates,andtheUnitedStatesandtheUnitedStates.02.CauseTheserioustradeimbalancebetweenChinaandtheUnitedStatesisthedirectreasonforTrumptostartthetradewar.TheUSsidedemandsthatChinareducetheUStradedeficitwithChinabyUS$100billionandfurtheropenitsmarkets1、1-1Afterthedollarwasdecoupledfromgold,theUnitedStatescreatedapatternofobtainingresourcesandcommoditiesfromothercountriesbyissuingdollars.1-2OverconsumptionintheUnitedStatesleadstoalowsavingsrate.1-3ThedivisionofglobalvaluechaindeterminestheSino-UStradepattern,andthecurrenttradestatisticsmethodexaggeratesthetradesurplus.1-4TheUnitedStatesrestrictstheexportofhigh-techproductstoChina.2TheUnitedStatestriedtoreplaythetradewarbetweentheUnitedStatesandJapaninthe1980sinordertocontainChinasrenaissance.TheserioustradeimbalancebetweenChinaandtheUnitedStatesisthedirectreasonforTrumptostartthetradewar.TheUSsidedemandsthatChinareducetheUStradedeficitwithChinabyUS$100billionandfurtheropenitsmarketsTheserioustradeimbalancebetweenChinaandtheUnitedStatesisthedirectreasonforTrumptostartthetradewar.TheUSsidedemandsthatChinareducetheUStradedeficitwithChinabyUS$100billionandfurtheropenitsmarketsAfterthedollarwasdecoupledfromgold,theUnitedStatescreatedapatternofobtainingresourcesandcommoditiesfromothercountriesbyissuingdollars.3-1-13-1-2OverconsumptionintheUnitedStatesleadstoalowsavingsrate.ThedivisionofglobalvaluechaindeterminestheSino-UStradepattern,andthecurrenttradestatisticsmethodexaggeratesthetradesurplus.3-1-301TheUnitedStatesrestrictstheexportofhigh-techproductstoChina.3-1-4033-2TheUnitedStatestriedtoreplaythetradewarbetweentheUnitedStatesandJapaninthe1980sinordertocontainChinasrenaissance.03.CulturaldifferencesbetweenChinaandtheUnitedStates3.ThepoliticalnatureofChinesecultureandtheeconomyofAmericanculture1.TheantiquityofChinesecultureandthemodernizationofAmericanculture2.ThenationalityofChinesecultureandthediversityofAmericanculture4.ThemaincultureandsubcultureofChinaandtheUnitedStates5.TheintroversionofChinesecultureandtheopennessofAmericanculture6.ChineseConfucianismandAmericanChristianity7.ThedominanceofChinesecultureandthepopularityofAmericanculture04.UpgradingtradewarsUpgradingtradewars8.27；UscancelsChinaroute9.24tariffsonChineseproductsofabout$200billion.（10%）2019.1.1Theleveloftariffwillincreaseshasrisento25%.IfChinatakessteps,theUnitedStateswillimposeadditionaltariffsonabout$267billionofChineseimports.05.FavorableimpactFavorableimpactCurbChinasrevivaCurbChinasrevivallForcingChinatofurtheropenitsmarketThepillarindustriesthattheyneedtoprotectaresteel,automobiles,agriculturalproductsandsoon.thelessIwinthemoreyouarevsThestockmarketperformsThestockmarketperformswellwellandthewealtheffectcomesandthewealtheffectcomesupup.DomesticbenefitsfirstPublicopinionsupportsandscorespolitically.adverseeffecttIn2017,theUStradedeficitwithChinaamountedtoUS$375billion200million,whichaccountedfor%46.3oftheUStradedeficit.theforeignexchangereservesarereducedandtheinternationalcompetitivenessoftheircommoditiesisweakened.willaggravatetheoutflowofdomesticresources,increaseforeigndebt,andaffectthenormalandeffectiveoperationofthenationaleconomy.Agriculture,overproductionofagriculturalproducts,fallingprices,andplungingrevenues.ManufacturingactivityintheUnitedStatesslowedinJuly,withsignsthatstrongeconomiesandimpo