麦肯锡公共电视运营模式PPT文档格式.ppt
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1CHALLENGES:
BOTHSTATIONECONOMIESANDPROGRAMDEVELOPMENTAREAT-RISK*Excludescapitalfundingfordigitalupgrade.Revenuesnotadjustedforinflation*Growthratefrom1994-2001Source:
CPBAuditedFinancialReports(AFR),PBSanalysis(dues),AppendixQfromPBSSGwhitepaper(“FundingforPBSNPSProgrammingbyFunderCategory”)$1.93Billion$450Million2001LocalStationEconomy2001NationalProgramFundingProspectsforfuturerevenuegrowth3.5%peryear*3.1%peryear*Historicalgrowthinrevenues(1990-2001)CurrentsizeDeclineinrealtermsduetofallingnetmemberrevenuesAsystemdecision5.4%peryearFlattoveryslowlygrowing(1%aboveinflation)2001StationAssessment$107M2273.3374.0249.4328.5230.5330.5205.6347.6128.6259.6104.2145.662.994.5TotalPTVsystemrevenue,*1990and2001$MillionsUniversityIn-kindCorporateandfoundationgivingUnrelatedbusinessStateandlocalfundingFederalfunding*Membergiving*Excludescapitalfundingfordigitalupgrade,additionalcapitalfundraising,endowment,andinterest*Federalagencygrantsfor2001areestimated(assumed5%growthover2000)Source:
AFR;
federalreports;
PBSannualreports$1.25billion$1.88billionCHALLENGES:
ONLYGROWTHAREASAREUNRELATEDBUSINESSANDUNDERWRITING199020013.83.16.64.93.32.9AnnualGrowth%1990-20012.5Driversofgrowth3CHALLENGES:
HISTORICALLY,THESYSTEMHASGROWNTHROUGHDIVERSIFICATIONNOWALLREVENUESOURCESARETHREATENEDSource:
AFRs;
TeamperspectiveFutureOutlook4CHALLENGES:
NETSTATIONMEMBERSHIPREVENUEHASDECLINEDINREALTERMSSINCE1990*Allgrowthratesarecompoundannualgrowthrates.Source:
BureauofLaborStatisticsFundraisingcosts:
1.0%Netmembershiprevenues:
-0.9%$17millionlostincome$Millions,Adjustedforinflationtoconstant2001$Grossrevenues:
0.1%*5CHALLENGES:
DECLINESWILLCONTINUEINNETMEMBERSUPPORTPledge,whichistheengineofnewmemberacquisition,hasseenrisingcostsrelativetonewmemberyieldinlinewithdecliningproductivitytrendsoutsidePTVNetrenewalrevenuewillnotoffsetdecliningacquisitionStationsalreadyhaveamongthenonprofitsectorshighestrenewalratesRenewalmailsproductivityisflattodecliningDecliningratingsincreasestationschallengeFallingratingslikelycontributetothelongtermmembershipdecline,bothbecausetheprospectpoolwithaconnectiontoPTVshrinksandbecausemembershiprenewalishighlycorrelatedwithaudienceWiththenumberofnonprofitsgrowingtwiceasfastasrealhouseholdcharitablegiving,stationswillbehardpressedtogrowtheirshareofmemberswalletsSource:
“DonorCentricsComparisonReportforPublicTelevision,December2000;
”DMAFactbook2001;
GivingUSA2002AudienceSizeNewMemberRenewingMemberPhilanthropicEnvironmentMembershipRevenueDriversOutlook6CHALLENGES:
STATIONHAVEMETTHESECHALLENGESINTHEPASTBYCONTROLLINGCOSTSACROSSTHEBOARD1990UnderwritingPrograminformationFundraisingManagementandgeneralBroadcastingProgrammingandproduction100%=$1.80billion7.93.33.83.14.03.8*ExpensesdonotincludeCPBorPBSoverheadorCPBprovidednonstationgrantsSource:
PBSannualreport,2001AnnualGrowthRate1990-2001Stationsexpense,1990and2001Percent100%=$1.19billion2001NPSduesandservices4.0Nearly1/3ofstationprogrammingandproductioncostsareconcentratedinproducingstationsfornationalprogramming72001Actual2010IllustrativeBroadcastopsMembershipEduc./outreachOtherCHALLENGES:
REVENUEDECREASESWILLPROMPTREPEATEDPAINFULCOSTREDUCTIONSSource:
SABS;
interviewsStationcost-cuttingscenario:
15%revenuelossAcquisition&
schedulingProg.productionGeneral&
administrative$10.7millionUnderwritingWebsite76Reduceheadcountby26%,from80to59Cutlocalproductionbudgetby40%,reducingannuallocallyproducedhoursfrom109to65EliminatetheProgramGuideMaintainorslightlydecreaseinvestmentinwebsiteandeducation76$9.1millionIllustrativeexpensebudgetforanaveragemedium/largecommunitystation100%=8CHALLENGES:
CAPITALINVESTMENTSMAYFURTHERREDUCEAVAILABLEFUNDINGOnly$800millionoftheestimated$1.7billiongoalhasbeenraisedDigitalConversionPlansaretoreplacecurrentinfrastructureby2006usingCPBs$177millionappropriationrequestSource:
CPB;
APTSDigitalClearinghouse;
PBSestimatesNextGenerationInterconnectDigitalMediaNewServicesPlannedcapitalinvestmentsPotentialstrategicinvestmentsBringingthebestofpublictelevisionintoadigitalmediaworldthroughtheuseofdigitalcable,VOD,PVRsandHighDefinitionprogrammingInnovatingandlaunchingnewservicessuchasdis